Flash Flood Warning 64, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 101259
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
759 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

MOC015-029-059-065-085-091-105-141-149-161-169-203-215-229-101309-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0064.000000T0000Z-090610T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SHANNON MO-WRIGHT MO-TEXAS MO-LACLEDE MO-DALLAS MO-PULASKI MO-
HICKORY MO-PHELPS MO-CAMDEN MO-DENT MO-BENTON MO-MORGAN MO-HOWELL MO-
OREGON MO-
759 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 800 AM CDT FOR BENTON...
CAMDEN...DENT...HICKORY...LACLEDE...MORGAN...NORTHEASTERN HOWELL...
NORTHERN DALLAS...NORTHERN WRIGHT...OREGON...PHELPS...PULASKI...
SHANNON AND TEXAS COUNTIES...

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING HAS REPLACED PORTIONS OF THIS FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR 
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3711 9102 3712 9124 3649 9114 3675 9170
      3705 9183 3718 9224 3780 9320 3780 9336
      3798 9352 3851 9352 3854 9305 3869 9306
      3869 9285 3843 9262 3824 9270 3803 9254
      3795 9153 3779 9152 3768 9116 3751 9131

$$

BARJENBRUCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
610 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

A QUICK UPDATE FOR THE MESOSCALE SITUATION STILL UNFOLDING.
UPDRAFTS OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI HAVE SHOWN A SLIGHT DOWN TREND IN
INTENSITY OVER THE PAST HOUR BUT A FEW SEVERE STORMS REMAIN WHERE
JUICY SURFACE PARCELS CAN STILL BE INGESTED. FOR ALL INTENTS AND
PURPOSES...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN QUESTION FOLLOWS A WAVY LINE
ROUGHLY FROM COLUMBUS THROUGH NIXA...AND INTO EMINENCE. THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS STABALIZED CONSIDERABLY NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS BEGUN TO MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
HAS PROVIDED ENOUGH LIFT...ALONG WITH LOCALIZED CONVERGENCE...TO
INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WARM SECTOR OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE WARM FRONT HAS SURGED BACK NORTH IN THIS
AREA WITH THE LACK OF CLOUD COVER...AND THIS UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS
LIKELY TO PUSH BACK INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE FROM NOW THROUGH MIDNIGHT...AND MAY REINTRODUCE
A TORNADIC THREAT WHERE SURFACE INSTABILITY IS MAINTAINED.

IN TERMS OF FLOODING...SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED IMPRESSIVE
RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. MUCH OF THIS FELL RAPIDLY WITH REPORTS
OF 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR AND GREATER. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
OBVIOUSLY AGGREVATE THIS SITUATION...AND THE NEW STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS UNDER THE HEAVIER CORES.

BARJENBRUCH

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS THIS FORECAST WILL BE WITH CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTH/NORTHEAST INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS TODAY AND WAS NEAR A FORT SCOTT TO EMINENCE LINE
AS OF 19Z. SURFACE BASED CAPES SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT HAVE
INCREASED TO AROUND 3000-3500 J/KG WITH BULK SHEAR ALONG THE FRONT
FROM 40 TO 70 KTS. STORMS QUICKLY BECAME SUPERCELLULAR EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT AND THIS TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. NOT MUCH OF A
CAP YET AT SGF AS OF 19Z SOUNDING HOWEVER AS WARM FRONT CONTINUES
TO LIFT NORTHEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
THE CAP WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN(SEE 19Z OUN SOUNDING).

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT
LATER TONIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL JET CRANKING UP AGAIN AND FEEDING
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. BULK OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL
LIKELY OCCUR NORTH OF THE CWA WITH CENTRAL MO ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE
OF THE PRECIPITATION. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
NOW. THIS WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE ADDRESSED FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE BACK TO THE SOUTH
INTO THE AREA.

HEAVY RAIN APPEARS LIKELY WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS FRONT MOVES
BACK TO THE SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST.

MAY BE A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...HOWEVER MODELS HANDLE THIS TIME FRAME DIFFERENTLY AND
WITH FRONT NOT MOVING MUCH TO THE SOUTH CAN NOT RULE IT OUT
COMPLETELY. FRONT MOVES BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...CONVECTION STILL FIRING ALONG WARM
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
JLN TERMINAL AND WILL MOVE INTO THE SGF AREA BY 00Z. ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION DEVELOPING OUT IN THE PLAINS WEST OF THE AREA AND COULD
AFFECT THE JLN/SGF AREAS LATER TONIGHT. HAVE CEILINGS DROPPING TO
AROUND 1500 IN CONVECTION AND VISIBILITIES DOWN TO 1SM. HAVE
CONTINUED WIND SHEAR LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS LOW
LEVEL JET DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
708 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-110015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
708 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THROUGH THE EVENING.
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL UP TO QUARTER
SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
THE MAIN TORNADO THREAT WILL BE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO FAR
WESTERN MISSOURI.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS AND MAY TRAIN
ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS TONIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI.  THIS MAY LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOODING LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT BUT WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE BACK TO THE SOUTH LATER IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FRONT. HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER BACK AND FORTH THROUGH THE
REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BRINGING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
628 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             1 ESE OAKLAND PARK      37.11N  94.46W
06/09/2009  E0.88 INCH       JASPER             MO   PUBLIC

            MINOR LEAF DAMAGE

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
631 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PITTSBURG               37.41N  94.70W
06/09/2009                   CRAWFORD           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
633 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 PM     TSTM WND GST     EUNICE                  37.24N 91.78W
06/09/2009  M60 MPH          TEXAS              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
636 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             3 N WEBB CITY           37.19N  94.48W
06/09/2009  E0.88 INCH       JASPER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
708 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             PITTSBURG               37.41N  94.70W
06/09/2009  M1.00 INCH       CRAWFORD           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 W COLUMBUS           37.17N 95.03W
06/09/2009  E60 MPH          CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ALSO NICKEL SIZED HAIL

&&

GCLAYCOM