Flash Flood Warning 65, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 100951
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
451 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

MOC009-119-101000-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-090610T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-
451 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 500 AM CDT FOR MCDONALD AND
SOUTHERN BARRY COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3676 9463 3675 9416 3675 9359
      3649 9360 3648 9457

$$

WISE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
610 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

A QUICK UPDATE FOR THE MESOSCALE SITUATION STILL UNFOLDING.
UPDRAFTS OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI HAVE SHOWN A SLIGHT DOWN TREND IN
INTENSITY OVER THE PAST HOUR BUT A FEW SEVERE STORMS REMAIN WHERE
JUICY SURFACE PARCELS CAN STILL BE INGESTED. FOR ALL INTENTS AND
PURPOSES...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN QUESTION FOLLOWS A WAVY LINE
ROUGHLY FROM COLUMBUS THROUGH NIXA...AND INTO EMINENCE. THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS STABALIZED CONSIDERABLY NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS BEGUN TO MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
HAS PROVIDED ENOUGH LIFT...ALONG WITH LOCALIZED CONVERGENCE...TO
INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WARM SECTOR OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE WARM FRONT HAS SURGED BACK NORTH IN THIS
AREA WITH THE LACK OF CLOUD COVER...AND THIS UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS
LIKELY TO PUSH BACK INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE FROM NOW THROUGH MIDNIGHT...AND MAY REINTRODUCE
A TORNADIC THREAT WHERE SURFACE INSTABILITY IS MAINTAINED.

IN TERMS OF FLOODING...SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED IMPRESSIVE
RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. MUCH OF THIS FELL RAPIDLY WITH REPORTS
OF 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR AND GREATER. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL
OBVIOUSLY AGGREVATE THIS SITUATION...AND THE NEW STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS UNDER THE HEAVIER CORES.

BARJENBRUCH

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS THIS FORECAST WILL BE WITH CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTH/NORTHEAST INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS TODAY AND WAS NEAR A FORT SCOTT TO EMINENCE LINE
AS OF 19Z. SURFACE BASED CAPES SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT HAVE
INCREASED TO AROUND 3000-3500 J/KG WITH BULK SHEAR ALONG THE FRONT
FROM 40 TO 70 KTS. STORMS QUICKLY BECAME SUPERCELLULAR EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT AND THIS TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. NOT MUCH OF A
CAP YET AT SGF AS OF 19Z SOUNDING HOWEVER AS WARM FRONT CONTINUES
TO LIFT NORTHEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
THE CAP WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN(SEE 19Z OUN SOUNDING).

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT
LATER TONIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL JET CRANKING UP AGAIN AND FEEDING
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. BULK OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL
LIKELY OCCUR NORTH OF THE CWA WITH CENTRAL MO ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE
OF THE PRECIPITATION. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
NOW. THIS WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE ADDRESSED FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER AS FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE BACK TO THE SOUTH
INTO THE AREA.

HEAVY RAIN APPEARS LIKELY WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS FRONT MOVES
BACK TO THE SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA AND ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST.

MAY BE A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...HOWEVER MODELS HANDLE THIS TIME FRAME DIFFERENTLY AND
WITH FRONT NOT MOVING MUCH TO THE SOUTH CAN NOT RULE IT OUT
COMPLETELY. FRONT MOVES BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...CONVECTION STILL FIRING ALONG WARM
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
JLN TERMINAL AND WILL MOVE INTO THE SGF AREA BY 00Z. ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION DEVELOPING OUT IN THE PLAINS WEST OF THE AREA AND COULD
AFFECT THE JLN/SGF AREAS LATER TONIGHT. HAVE CEILINGS DROPPING TO
AROUND 1500 IN CONVECTION AND VISIBILITIES DOWN TO 1SM. HAVE
CONTINUED WIND SHEAR LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS LOW
LEVEL JET DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1053 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-110400-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1053 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. COMMUNITIES SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
NEOSHO TO CHRISTIAN CENTER TO WILLOW SPRINGS WILL BE MOST IMPACTED
BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY
THE THUNDERSTORMS AND MAY TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS TONIGHT
OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THIS MAY LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOODING
LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
AREA IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI.

THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER BACK AND FORTH THROUGH THE
REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BRINGING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT FOR COMMUNITIES
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO TO CHRISTIAN CENTER TO WILLOW SPRINGS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD ONCE AGAIN MOVE NORTH BY SUNRISE AND
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED NORTH OF THIS LINE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1028 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 W PURDY               36.82N  94.07W
06/09/2009  E70 MPH          BARRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA SIZE HAIL

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1032 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 E PINEVILLE           36.59N  94.26W
06/09/2009                   MCDONALD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY K BLOCKING ROAD

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1038 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HAIL             1 W GOODMAN             36.74N  94.42W
06/09/2009  E1.50 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1046 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S FAIRVIEW            36.77N  94.09W
06/09/2009                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HOUSE DESTROYED

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1049 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             WEIR                    37.31N  94.77W
06/09/2009  E0.70 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1051 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             ORONOGO                 37.19N  94.47W
06/09/2009  E0.88 INCH       JASPER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KARDELL