Flash Flood Warning 66, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 101459
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
959 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

MOC167-101508-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0066.000000T0000Z-090610T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POLK MO-
959 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 AM CDT FOR POLK
COUNTY...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA WERE BEGINNING TO RECEDE. 
HOWEVER RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON. 

THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH AN AREAL 
FLOOD WARNING.  

IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO  YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3781 9358 3781 9353 3779 9320 3773 9320
      3773 9318 3745 9318 3742 9319 3742 9363
      3774 9362 3775 9364 3783 9363 3783 9358

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
303 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERN IS CONVECTIVE TRENDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

REMAINS OF CONVECTION THAT AFFECT THE REGION YESTERDAY AND EARLIER
TONIGHT IS STILL AFFECTING SOME EASTERN MO OZARKS COUNTIES
ATTM...BUT SEVERE CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THAT COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN AR WHERE STRONGER LOW LEVEL FLOW AND
INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT IT. AREA OF CONCERN FOR THE NEAR
TERM IS OVER EASTERN KS INTO WESTERN MO WHERE 30KT 850MB SW-LY
FLOW IS LIFTING UP AND OVER A W-E FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF
THE OK/KS BORDER. CERTAINLY STILL ENOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR WITH
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF AROUND 40-45 KTS AND ELEVATED MUCAPE OF
2000 J/KG TO SUPPORT AT LEAST AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/WIND THREAT
INTO THE DAYLIGHT HOURS (JUST HAD A 40 MPHGUST AT THE FORT SCOTT
AWOS FROM ROTATING ELEVATED STORM...SAME STORM HAD HALF DOLLAR
SIZED HAIL AS WELL). WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO WATCH TRENDS...BUT
ACTIVITY MAY SLOWLY SHIFT NORTH WITH TIME. LOCALLY EXTENDED THE
SEVERE TSTM WATCH NORTHWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING CONVECTION.

ATTENTION WILL TURN TOWARD ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING NORTHEAST
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY...MAKING IT TO WESTERN KS
AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLE BY EARLY EVENING. WHERE SFC/LOW LEVEL
BOUNDARIES WILL BE AT THIS TIME IS SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC...BUT THE
GFS HAS THE SFC FRONT ROUGHLY FROM KICT TO KCOU BY MIDDAY/18Z THEN
FARTHER NORTH TO ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE MO RIVER TONIGHT AS A
SFC WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT WITH THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE.
NOT A GREAT DEAL IF CONFIDENCE IN THIS SINCE CONVECTION HAS
CONTAMINATED THE SYNOPTIC SCALE ENVIRONMENT...BUT IT DOES MAKE
SENSE THAT SYNOPTICALLY THE BOUNDARY SHOULD LIFT NORTH WITH TIME
TODAY. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT SPARSE FOR PART OF
THE DAY TODAY...BUT THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE REGION
LATE IN THE DAY AND TONIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW/MOISTURE
TRANSPORT BEGINS TO INCREASE ONCE AGAIN. PARAMETERS FOR ADDITIONAL
SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE IN PLACE WITH MLCAPES REACHING 2000 J/KG
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. 0-6KM SHEAR WILL NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG
DURING THE DAY TODAY VERSUS YESTERDAY...ABOUT 30KTS...BUT WILL INCREASE
AGAIN THIS EVENING WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM.
INSTABILITY/VERTICAL SHEAR...WILL LEAD TO A SUPERCELL THREAT WITH
A TORNADIC THREAT ANYWHERE WHERE WINDS WILL BE LOCALLY BACKED
NORTH OF ANY BOUNDARIES...AND ESPECIALLY WHEN THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
INCREASES LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING INCREASING 0-1KM BACKGROUND HELICITY.
MCS WILL LIKELY MATERIALIZE BY EARLY TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED
WIND/HAIL/TOR THREAT. TORNADO THREAT WILL BE MORE CONDITIONAL
TONIGHT BASED ON HOW/WHERE THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX DEVELOPS.

FOCUS FOR PRECIP SHIFTS SOUTH WITH TIME THU-FRI IN THE WAKE OF THE
SHORTWAVE AS THE EFFECTIVE SFC/LOW LEVEL FRONT PUSHES SOUTH. WILL
STILL MAINTAIN SOME LOW POPS FOR THU OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
CWFA. MODEL DIFFER ON TIMING OF RETURN MOISTURE AND ELEVATED STORM
CHANCES FRI-SAT. QUICK LOOK AT THE ECMWF INDICATES ADDITIONAL
EPISODES OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AS WELL. TIMING
BECOMES MORE DIFFICULT WITH SMALL SCALE FEATURES WITH TIME...BUT
BASICALLY HAVE SOME POPS IN FOR THIS TIME PERIOD NOW AND WILL
MENTION THE CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IN THE HWO.

HYDROLOGY...HAVE SOME FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ONGOING FROM CONVECTION LAST NIGHT.
MODOT PAGE INDICATES SOME FLOODED ROADS OVER CENTRAL MO. WILL
EVALUATE THE NEED TO CARRY SOME AREAS AS AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS
DURING THE DAY TODAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY NEED TO BE
CONSIDERED FOR TONIGHT. WILL LET THE DAYSHIFT LOOK AT THE FINER
MESO DETAILS THIS MORNING TO TRY TO PIN DOWN AREAL EXTENT OF
POTENTIAL HYDRO WATCHES. DSA

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...CONVECTION LOOKS TO BE PULLING OFF TO THE EAST
OF BOTH AIRFIELDS EARLY THIS MORNING. CURRENT RADAR MOTIONS SHOW
THAT THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING EAST. WILL NEED TO WATCH
FURTHER REDEVELOPMENT OVER KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND UPDATE
TAFS AS NEEDED. CONVECTION RETURNS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER
ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON. BOTH AIRPORTS
WILL BE IMPACTED AS THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY BE OCCURRING ON
AND OFF THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

CLAYCOMB

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1053 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-110400-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1053 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. COMMUNITIES SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
NEOSHO TO CHRISTIAN CENTER TO WILLOW SPRINGS WILL BE MOST IMPACTED
BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY
THE THUNDERSTORMS AND MAY TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS TONIGHT
OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THIS MAY LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOODING
LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
AREA IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI.

THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER BACK AND FORTH THROUGH THE
REGION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BRINGING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT FOR COMMUNITIES
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO TO CHRISTIAN CENTER TO WILLOW SPRINGS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD ONCE AGAIN MOVE NORTH BY SUNRISE AND
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED NORTH OF THIS LINE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
310 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 AM     TSTM WND GST     PLEASANT HOPE           37.46N  93.27W
06/10/2009  E50 MPH          POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ALSO HEAVY RAIN.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
320 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 AM     TSTM WND GST     EL DORADO SPRINGS       37.88N  94.02W
06/10/2009  E40 MPH          CEDAR              MO   PUBLIC

            WIND ESTIMATED 30 40 MPH.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
335 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S WALKER              37.86N  94.24W
06/10/2009                   VERNON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STATE HIGHWAY 54 HAS 4 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING
            OVER THE ROAD EAST OF NEVADA NEAR C HIGHWAY.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
336 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 AM     TSTM WND GST     STOCKTON                37.70N  93.80W
06/10/2009  E50 MPH          CEDAR              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIND ESTIMATED 40 TO 50 MPH BY COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
346 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 AM     HAIL             MARSHFIELD              37.34N 92.91W
06/10/2009  E1.00 INCH       WEBSTER            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

GCLAYCOM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
353 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0341 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE MARSHFIELD         37.37N  92.87W
06/10/2009  E50 MPH          WEBSTER            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO DIME SIZED HAIL.

&&

DSA