Tornado Warning 4, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WWUS54 KFWD 110236
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
836 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXC193-110245-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090211T0245Z/
HAMILTON TX-
836 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 836 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CRANFILLS GAP...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE AND 
DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 80 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3188 9791 3185 9788 3176 9781 3172 9796
      3182 9802
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 248DEG 47KT 3183 9779

$$

82/JLD

000 
WWUS54 KFWD 110242
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
842 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXC193-110252-
/O.EXP.KFWD.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090211T0245Z/
HAMILTON TX-
842 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY EXPIRES AT
845 PM CST...

AT 842 PM CST THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO
WARNING HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA AND THE WARNING EXPIRED.

LAT...LON 3188 9791 3185 9788 3176 9781 3172 9796
      3182 9802
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 248DEG 47KT 3186 9770

$$

82/JLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
755 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

.UPDATE...
755 PM CST.
HAVE EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 008 UNTIL 10 PM AND REMOVED EASTLAND...
STEPHENS...AND YOUNG COUNTIES FROM IT.

TORNADO WATCH 10 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BUT WILL LIKELY
BE REPLACE WITH A NEW ONE SHORTLY BEFORE IT EXPIRES AS CONVECTION
WILL STILL BE ONGOING IN THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CURRENT WATCH.
75

&&

.UPDATE...
646 PM CST.
FORMATION OF SQUALL LINE IS IN PROGRESS WITH DRYLINE BEGINNING TO
PUSH INTO OUR FAR WESTERN COUNTIES. STILL EXPECT SQUALL LINE TO
BUILD SOUTHWARD AND FILL IN OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. LATEST
TRACKING PLACES THE SQUALL LINE ALONG A SHERMAN...FORT
WORTH...LAMPASAS LINE AROUND MIDNIGHT. 00Z (6PM) FWD SOUNDING
REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE WITH CAPES NEAR 1850 J/KG...LI OF -5.9...AND
STRONG WIND SHEAR 0-3KM. MAX WIND IS 120 KTS AROUND 38 KFT. THE
MOVEMENT OF THE WESTERN STORMS IS ESTIMATED 220 DEGREES AT 38 KTS.

WILL ISSUE UPDATE ZONE PACKAGE TO INCREASE POPS OVER THE WESTERN
AREAS FOR THE EVENING. ALSO...MODIFIED HOURLY GRIDS FOR THE EVENING
HOURS.   75

&&

.AVIATION...
/00Z UPDATE/

SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH
TEXAS WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH
THE EVENING AS FORCING FROM UPPER TROF TO THE WEST OVERSPREADS THE
AREA. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE
WILL MARCH ACROSS THE METROPLEX AIRPORTS LATER THIS EVENING. WILL
START OUT WITH A VCTS IN THE METROPLEX TO ACCOUNT FOR SCATTERED
ACTIVITY WITH MVFR CIGS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME SCATTERING OF THE
LOWER CIGS TO THE WEST. TIMING OF THE CONVECTION IS BETWEEN 2-5Z
RIGHT NOW AND WILL MAKE SOME TWEAKS AS NECESSARY. MAIN THREAT WILL
BE STRONG WEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE OF TSTMS. SEVERE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50KTS POSSIBLE WITH STRONGEST STORMS. OTHER
CONCERN IS STRONG WEST WINDS BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE A CROSSWIND PROBLEM ON N/S RUNWAYS TONIGHT.
ATTM...IT DOESNT APPEAR THE THE BLDU FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA AS PRECIP SHOULD INHIBIT THIS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
VFR CONDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.     91/DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009/
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WHILE STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING
FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO ABILENE ALONG THE DRYLINE. UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS NOW MOVING THROUGH COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO AND WILL PASS
ALONG JUST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER TONIGHT. CURRENT THOUGHTS
REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IS
STILL THE SAME AND REFER USERS TO CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER PRODUCTS
/I.E. AWU...MCD...SWODY1/ FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

EXPECT THE SQUALL LINE TO DEVELOP/MOVE INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES
DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE LINE SHOULD BE CLEARING THE I-35
CORRIDOR BY 10 PM AND THEN THROUGH THE EASTERN COUNTIES BY 3 OR 4 AM.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF A QUARTER INCH TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT
DO NOT EXPECT MUCH OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT DUE TO THE QUICK
EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AHEAD OF THE LINE OF
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN FOR STRONG
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE DRYLINE AND FRONT.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND VERY DRY AIR
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S WOULD SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE
THREAT ON WEDNESDAY BUT HOPE THAT DECENT RAINFALL TONIGHT WILL
MITIGATE FIRE THREAT. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FIRE WEATHER STATEMENTS
OR WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON RAIN COOLED AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE. HAVE GONE ON THE COOLER SIDE OF
MOS GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT WHICH MAY END UP BEING TOO WARM.
SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS AS A
COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES
WILL MISS US TO THE NORTH AND CHANCE FOR RAIN STILL LOOKS SLIM
THIS WEEK...BUT MAY SEE SOME PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ONE
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE STATE. AFTER TONIGHT/S PACIFIC
FRONT...NEXT FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER FRONT ON
SUNDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO MAKE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED IS NOT TOO HIGH...BUT
MAJORITY OF MODELS ARE CLOSE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.   82/JLD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  46  69  42  72  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
WACO, TX              46  73  38  74  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
PARIS, TX             47  66  38  68  44 / 100  10   0   5   5
DENTON, TX            45  69  36  73  49 / 100   0   0   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          45  67  36  71  48 / 100   0   0   5   5
DALLAS, TX            48  71  43  73  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
TERRELL, TX           47  69  38  71  49 /  90   0   0   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         47  73  43  73  48 /  80   0   0   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            48  73  40  73  51 /  90   0   0   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

 /75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
604 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
604 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS AS A STRONG SQUALL MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

THE SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY REACH THE I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 8
AND 9 PM...THEN EXIT THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES BY 3 AM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD
OF THE SQUALL LINE..THEN FOR STRONG WEST WINDS BEHIND IT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG WEST WINDS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEXT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
707 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ100-115-110130-
YOUNG TX-STEPHENS TX-
707 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  STEPHENS COUNTY
  YOUNG COUNTY

AT 707 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
GRAHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. IN ADDITION...THE DRYLINE IS
MOVING INTO THIS REGION AND VERY STRONG WINDS FROM THE WEST WITH
GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE OCCURRING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3281 9911 3295 9909 3295 9895 3339 9894
      3339 9844 3296 9842 3295 9858 3252 9858
      3252 9911
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 223DEG 43KT 3299 9880

82/JLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
715 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0711 PM     HAIL             BOWIE                   33.56N  97.84W
02/10/2009  E1.00 INCH       MONTAGUE           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER-SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND IN BOWIE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
752 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0747 PM     HAIL             STEPHENVILLE            32.22N  98.22W
02/10/2009  E1.75 INCH       ERATH              TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            REPORTED BY RETIRED NWS METEOROLOGIST.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
800 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RISING STAR             32.10N  98.97W
02/10/2009                   EASTLAND           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ONTO A RESIDENCE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
801 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EASTLAND                32.40N  98.82W
02/10/2009                   EASTLAND           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER LINES DOWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
806 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     HAIL             BLUFF DALE              32.35N  98.02W
02/10/2009  E1.00 INCH       ERATH              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER