Tornado Warning 1, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WWUS54 KFWD 110028
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
628 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXC337-110045-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T0045Z/
MONTAGUE TX-
628 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MONTAGUE COUNTY...

AT 628 PM CST...STORM SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF
NOCONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL NORTHERN MONTAGUE COUNTY AT 640 PM CST

IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE AND 
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A REINFORCED BUILDING. AS
A LAST RESORT...LIE FLAT IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3398 9760 3391 9757 3391 9754 3385 9760
      3375 9777 3375 9791 3382 9795 3388 9790
      3386 9788 3389 9780 3399 9769
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 221DEG 37KT 3385 9780

$$

82/JLD

000 
WWUS54 KFWD 110045
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
645 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXC337-110054-
/O.EXP.KFWD.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T0045Z/
MONTAGUE TX-
644 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MONTAGUE COUNTY EXPIRES AT
645 PM CST...

AT 644 PM CST THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO 
WARNING WAS LOCATED ALONG THE RED RIVER AND WAS EXITING THE WARNED 
AREA. THE WARNING EXPIRED.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3398 9760 3391 9757 3391 9754 3385 9760
      3375 9777 3375 9791 3382 9795 3388 9790
      3386 9788 3389 9780 3399 9769
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 221DEG 37KT 3397 9767

$$

82/JLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
531 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

.AVIATION...
/00Z UPDATE/

SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH
TEXAS WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH
THE EVENING AS FORCING FROM UPPER TROF TO THE WEST OVERSPREADS THE
AREA. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE
WILL MARCH ACROSS THE METROPLEX AIRPORTS LATER THIS EVENING. WILL
START OUT WITH A VCTS IN THE METROPLEX TO ACCOUNT FOR SCATTERED
ACTIVITY WITH MVFR CIGS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME SCATTERING OF THE
LOWER CIGS TO THE WEST. TIMING OF THE CONVECTION IS BETWEEN 2-5Z
RIGHT NOW AND WILL MAKE SOME TWEAKS AS NECESSARY. MAIN THREAT WILL
BE STRONG WEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE OF TSTMS. SEVERE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50KTS POSSIBLE WITH STRONGEST STORMS. OTHER
CONCERN IS STRONG WEST WINDS BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE A CROSSWIND PROBLEM ON N/S RUNWAYS TONIGHT.
ATTM...IT DOESNT APPEAR THE THE BLDU FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA AS PRECIP SHOULD INHIBIT THIS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
VFR CONDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

91/DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009/
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WHILE STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING
FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO ABILENE ALONG THE DRYLINE. UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS NOW MOVING THROUGH COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO AND WILL PASS
ALONG JUST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER TONIGHT. CURRENT THOUGHTS
REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IS
STILL THE SAME AND REFER USERS TO CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER PRODUCTS
/I.E. AWU...MCD...SWODY1/ FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

EXPECT THE SQUALL LINE TO DEVELOP/MOVE INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES
DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE LINE SHOULD BE CLEARING THE I-35
CORRIDOR BY 10 PM AND THEN THROUGH THE EASTERN COUNTIES BY 3 OR 4 AM.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF A QUARTER INCH TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT
DO NOT EXPECT MUCH OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT DUE TO THE QUICK
EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AHEAD OF THE LINE OF
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN FOR STRONG
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE DRYLINE AND FRONT.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND VERY DRY AIR
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S WOULD SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE
THREAT ON WEDNESDAY BUT HOPE THAT DECENT RAINFALL TONIGHT WILL
MITIGATE FIRE THREAT. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FIRE WEATHER STATEMENTS
OR WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON RAIN COOLED AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE. HAVE GONE ON THE COOLER SIDE OF
MOS GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT WHICH MAY END UP BEING TOO WARM.
SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS AS A
COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES
WILL MISS US TO THE NORTH AND CHANCE FOR RAIN STILL LOOKS SLIM
THIS WEEK...BUT MAY SEE SOME PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ONE
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE STATE. AFTER TONIGHT/S PACIFIC
FRONT...NEXT FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER FRONT ON
SUNDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO MAKE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED IS NOT TOO HIGH...BUT
MAJORITY OF MODELS ARE CLOSE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.

82/JLD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  46  69  42  72  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
WACO, TX              46  73  38  74  51 /  80   0   0   5   5
PARIS, TX             47  66  38  68  44 / 100  10   0   5   5
DENTON, TX            45  69  36  73  49 / 100   0   0   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          45  67  36  71  48 / 100   0   0   5   5
DALLAS, TX            48  71  43  73  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
TERRELL, TX           47  69  38  71  49 /  90   0   0   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         47  73  43  73  48 /  80   0   0   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            48  73  40  73  51 /  70   0   0   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
604 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
604 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS AS A STRONG SQUALL MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

THE SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY REACH THE I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 8
AND 9 PM...THEN EXIT THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES BY 3 AM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD
OF THE SQUALL LINE..THEN FOR STRONG WEST WINDS BEHIND IT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG WEST WINDS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEXT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
510 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ101-102345-
JACK TX-
510 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN JACK COUNTY

AT 510 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRAHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 35 MPH. A SECOND STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF
ANTELOPE IN THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF JACK COUNTY. THIS STORM WAS
ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE POSTOAK AND ANTELOPE.

HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3347 9798 3344 9798 3315 9839 3320 9843
      3324 9841 3339 9842 3348 9833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 219DEG 32KT 3325 9840

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
523 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ100-110000-
YOUNG TX-
523 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN YOUNG COUNTY

AT 523 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SEYMOUR TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THROCKMORTON...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE OLNEY.

HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM THESE STORMS.

IF THIS LINE OF STORMS INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE
NEEDED FOR PARTS OF WESTERN YOUNG COUNTY BY 545 PM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3340 9896 3340 9868 3296 9869 3296 9895
      3296 9896
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 264DEG 17KT 3349 9902 3306 9928

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
551 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ091-110015-
MONTAGUE TX-
551 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN MONTAGUE COUNTY

AT 551 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES WEST OF BOWIE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE NOCONA AND STONEBURG.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3382 9764 3350 9798 3351 9799 3390 9798
      3386 9786 3392 9777
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 221DEG 37KT 3358 9807

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
553 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ101-110030-
JACK TX-
553 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN JACK COUNTY

AT 553 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF MINERAL WELLS...MOVING
NORTH AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE JACKSBORO.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3331 9834 3329 9799 3300 9803 3301 9840
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 200DEG 32KT 3302 9828

82/JLD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
555 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ100-115-110030-
YOUNG TX-STEPHENS TX-
555 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL STEPHENS COUNTY
  SOUTHERN YOUNG COUNTY

AT 555 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF BRECKENRIDGE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GRAHAM AND CRYSTAL FALLS.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM.

LAT...LON 3297 9898 3297 9896 3299 9896 3324 9884
      3310 9848 3277 9891 3286 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 218DEG 44KT 3289 9891

25

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
615 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ129-110045-
EASTLAND TX-
615 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTLAND COUNTY

AT 615 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF CISCO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CISCO...EASTLAND AND RANGER.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3252 9900 3251 9896 3251 9848 3218 9901
      3228 9913 3235 9912
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 219DEG 51KT 3232 9900