Tornado Warning 9, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WWUS54 KFWD 110415
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1015 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXC293-110425-
/O.CAN.KFWD.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-090211T0430Z/
LIMESTONE TX-
1015 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3184 9599 3169 9641 3170 9643 3181 9650
      3182 9648 3200 9606 3197 9604 3196 9605
      3195 9603 3191 9600 3188 9602 3186 9598
TIME...MOT...LOC 0415Z 249DEG 46KT 3179 9639

$$

TXC161-110430-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-090211T0430Z/
FREESTONE TX-
1015 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
FREESTONE COUNTY...

AT 1015 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
POTENTIAL TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WORTHAM...MOVING
EAST AT 55 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  KIRVIN AND STREETMAN BY 1020 PM CST...

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT...OR ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME IN AN
INTERIOR CLOSET OR BATHROOM. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS FOR COVER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3184 9599 3169 9641 3170 9643 3181 9650
      3182 9648 3200 9606 3197 9604 3196 9605
      3195 9603 3191 9600 3188 9602 3186 9598
TIME...MOT...LOC 0415Z 249DEG 46KT 3179 9639

$$

82/JLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
944 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

.UPDATE...
TORNADO WATCHES 8 AND 10 HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH TORNADO WATCH 12
UNTIL 500 AM (11UTC). SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO MAKE GOOD PROGRESS
ACROSS THE CWA WITH SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUING UNTIL MIDNIGHT OR
SHORTLY AFTER. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE
BIGGEST CONCERN...BUT THERE STILL COULD BE A QUICK SPIN UP ON THE
LEADING EDGE THAT PRODUCES A BRIEF TORNADO.

EXTRAPOLATION OF THE SQUALL LINE PLACES IT FROM PARIS TO ATHENS AND
CENTERVILLE AROUND 1100 PM. WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR COUNTIES
FROM THE WATCH AS THE LINE MOVES EAST. ZONES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
SENT. 75

&&

.AVIATION...
/00Z UPDATE/

SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH
TEXAS WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH
THE EVENING AS FORCING FROM UPPER TROF TO THE WEST OVERSPREADS THE
AREA. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE
WILL MARCH ACROSS THE METROPLEX AIRPORTS LATER THIS EVENING. WILL
START OUT WITH A VCTS IN THE METROPLEX TO ACCOUNT FOR SCATTERED
ACTIVITY WITH MVFR CIGS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME SCATTERING OF THE
LOWER CIGS TO THE WEST. TIMING OF THE CONVECTION IS BETWEEN 2-5Z
RIGHT NOW AND WILL MAKE SOME TWEAKS AS NECESSARY. MAIN THREAT WILL
BE STRONG WEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE OF TSTMS. SEVERE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50KTS POSSIBLE WITH STRONGEST STORMS. OTHER
CONCERN IS STRONG WEST WINDS BEHIND THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE A CROSSWIND PROBLEM ON N/S RUNWAYS TONIGHT.
ATTM...IT DOESNT APPEAR THE THE BLDU FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA AS PRECIP SHOULD INHIBIT THIS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
VFR CONDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.     91/DUNN

&&

.PREV UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
755 PM CST.
HAVE EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 008 UNTIL 10 PM AND REMOVED EASTLAND...
STEPHENS...AND YOUNG COUNTIES FROM IT.

TORNADO WATCH 10 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BUT WILL LIKELY
BE REPLACE WITH A NEW ONE SHORTLY BEFORE IT EXPIRES AS CONVECTION
WILL STILL BE ONGOING IN THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CURRENT WATCH.
75

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009/
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WHILE STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING
FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO ABILENE ALONG THE DRYLINE. UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH IS NOW MOVING THROUGH COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO AND WILL PASS
ALONG JUST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER TONIGHT. CURRENT THOUGHTS
REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IS
STILL THE SAME AND REFER USERS TO CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER PRODUCTS
/I.E. AWU...MCD...SWODY1/ FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

EXPECT THE SQUALL LINE TO DEVELOP/MOVE INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES
DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE LINE SHOULD BE CLEARING THE I-35
CORRIDOR BY 10 PM AND THEN THROUGH THE EASTERN COUNTIES BY 3 OR 4 AM.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF A QUARTER INCH TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT
DO NOT EXPECT MUCH OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT DUE TO THE QUICK
EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE LINE. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AHEAD OF THE LINE OF
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THEN FOR STRONG
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE DRYLINE AND FRONT.

THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND VERY DRY AIR
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S WOULD SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE
THREAT ON WEDNESDAY BUT HOPE THAT DECENT RAINFALL TONIGHT WILL
MITIGATE FIRE THREAT. WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FIRE WEATHER STATEMENTS
OR WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON RAIN COOLED AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE. HAVE GONE ON THE COOLER SIDE OF
MOS GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT WHICH MAY END UP BEING TOO WARM.
SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS AS A
COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. SEVERAL SHORTWAVES
WILL MISS US TO THE NORTH AND CHANCE FOR RAIN STILL LOOKS SLIM
THIS WEEK...BUT MAY SEE SOME PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ONE
SHORTWAVE SWINGS ACROSS THE STATE. AFTER TONIGHT/S PACIFIC
FRONT...NEXT FRONT WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER FRONT ON
SUNDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO MAKE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST AND THUS CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED IS NOT TOO HIGH...BUT
MAJORITY OF MODELS ARE CLOSE IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.   82/JLD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  46  69  42  72  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
WACO, TX              46  73  38  74  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
PARIS, TX             47  66  38  68  44 /  90  10   0   5   5
DENTON, TX            45  69  36  73  49 / 100   0   0   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          45  67  36  71  48 / 100   0   0   5   5
DALLAS, TX            48  71  43  73  51 / 100   0   0   5   5
TERRELL, TX           47  69  38  71  49 / 100   0   0   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         47  73  43  73  48 /  90   0   0   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            48  73  40  73  51 / 100   0   0   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

 /75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
604 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
604 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS AS A STRONG SQUALL MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

THE SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY REACH THE I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 8
AND 9 PM...THEN EXIT THE FAR EASTERN COUNTIES BY 3 AM.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD
OF THE SQUALL LINE..THEN FOR STRONG WEST WINDS BEHIND IT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY FOR
STRONG WEST WINDS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEXT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
844 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W SANGER              33.36N  97.23W
02/10/2009  E60 MPH          DENTON             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            ESTIMATED BY SPOTTER.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
859 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0854 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S GRANBURY            32.40N  97.79W
02/10/2009                   HOOD               TX   STORM CHASER

            HWY 144 SOUTH...POLES AND POWER LINES DOWN OVER THE
            ROAD.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
912 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     HAIL             BLUM                    32.14N  97.40W
02/10/2009  E1.00 INCH       HILL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NICKLE TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR BLUE ON FM 2604.E

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
928 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0924 PM     TSTM WND GST     HILLSBORO               32.01N  97.12W
02/10/2009  M88 MPH          HILL               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED BY MOBILE SPOTTER.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
937 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WACO                    31.57N  97.18W
02/10/2009                   MCLENNAN           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF BLOWN OFF OF A RESTAURANT NEAR BAYLOR UNIVERSITY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
944 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRUCEVILLE-EDDY         31.31N  97.25W
02/10/2009                   MCLENNAN           TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            18 WHEEL TRACTOR TRAILER BLOWN OVER NEAR EDDY