Severe Thunderstorm Warning 481, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 221858
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
158 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

MOC009-043-109-209-221915-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0481.000000T0000Z-080722T1915Z/
LAWRENCE MO-STONE MO-CHRISTIAN MO-BARRY MO-
158 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR CHRISTIAN...NORTHERN BARRY...NORTHERN STONE AND SOUTHERN LAWRENCE
COUNTIES...

AT 156 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF KELTNER TO ELSEY TO PIERCE CITY...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 28 MPH.
THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PIERCE CITY AND MONETT BY 205 PM CDT.

THE TOWN OF MCDOWELL IS IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

DAMAGING WINDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAIN.
DO NOT WAIT FOR THE RAIN OR THUNDER TO START BEFORE TAKING COVER.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3682 9406 3706 9406 3698 9363 3703 9350
      3708 9291 3681 9292
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 032DEG 25KT 3684 9285 3682 9353
          3699 9402

$$

HATCH

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 221907
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
207 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

MOC009-043-109-209-221917-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0481.000000T0000Z-080722T1915Z/
LAWRENCE MO-STONE MO-CHRISTIAN MO-BARRY MO-
207 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CHRISTIAN...NORTHERN BARRY...
NORTHERN STONE AND SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 215 PM
CDT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WERE NO
LONGER SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3682 9406 3706 9406 3698 9363 3703 9350
      3708 9291 3681 9292
TIME...MOT...LOC 1907Z 032DEG 25KT 3679 9289 3677 9357
          3694 9406

$$

HATCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1224 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.UPDATE...

CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
NORTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING. RECENT RADAR TRENDS
INDICATE A MORE SOUTHWARD TURN TO THE CONVECTION ALONG A LOW
LEVEL THETA E GRADIENT. HAVE HAD A FEW REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL WITH
THESE STORMS IN THE LSX CWA. THESE HAIL REPORTS CORRELATED WELL
WITH 55 DBZ REFLECTIVITIES TO AROUND 30 KFT MSL. A COUPLE OF
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE DRAPED ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS. ONE SUCH
BOUNDARY IS SINKING SOUTH TOWARDS THE HIGHWAY 60 CORRIDOR. ANOTHER
MORE DIFFUSE BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR FORT SCOTT KANSAS TO WEST
PLAINS.

KSGF MORNING SOUNDING REVEALS A FEW INTERESTING FEATURES. FIRST
OFF...THIS RAOB EXHIBITS A DECENT WET/HYBRID MICROBURST SIGNATURE.
THIS IS FURTHER BACKED BY THE THETA E DIFFERENTIAL BETWEEN THE
SURFACE AND AROUND 700 MB. ALSO...A MODIFIED SOUNDING YIELDS
AROUND 2000 J/KG OF CAPE WITH A DECENT LOW LEVEL MIXED LAYER. WITH
ALL THAT SAID...WILL NEED TO WATCH STORMS CLOSELY TODAY AS
MICROBURST POTENTIAL IS UP THERE. WILL ALSO NEED TO WATCH THIS
MULTICELL CLUSTER ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI...WITH THE MOST LIKELY
AREA FOR SEVERE WINDS ALONG ANY SEGMENTS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD.
LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL IS ALSO THERE GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY. MEAN STORM MOTIONS WILL NOT BE ALL THAT GREAT TODAY
EITHER...SO HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT...
ESPECIALLY WITH ANY TRAINING STORMS.

INITIAL EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR THAT CLUSTER OF STORMS TO CONTINUE
MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG THAT THETA
E GRADIENT. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS THEN EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON ALONG ANY REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. HAVE UPDATED POP AND WEATHER GRIDS
TO COVER THIS THINKING. ALSO LOWERED TEMPERATURES SEVERAL
CATEGORIES ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI DUE TO EXPECTED RAIN AND CLOUD
COVER. UPDATES ALREADY SENT.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITH THE CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG WITH HOT TEMPERATURES AND
HEAT INDEX VALUES.

MAIN CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CONTINUES TO AFFECT AREAS TO THE NORTH OF
THE CWA WITH MAIN SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STILL ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSOURI. RADAR AS OF 07Z SHOWING A LONE CELL OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI...BUT MAIN ORGANIZED WEATHER WILL REMAIN AROUND MAIN
SURFACE FRONT AND ANY CONVECTIVELY INDUCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

SEVERAL SHORTWAVES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE GREAT LAKES UPPER LOW
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH RIDGE AXIS REMAINING POSITIONED
FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS CHANGE TO
A MORE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO SINK SOUTH INTO THE CWA TODAY AND BECOME MORE
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED. INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE TODAY
AS TEMPERATURES RISE BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH
FRONT/OUTFLOWS ACTING AS FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORM
REDEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WITH CAPES OF 3000-4000 J/KG
POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOME OF THE STORMS IN THIS
CORRIDOR MAY BECOME SEVERE. TEMPERATURES TODAY MAY BE MORE TRICKY
THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS AS WE WILL BE DEALING WITH INCREASED CLOUD
COVER FROM CURRENT MCS ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AFTERNOON
CONVECTION REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NORTHEAST SECTION OF THE CWA.
WHILE THAT AREA HAS HAD THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURES THE PAST FEW
DAYS...IT WILL LIKELY BE THE COOLER SPOT TODAY. SOUTHWEST SECTIONS
OF THE CWA WILL LIKELY REACH BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S WHILE
NORTHEAST SECTIONS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. MCS
ACTIVITY AGAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT BUT FURTHER SOUTH FROM CURRENT
COMPLEX WHICH IS AFFECTING NORTHERN MISSOURI.

MODELS SHIFT MAIN INSTABILITY AXIS FURTHER SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
AND LOOKS LIKE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI THEN.

RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AGAIN BY THURSDAY WITH MORE SHORTWAVE
ENERGY MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF CYCLE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT MVFR WITH BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS
AROUND STORMS...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO
CLEAR LATER THIS EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-231800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
100 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT
  CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH
  TONIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
  MOVE SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON
  HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH
  OF THE HIGHWAY 60 CORRIDOR. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE
  REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
  WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
  DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI
  OVERNIGHT...ROUGHLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 65.

  WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT
  CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALL BE
  POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON A
  DAILY BASIS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
  WEEKEND AS SEVERAL UPPER DISTURBANCES PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
  AND INTERACT WITH AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING
  ACROSS ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
113 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0106 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 N SPRINGFIELD         37.25N  93.27W
07/22/2008  M59 MPH          GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
120 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1145 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HUMANSVILLE             37.79N  93.58W
07/22/2008                   POLK               MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROOF OF BUSINESS DAMAGED.

&&

AF