River Flood Warning 35, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 010125
FLSSGF




FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
825 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008





...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY
   
.HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
RISE.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-011625-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0035.080401T0700Z-080403T1800Z/
/TBNM7.1.ER.080401T0700Z.080401T1800Z.080402T1800Z.NO/
825 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:53 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE PONTOON 
  TRAINING AREA. 

$$

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 011403
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 

.SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE OSAGE AND GASCONADE
RIVER BASINS ON MONDAY. RUNOFF WAS NEARLY COMPLETE ON THE SAC
RIVER...BUT CONTINUES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE RIVER BASINS.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY
OCCUR ACROSS THESE RIVER BASINS LATER THIS WEEK WHICH WILL LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL FLOODING AND HIGHER CRESTS. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-020503-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080403T1800Z/
/TBNM7.1.ER.080401T1441Z.080401T1800Z.080402T1800Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 12.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE HAPPY 
  HOLLOW PICNIC AREA. 

$$

MOC217-020502-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-080405T0939Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080331T2110Z.080401T0945Z.080404T0939Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD NEAR 24 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT
  BEFORE SLOWLY FALLING. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE COUNTY ROAD...WEST OF 
  THE GAGE SITE...TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. 

$$

MOC039-020502-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080402T1512Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.080331T1925Z.080401T0130Z.080401T1512Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE... 
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

MOC097-020502-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080402T2100Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.080401T0745Z.080401T1300Z.080401T2100Z.NO/
903 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. IN 
  ADDITION...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37...EAST OF 
  CARTHAGE...BETWEEN AVILLA AND REEDS. 

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 011623
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1123 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 
  SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS AFFECTING CEDAR COUNTY 

.SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE BIG PINEY AND SAC
RIVER BASINS ON MONDAY. RUNOFF WAS NEARLY COMPLETE ON THE SAC RIVER...BUT 
CONTINUES OVER THE BIG PINEY RIVER BASIN. IN ADDITION...MORE HEAVY 
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES BY
FRIDAY. THEREFORE...ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ACROSS THIS RIVER
BASINS LATER THIS WEEK.  

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-020723-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080403T1200Z/
/TBNM7.1.ER.080401T1741Z.080402T0000Z.080402T1200Z.NO/
1123 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE PONTOON 
  TRAINING AREA. 

$$

MOC039-020722-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080402T1655Z/
/CMZM7.2.ER.080331T1925Z.080401T0130Z.080401T1655Z.NO/
1123 AM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAC RIVER NEAR CAPLINGER MILLS.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE GAGE SITE...
  AND THE CAMPGROUND AT CAPLINGER MILLS BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 011819
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
119 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 
  JAMES RIVER AT GALENA AFFECTING STONE COUNTY 
  MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA AFFECTING VERNON COUNTY 

.SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE OSAGE AND JAMES RIVER
BASIN ON MONDAY. RUNOFF CONTINUES OVER THE BASINS WHICH WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. PLEASE BE AWARE THAT ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS
OF ONE TO THREE INCHES MAY OCCUR ACROSS THESE RIVER BASINS LATER THIS
WEEK WHICH WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING AND HIGHER CRESTS. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-020919-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080403T1200Z/
/TBNM7.1.ER.080401T2140Z.080402T0000Z.080402T1200Z.NO/
119 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE PONTOON 
  TRAINING AREA. 

$$

MOC209-020918-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0038.080402T0527Z-080403T1810Z/
/GLNM7.1.ER.080402T0527Z.080402T1200Z.080402T1810Z.NO/
119 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT GALENA.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT SHOAL CANOE 
  RENTAL AND MOTEL...ONE MILE SOUTH OF THE GAGE SITE. IN ADDITION, 
  RAILEY CREEK AT THE RENTAL AND MOTEL AREA...BEGINS TO BACKWATER 
  ALONG JAMES RIVER.   

$$

MOC217-020918-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-080404T2139Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.080331T2110Z.080402T1800Z.080403T2139Z.NO/
119 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MARMATON RIVER NEAR NEVADA.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS CAUSE THE COUNTY ROAD...WEST OF 
  THE GAGE SITE...TO BECOME IMPASSABLE. 

$$

JLT

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 020239
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
939 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE REGION HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
RISE. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING AND MAY AFFECT FUTURE RIVER FORECASTS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-021739-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080403T1500Z/
/TBNM7.1.ER.080401T2230Z.080402T0600Z.080402T1500Z.NO/
939 PM CDT TUE APR 01 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE PONTOON 
  TRAINING AREA. 

$$

000 
WGUS83 KSGF 021543
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1043 AM CDT WED APR 02 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY

.THE HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT ON MONDAY AND RESIDUAL RUNOFF IS NEARLY
COMPLETE AND HAS ALLOWED THE BIG PINEY RIVER TO SLOWLY FALL OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE BIG PINEY RIVER TO FLOOD AGAIN. 

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THURSDAY.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC169-021613-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-080403T1500Z/
/TBNM7.N.ER.080401T2230Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT WED APR 02 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.0 FEET LATE 
  TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE PONTOON 
  TRAINING AREA. 

$$

JLT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
112 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. AN
ELEVATED SITUATIONAL AWARENESS IS ADVISED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS ANTICIPATED WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHERN KANSAS
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST WITH THE AID OF AN 850MB LOW LEVEL
JET. CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THIS MORNING WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ALONG A
SURFACE FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR GAGE OKLAHOMA TO NEAR
WICHITA KANSAS TO NEAR KANSAS CITY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE HAS
DEVELOPED IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT IS A MOIST AIRMASS
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S AND 60S. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL BE KICKED INTO THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW DEEPENS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST
INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITH THE NAM
AND GFS PROGGING LAPSE RATES STEEPENING TO NEAR 7 DEGREES
CELSIUS/KM...0-6KM BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KTS...AND PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OVER AN INCH.

THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR SOUTH OF
LINE FROM NEAR JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD TO BRANSON WHERE THE GFS AND
NAM MODELS PROG 0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES GENERALLY 300-400 M2/S2.
ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THUS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME TORNADIC.
FACTORS THE COULD HINDER THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES INCLUDE
LIMITED HEATING AND SURFACE CAPE DUE TO CLOUD COVER.

THE CONVECTION WILL EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE AND MOVE FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL
AND HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.

BY TUESDAY MORNING THE FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH
COOLER AND DRY AIR SETTLING IN. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL WITH READINGS IN THE 50S. FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
MORNING WITH LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

ANGLE

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE SHORTWAVES RIDE THE QUASI
ZONAL FLOW AND INTERACT WITH A MEANDERING EAST-WEST ORIENTED
BAROLINOC ZONE. 850 MB WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY
WELL AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE COMING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES. PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. EXPECT RAINFALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTION INCREASE
OVERTOP A SURFACE WARM FRONT THAT WILL BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED FROM
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EAST ALONG THE MISSOURI ARKANSAS BORDER.
ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGHER RAINFALL RATES.

A SURFACE LOW IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
RAINFALL. THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER EXIST BUT IS DEPENDENT
UPON THE PLACEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT. IF THE WARM SECTOR LIFTS
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI AS PROGGED BY THE GFS THE POTENTIAL
OF SURFACE BASED STORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER WOULD INCREASE. IN THE
VERY LEAST...IT APPEARS THAT ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP AND AGGRAVATE EXISTING FLOODING THAT WILL LIKELY
TRANSPIRE TODAY AND TONIGHT. IF THIS ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN
DEVELOPS...SERIOUS FLOODING COULD UNFOLD DURING MID AND LATE WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND OTHERS WITH FLOOD RELATED CONCERNS ARE
URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST...AND RIVER STAGES AND
FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEK.

FOSTER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A
COLD FRON WILL AFFECT BOTH TERMINALS THROUGH 00Z AT JLN AND 02Z AT
SGF. CEILINGS AND VISBILITIES WILL BE IFR TO LIFR NEAR
THUNDERSTROMS WITH GENERALLY MVFR CONDITION AHEAD AND JUST BEHIND
THE FRONT. SEVERE STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50
KTS WITH LARGE HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE. GUSTY SUSTAINED SOUTH WINDS OF
20 TO 30 KTS CAN BE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED AFTER THE
FRONT PASSES. WINDS WILL LIGHTEN UP OVERNIGHT WITH A HIGH OVERCAST
EXPECTED.

FOSTER

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISOLATED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE IN
A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME WILL CREATE NUMEROUS AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING AS THE WATER DRAINS INTO CREEKS..STREAMS AND RIVERS
THERE WILL BE RAPID RISES IN LEVELS DUE TO THE SATURATED SOIL AND
RUGGED TERRAIN OF THE OZARKS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY ALONG A STALLED FRONT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THIS
RAINFALL ON TOP OF RAINFALL RECEIVED TODAY AND TONIGHT COULD
AGGRAVATE EXISTING FLOODING...AND QUICKLY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
AND SERIOUS RIVER FLOODING.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND OTHERS WITH FLOOD RELATED CONCERNS ARE
URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST...AND RIVER STAGES AND
FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEK.

ANGLE/FOSTER

&&

.CLIMATE...

MARCH 2008 WILL BE RECORDED AS A HISTORICAL WET MONTH. THE TABLE
BELOW LISTS THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION RECEIVED SO FAR AT EACH
STATION ALONG WITH THE CURRENT RECORD RANK AND THE RECORD MARCH
PRECIPITATION TOTALS ALONG WITH THE YEAR.

LOCATION     MARCH PRECIP SO FAR   CURRENT RANK   MARCH RECORDS

SPRINGFIELD         8.71              5TH         9.09 1935 (1)
                                                   7.87 1990 (5)
JOPLIN              5.93              8TH         9.04 1973 (1)
                                                   5.93 1975 (8)
WEST PLAINS        13.57              1ST         9.87 2002 (1)
VICHY ROLLA         8.31              1ST         7.41 1945 (1)

ANGLE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
104 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
104 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

 DAMAGING WIND UP TO 70 MPH.
 LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
 ISOLATED TORNADOES.
 FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS
 THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT
 SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
 CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
 CASSVILLE TO SPRINGFIELD TO OSAGE BEACH THROUGH 400 PM...THIS
 INCLUDES EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
 MISSOURI.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROGRESSIVELY SPREAD TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL STEADILY INCREASE FROM WEST TO
EAST FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CASSVILLE TO
SPRINGFIELD TO OSAGE BEACH AFTER 300 PM.

 THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL END AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES
 THROUGH THE AREA. AT 100 PM...THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED OVER
 EASTERN KANSAS BACK INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO AREAS NEAR THE MISSOURI KANSAS STATE LINE AFTER 4 PM...MOVING
THROUGH THE WARSAW...BOLIVAR...SPRINGFIELD AND REEDS SPRING AREAS
BY 8 PM AND THE EASTERN OZARKS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

 SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
 COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. AMPLE MOISTURE...INSTABILITY AND WIND
 SHEAR WILL BE AVAILABLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT TO MAINTAIN THE
 RISK OF TORNADOES...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND GUSTS
 TO 70 MPH. HEADING INTO THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
 TO COMBINE INTO A SQUALL LINE. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER RISKS
WITH THIS SQUALL LINE WILL BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH AND HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...HOWEVER ISOLATED TORNADOES WITHIN THE
LINE OF STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

 IN ADDITION TO SEVERE WEATHER...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
 IS EXPECTED AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL
 ACCOMPANY THESE THUNDERSTORMS. VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN WITHIN
 THIS ACTIVITY WILL LEAD TO RAPID RAINFALL ACCUMULATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  ANOTHER ROUND OF FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
  ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA ALONG AND NORTH OF A STALLED FRONT.
  THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
234 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N NEOSHO              36.90N 94.37W
03/31/2008                   NEWTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PUMP AND PANTRY GAS STATION ON GATEWAY DRIVE NORTH OF
            NEOSHO COLLAPSED DUE TO HIGH WINDS. GAS STATION COLLAPSED
            ON AN OCCUPIED VEHICLE. A RECUE OPERATION IS CURRENTLY
            UNDERWAY. DAMAGE PATH EXTENDS TO RAVENWOOD WHERE TWO
            HOMES ARE REPORTED TO BE DESTROYED. NUMEROUS TREES AND
            POWER LINES ARE REPORTED TO BE DOWN.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
246 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     TSTM WND GST     MONETT                  36.92N 93.93W
03/31/2008  E0 MPH           BARRY              MO   PUBLIC

            60 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED NEAR MONETT.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
251 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONETT                  36.92N 93.93W
03/31/2008                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RACE BROTHERS STORE AND CHURCH AT THE INTERSECTION OF HWY
            37 AT THE CITY LIMITS DAMAGED. TRACTOR TRAILOR TURNED ON
            ITS SIDE.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
253 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S SENECA              36.83N 94.61W
03/31/2008                   NEWTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE AND POWER LINES DAMAGED. DAMAGE
            EXTENDS INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

&&

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
255 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W HUMANSVILLE         37.79N  93.60W
03/31/2008  E60 MPH          POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWERLINES DOWN NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON 91 LOOP

&&

LD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
256 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S SENECA              36.83N 94.61W
03/31/2008                   NEWTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE AND POWER LINES DAMAGED. DAMAGE
            EXTENDS INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

&&

KARDELL