Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 709
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2007, 10:43 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 17, 2007, 10:43 AM CDT (15:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 17, 2007, 5:42 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 56 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 12:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chautauqua, Elk, Montgomery | 43 min |
| Oct 17, 12:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson | 42 min |
| Oct 17, 1:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Allen, Labette, Neosho, Wilson | 38 min |
| Oct 17, 1:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon, Crawford | 56 min |
| Oct 17, 2:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn | 51 min |
| Oct 17, 2:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Vernon | 37 min |
| Oct 17, 3:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Johnson | 38 min |
| Oct 17, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Rogers, Wagoner | 54 min |
| Oct 17, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 42 min |
| Oct 17, 4:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Benton | 40 min |
| Oct 17, 4:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline | 50 min |
| Oct 17, 4:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers | 44 min |
| Oct 17, 4:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig | 44 min |
| Oct 17, 4:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | McDonald | 42 min |
| Oct 17, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon | 25 min |
| Oct 17, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Bourbon | 34 min |
| Oct 17, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 42 min |
| Oct 17, 5:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Barry, Newton | 36 min |
| Oct 17, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Henry, Johnson, Pettis | 41 min |
| Oct 17, 5:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Vernon | 36 min |
| Oct 17, 5:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Henry, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline | 6 hr |
| Oct 17, 5:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Lawrence | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 389 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -89 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 632 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 195 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 218 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 171543
SEL9
SPC WW 171543
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-172300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1045 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHANUTE
KANSAS TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 708...
DISCUSSION...STRONG SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEEPEN INTO PLAINS WITH
RAPID INCREASE IN MOISTURE/INSTABILITY NWD THROUGH WATCH AREA.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NRN OK EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING NEWD
WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 9:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 5 more | 114 min |
| Oct 17, 10:24 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Washington | 96 min |
| Oct 17, 11:13 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 17, 2:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 14 more | 114 min |
| Oct 17, 4:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 55 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 17, 5:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 17, 1:12 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 13 more | 93 min |
| Oct 17, 1:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 21 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 17, 4:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Butler and 52 more | 113 min |
| Oct 17, 6:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman and 9 more | 100 min |
| Oct 17, 12:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 16 more | 92 min |
| Oct 17, 2:25 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barber, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Harper, Kingman and 4 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 17, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barton, Cloud, Decatur, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 21 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 17, 5:30 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford | 6 hr |
| Oct 17, 5:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Cloud, Decatur, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 22 more | 61 min |
| Oct 17, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 32 more | 37 min |
| Oct 17, 4:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton and 80 more | 31 min |
| Oct 16, 10:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills | 114 min |
| Oct 17, 1:36 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 17, 6:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more | 113 min |
| Oct 17, 7:43 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 17, 1:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal, Creek and 25 more | 85 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.