Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 709

October 17, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2007, 10:43 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 2007, 10:43 AM CDT (15:43 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 2007, 5:42 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 56 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 12:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChautauqua, Elk, Montgomery43 min
Oct 17, 12:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson42 min
Oct 17, 1:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Labette, Neosho, Wilson38 min
Oct 17, 1:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon, Crawford56 min
Oct 17, 2:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn51 min
Oct 17, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFVernon37 min
Oct 17, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXJohnson38 min
Oct 17, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSARogers, Wagoner54 min
Oct 17, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton42 min
Oct 17, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningTSABenton40 min
Oct 17, 4:10 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXJohnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline50 min
Oct 17, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Nowata, Rogers44 min
Oct 17, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig44 min
Oct 17, 4:33 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFMcDonald42 min
Oct 17, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon25 min
Oct 17, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon34 min
Oct 17, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford42 min
Oct 17, 5:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry, Newton36 min
Oct 17, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry, Johnson, Pettis41 min
Oct 17, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFVernon36 min
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXHenry, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline6 hr
Oct 17, 5:34 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFLawrence41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2007-10-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 389 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2007-10-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 195 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
389 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 171543
SEL9  
SPC WW 171543
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-172300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
       SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
       NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1045 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHANUTE
KANSAS TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 708...

DISCUSSION...STRONG SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEEPEN INTO PLAINS WITH
RAPID INCREASE IN MOISTURE/INSTABILITY NWD THROUGH WATCH AREA. 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NRN OK EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING NEWD
WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 9:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 5 more114 min
Oct 17, 10:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Washington96 min
Oct 17, 11:13 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more7 hr
Oct 17, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 14 more114 min
Oct 17, 4:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 55 more7 hr
Oct 17, 5:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 7 more2 hr
Oct 17, 1:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 13 more93 min
Oct 17, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 21 more7 hr
Oct 17, 4:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Butler and 52 more113 min
Oct 17, 6:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman and 9 more100 min
Oct 17, 12:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 16 more92 min
Oct 17, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Harper, Kingman and 4 more8 hr
Oct 17, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Cloud, Decatur, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 21 more7 hr
Oct 17, 5:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford6 hr
Oct 17, 5:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cloud, Decatur, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 22 more61 min
Oct 17, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 32 more37 min
Oct 17, 4:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton and 80 more31 min
Oct 16, 10:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills114 min
Oct 17, 1:36 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more7 hr
Oct 17, 6:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more113 min
Oct 17, 7:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 33 more7 hr
Oct 17, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal, Creek and 25 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.