Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 706

October 17, 200713 counties in Oklahoma; 24 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2007, 1:36 AM CDT for 13 counties in Oklahoma; 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 2007, 1:36 AM CDT (06:36 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 2007, 9:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Motley County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 2:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Gray, Roberts41 min
Oct 17, 3:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWoods, Woodward26 min
Oct 17, 8:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-10-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 234 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-10-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
234 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2083 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 170637
SEL6  
SPC WW 170637
OKZ000-TXZ000-171400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN OKLAHOMA
       THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
PLAINVIEW TEXAS TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF ALVA OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 705...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND POSSIBLY
INCREASE IN NUMBER INVOF DIFFUSE WARM FRONT EXTENDING ENE FROM SWRN
PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE INTO NW OK.  SLY LLJ SHOULD CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN AND MOISTEN WITH CONTINUED NE MOTION OF LEAD
IMPULSE...NOW OVER ERN NM...ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING LARGER SCALE
TROUGH OVER THE SRN RCKYS/GRT BASIN.  SETUP MAY SUPPORT NEAR
SFC-BASED STORMS THAT COULD POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IN
ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL GIVEN LOW LCLS AND CONSIDERABLE DIRECTIONAL
COMPONENT TO LOW LVL SHEAR.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 16, 10:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills114 min
Oct 17, 1:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Dewey, Ellis, Harmon, Harper and 4 more93 min
Oct 17, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Texas7 hr
Oct 17, 4:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Canadian, Cleveland, Craig, Creek and 19 more113 min
Oct 17, 6:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more113 min
Oct 17, 6:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Texas100 min
Oct 17, 7:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche and 33 more7 hr
Oct 17, 10:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Cleveland, Craig, Creek, Delaware and 25 more96 min
Oct 17, 10:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Haskell, McIntosh and 7 more7 hr
Oct 17, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal, Creek and 25 more85 min
Oct 17, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Atoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian and 44 more8 hr
Oct 17, 4:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Haskell, LeFlore and 9 more7 hr
Oct 17, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 43 more37 min
Oct 16, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hansford and 10 more2 hr
Oct 17, 4:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke and 32 more2 hr
Oct 17, 9:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Panola, Sabine and 2 more114 min
Oct 17, 11:13 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 21 more7 hr
Oct 17, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 22 more114 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.