Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 708

October 17, 200739 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2007, 7:43 AM CDT for 39 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 2007, 7:43 AM CDT (12:43 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 2007, 2:26 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Creek County, OK, Custer County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Noble County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Washington County, OK, Washita County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 8:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer43 min
Oct 17, 9:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKingfisher49 min
Oct 17, 9:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian25 min
Oct 17, 9:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarfield, Logan51 min
Oct 17, 9:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Kingfisher41 min
Oct 17, 10:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKay, Noble, Payne45 min
Oct 17, 10:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWashita26 min
Oct 17, 10:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee75 min
Oct 17, 11:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Washington71 min
Oct 17, 12:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Oklahoma46 min
Oct 17, 2:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Dewey49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2007-10-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 719 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2007-10-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 367 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
719 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
367 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
396 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
5.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 171249
SEL8  
SPC WW 171249
OKZ000-TXZ000-172100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 708
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
       WESTERN NORTH TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 745 AM UNTIL
400 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALTUS
OKLAHOMA TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 706...WW 707...

DISCUSSION...SLIGHTLY ELEVATED TSTMS/SUPERCELLS FORMING IN AREA OF
ASCENT AHEAD OF STRONG NM SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND
POSSIBLY STRENGTHEN AS LOW LVL MOISTURE INFLOW CONTINUES ACROSS
REGION.  WHILE SFC HEATING WILL BE LIMITED...COMBINATION OF WEAK MID
LVL COOLING...LOW LVL MOISTENING AND INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT
MAY ALLOW STORMS TO BECOME INCREASINGLY SFC-BASED.  STRENGTH OF LOW
LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH TO 300 MR PER S2/ AND LOW LCLS
SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES IF STORMS DO INDEED STRENGTHEN AND
BECOME SFC-BASED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 16, 10:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills114 min
Oct 17, 1:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Dewey, Ellis, Harmon, Harper and 4 more93 min
Oct 17, 1:36 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more7 hr
Oct 17, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Texas7 hr
Oct 17, 4:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Canadian, Cleveland, Craig, Creek and 19 more113 min
Oct 17, 6:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 7 more113 min
Oct 17, 6:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Texas100 min
Oct 17, 10:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Cleveland, Craig, Creek, Delaware and 25 more96 min
Oct 17, 10:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Haskell, McIntosh and 7 more7 hr
Oct 17, 1:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal, Creek and 25 more85 min
Oct 17, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Atoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian and 44 more8 hr
Oct 17, 4:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Haskell, LeFlore and 9 more7 hr
Oct 17, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Choctaw and 43 more37 min
Oct 16, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hansford and 10 more2 hr
Oct 17, 4:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke and 32 more2 hr
Oct 17, 9:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Panola, Sabine and 2 more114 min
Oct 17, 11:13 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 21 more7 hr
Oct 17, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin and 22 more114 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.