Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 70

March 23, 20075 counties in New Mexico; 27 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2007, 2:19 PM MDT for 5 counties in New Mexico; 27 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2007, 2:19 PM MDT (20:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 23, 2007, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Curry County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

58 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 3:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves54 min
Mar 23, 3:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy63 min
Mar 23, 3:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay67 min
Mar 23, 3:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster64 min
Mar 23, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea63 min
Mar 23, 4:28 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea62 min
Mar 23, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay60 min
Mar 23, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster60 min
Mar 23, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt62 min
Mar 23, 5:01 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFBrewster29 min
Mar 23, 5:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy60 min
Mar 23, 5:20 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFPecos55 min
Mar 23, 5:28 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea37 min
Mar 23, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReeves56 min
Mar 23, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReeves56 min
Mar 23, 5:42 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRoosevelt48 min
Mar 23, 5:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt57 min
Mar 23, 5:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFEddy5 hr
Mar 23, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry56 min
Mar 23, 6:08 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFReeves52 min
Mar 23, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy65 min
Mar 23, 6:16 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFPecos59 min
Mar 23, 6:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving42 min
Mar 23, 6:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt60 min
Mar 23, 6:43 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBBailey62 min
Mar 23, 6:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving51 min
Mar 23, 6:55 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRoosevelt50 min
Mar 23, 7:01 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLoving27 min
Mar 23, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea66 min
Mar 23, 7:12 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFPecos48 min
Mar 23, 7:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy62 min
Mar 23, 7:18 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRoosevelt42 min
Mar 23, 7:25 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFUpton65 min
Mar 23, 7:33 PM MDTTornado WarningABQCurry42 min
Mar 23, 7:35 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBParmer25 min
Mar 23, 7:57 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBParmer33 min
Mar 23, 8:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews16 min
Mar 23, 8:03 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRoosevelt42 min
Mar 23, 8:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea55 min
Mar 23, 8:05 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBBailey30 min
Mar 23, 8:09 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFEddy36 min
Mar 23, 8:12 PM MDTTornado WarningABQCurry48 min
Mar 23, 8:24 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBParmer66 min
Mar 23, 8:29 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFReagan, Upton38 min
Mar 23, 8:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey57 min
Mar 23, 8:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy65 min
Mar 23, 8:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFJeff Davis65 min
Mar 23, 8:47 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRoosevelt43 min
Mar 23, 8:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea67 min
Mar 23, 9:11 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLUBBailey, Parmer3 hr
Mar 23, 9:24 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFLea6 hr
Mar 23, 9:30 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBParmer30 min
Mar 23, 9:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy62 min
Mar 23, 9:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFJeff Davis61 min
Mar 23, 9:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReeves60 min
Mar 23, 9:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran, Yoakum58 min
Mar 23, 9:51 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBCastro39 min
Mar 23, 9:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1360 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1360 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
538 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
3.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 232022
SEL0  
SPC WW 232022
NMZ000-TXZ000-240400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 70
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EXTREME EASTERN NEW MEXICO
       FAR WEST AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MARFA TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 69...

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INCREASING OVER ERN NM WITHIN WW 63 AND OVER
SERN NM/SWRN TX IN ADVANCE OF VIGOROUS UPPER SYSTEM BEGINNING TO
TURN NEWD TOWARD SWRN NM.  LOW LEVEL SELY WINDS HAVE MAINTAINED
MOISTURE FIELD INTO ERN NM/WRN TX WHERE SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO
MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG. STRONG SSWLY FLOW ALOFT IS RESULTING IN
SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL STORMS...AND
DEVELOPING LLJ BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER FAR WRN TX WILL
ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES TO DEVELOP. ACTIVITY WILL
GRADUALLY DEVELOP EWD/NEWD WITH TIME AS THE UPPER LOW ACCELERATES
NEWD THIS EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 8:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEddy, Lea62 min
Mar 23, 3:11 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, De Baca, Eddy, Roosevelt94 min
Mar 23, 10:15 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColfax, Harding, Mora, Quay, San Miguel, Santa Fe and 2 more90 min
Mar 23, 12:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Lea, Roosevelt115 min
Mar 23, 12:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoña Ana, Grant, Hidalgo, Lincoln, Luna, Otero and 2 more62 min
Mar 23, 1:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBernalillo, Chaves, De Baca, Doña Ana, Grant, Guadalupe and 10 more8 hr
Mar 23, 2:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarding, Union62 min
Mar 23, 4:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoña Ana, Grant, Hidalgo, Luna, Sierra, Socorro and 2 more60 min
Mar 23, 5:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCurry, Lea, Roosevelt116 min
Mar 22, 6:27 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Cottle, Hardeman2 hr
Mar 23, 3:40 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCDallam, Deaf Smith, Hansford, Hartley, Hutchinson, Lipscomb and 6 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.