Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 70
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 23, 2007, 2:19 PM MDT for 5 counties in New Mexico; 27 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 23, 2007, 2:19 PM MDT (20:19 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2007, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 32 counties
Curry County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crane County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
58 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 3:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving, Reeves | 54 min |
| Mar 23, 3:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 63 min |
| Mar 23, 3:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Quay | 67 min |
| Mar 23, 3:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 64 min |
| Mar 23, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 63 min |
| Mar 23, 4:28 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 4:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Quay | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 4:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 5:01 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Brewster | 29 min |
| Mar 23, 5:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 5:20 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos | 55 min |
| Mar 23, 5:28 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 37 min |
| Mar 23, 5:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 56 min |
| Mar 23, 5:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 56 min |
| Mar 23, 5:42 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 48 min |
| Mar 23, 5:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 57 min |
| Mar 23, 5:48 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Eddy | 5 hr |
| Mar 23, 6:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Curry | 56 min |
| Mar 23, 6:08 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Reeves | 52 min |
| Mar 23, 6:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 6:16 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos | 59 min |
| Mar 23, 6:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving | 42 min |
| Mar 23, 6:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 6:43 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Bailey | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 6:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving | 51 min |
| Mar 23, 6:55 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 50 min |
| Mar 23, 7:01 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Loving | 27 min |
| Mar 23, 7:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 66 min |
| Mar 23, 7:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos | 48 min |
| Mar 23, 7:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 7:18 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 42 min |
| Mar 23, 7:25 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Upton | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 7:33 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Curry | 42 min |
| Mar 23, 7:35 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Parmer | 25 min |
| Mar 23, 7:57 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Parmer | 33 min |
| Mar 23, 8:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews | 16 min |
| Mar 23, 8:03 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 42 min |
| Mar 23, 8:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 55 min |
| Mar 23, 8:05 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Bailey | 30 min |
| Mar 23, 8:09 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Eddy | 36 min |
| Mar 23, 8:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Curry | 48 min |
| Mar 23, 8:24 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Parmer | 66 min |
| Mar 23, 8:29 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Reagan, Upton | 38 min |
| Mar 23, 8:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey | 57 min |
| Mar 23, 8:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 8:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 8:47 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Roosevelt | 43 min |
| Mar 23, 8:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 67 min |
| Mar 23, 9:11 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | LUB | Bailey, Parmer | 3 hr |
| Mar 23, 9:24 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Lea | 6 hr |
| Mar 23, 9:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Parmer | 30 min |
| Mar 23, 9:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 9:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis | 61 min |
| Mar 23, 9:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 9:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Yoakum | 58 min |
| Mar 23, 9:51 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Castro | 39 min |
| Mar 23, 9:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1360 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 538 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 168 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 3.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 232022
SEL0
SPC WW 232022
NMZ000-TXZ000-240400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 70
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME EASTERN NEW MEXICO
FAR WEST AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MARFA TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 69...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INCREASING OVER ERN NM WITHIN WW 63 AND OVER
SERN NM/SWRN TX IN ADVANCE OF VIGOROUS UPPER SYSTEM BEGINNING TO
TURN NEWD TOWARD SWRN NM. LOW LEVEL SELY WINDS HAVE MAINTAINED
MOISTURE FIELD INTO ERN NM/WRN TX WHERE SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO
MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG. STRONG SSWLY FLOW ALOFT IS RESULTING IN
SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL STORMS...AND
DEVELOPING LLJ BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER FAR WRN TX WILL
ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES TO DEVELOP. ACTIVITY WILL
GRADUALLY DEVELOP EWD/NEWD WITH TIME AS THE UPPER LOW ACCELERATES
NEWD THIS EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 8:43 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Eddy, Lea | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 3:11 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, De Baca, Eddy, Roosevelt | 94 min |
| Mar 23, 10:15 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colfax, Harding, Mora, Quay, San Miguel, Santa Fe and 2 more | 90 min |
| Mar 23, 12:20 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Lea, Roosevelt | 115 min |
| Mar 23, 12:43 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Doña Ana, Grant, Hidalgo, Lincoln, Luna, Otero and 2 more | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 1:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bernalillo, Chaves, De Baca, Doña Ana, Grant, Guadalupe and 10 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 23, 2:58 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harding, Union | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 4:30 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Doña Ana, Grant, Hidalgo, Luna, Sierra, Socorro and 2 more | 60 min |
| Mar 23, 5:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Curry, Lea, Roosevelt | 116 min |
| Mar 22, 6:27 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Cottle, Hardeman | 2 hr |
| Mar 23, 3:40 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dallam, Deaf Smith, Hansford, Hartley, Hutchinson, Lipscomb and 6 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.