Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 479
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 3, 2007, 3:59 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2007, 3:59 PM CDT (20:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 62 counties
Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Monona County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Jackson County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Knox County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Clay County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD
The radar
The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Dickinson | 33 min |
| Jul 3, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Emmet | 38 min |
| Jul 3, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Clay, O'Brien | 38 min |
| Jul 3, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Kossuth | 48 min |
| Jul 3, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Clay, O'Brien | 43 min |
| Jul 3, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Plymouth, Woodbury | 41 min |
| Jul 3, 8:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FSD | Dixon | 47 min |
| Jul 3, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Thurston | 38 min |
| Jul 3, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Calhoun | 52 min |
| Jul 3, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Sac | 43 min |
| Jul 3, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Carroll, Greene | 38 min |
| Jul 3, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Greene | 45 min |
| Jul 3, 10:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Audubon, Carroll, Guthrie | 40 min |
| Jul 3, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1330 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -236 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 803 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 73 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 032100
SEL9
SPC WW 032100
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-040500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 479
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL IOWA
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 400 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF NORFOLK
NEBRASKA TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF MASON CITY IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
NEXT 1-2 HRS AS HEATING CONTINUES INVOF SE-MOVING FRONT. RICH
MOISTURE INFLOW AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO
SUBSTANTIAL CAPE AND POTENTIALLY LOW CLOUD BASES. THIS MAY SUPPORT
A THREAT FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES...DESPITE MODEST LOW LVL
SHEAR...BEFORE ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO A CLUSTER WITH A CONTINUING
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 3:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth and 7 more | 84 min |
| Jul 3, 6:08 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Buchanan, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware and 9 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 6:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more | 95 min |
| Jul 3, 6:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Stone, Grant, Lac qui Parle, Stevens, Swift, Traverse and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Dakota and 23 more | 86 min |
| Jul 3, 12:10 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Aitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 12 more | 90 min |
| Jul 3, 5:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more | 55 min |
| Jul 2, 9:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 3 more | 86 min |
| Jul 3, 2:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes and 6 more | 117 min |
| Jul 3, 3:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Chase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Keith and 3 more | 10 hr |
| Jul 3, 1:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Campbell, Corson, McPherson | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Campbell, Corson, Day, Dewey, Edmunds and 10 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:41 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Butte, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds and 10 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.