Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 479

July 3, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 3, 2007, 3:59 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2007, 3:59 PM CDT (20:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Monona County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Jackson County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Knox County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Clay County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDickinson33 min
Jul 3, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet38 min
Jul 3, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDClay, O'Brien38 min
Jul 3, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth48 min
Jul 3, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDClay, O'Brien43 min
Jul 3, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDPlymouth, Woodbury41 min
Jul 3, 8:28 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDDixon47 min
Jul 3, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXThurston38 min
Jul 3, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun52 min
Jul 3, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXSac43 min
Jul 3, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCarroll, Greene38 min
Jul 3, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXGreene45 min
Jul 3, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Guthrie40 min
Jul 3, 11:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1330 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 55 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1330 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-236 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
803 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 032100
SEL9  
SPC WW 032100
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 479
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL IOWA
       SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
       NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
       SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 400 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF NORFOLK
NEBRASKA TO 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF MASON CITY IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
NEXT 1-2 HRS AS HEATING CONTINUES INVOF SE-MOVING FRONT.  RICH
MOISTURE INFLOW AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO
SUBSTANTIAL CAPE AND POTENTIALLY LOW CLOUD BASES.  THIS MAY SUPPORT
A THREAT FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES...DESPITE MODEST LOW LVL
SHEAR...BEFORE ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO A CLUSTER WITH A CONTINUING
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth and 7 more84 min
Jul 3, 6:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Benton, Buchanan, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware and 9 more6 hr
Jul 3, 6:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlack Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more95 min
Jul 3, 6:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Grant, Lac qui Parle, Stevens, Swift, Traverse and 1 more2 hr
Jul 3, 11:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Dakota and 23 more86 min
Jul 3, 12:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more8 hr
Jul 3, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 12 more90 min
Jul 3, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more55 min
Jul 2, 9:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 3 more86 min
Jul 3, 2:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes and 6 more117 min
Jul 3, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Keith and 3 more10 hr
Jul 3, 1:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, McPherson2 hr
Jul 3, 2:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Campbell, Corson, Day, Dewey, Edmunds and 10 more7 hr
Jul 3, 5:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Butte, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds and 10 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.