Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478

July 3, 200718 counties in Colorado; 12 counties in Kansas; 9 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2007, 2:25 PM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado; 12 counties in Kansas; 9 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2007, 2:25 PM MDT (20:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2007, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Chase County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 3:26 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson64 min
Jul 3, 3:50 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson55 min
Jul 3, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo56 min
Jul 3, 4:06 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln39 min
Jul 3, 4:24 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson66 min
Jul 3, 4:41 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson64 min
Jul 3, 4:47 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln43 min
Jul 3, 5:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso63 min
Jul 3, 5:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne67 min
Jul 3, 5:44 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson61 min
Jul 3, 5:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas8 min
Jul 3, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa67 min
Jul 3, 6:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington57 min
Jul 3, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne43 min
Jul 3, 6:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUDouglas, Jefferson42 min
Jul 3, 6:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma57 min
Jul 3, 6:46 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa36 min
Jul 3, 6:54 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBOUDouglas, Jefferson2 hr
Jul 3, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne65 min
Jul 3, 6:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Teller64 min
Jul 3, 7:08 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDYuma29 min
Jul 3, 7:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso55 min
Jul 3, 7:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln41 min
Jul 3, 7:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington54 min
Jul 3, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma62 min
Jul 3, 7:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Hayes58 min
Jul 3, 7:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln64 min
Jul 3, 7:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy, Hitchcock61 min
Jul 3, 8:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln56 min
Jul 3, 8:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington58 min
Jul 3, 8:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Perkins67 min
Jul 3, 8:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Otero82 min
Jul 3, 8:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln62 min
Jul 3, 8:47 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBent58 min
Jul 3, 8:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips35 min
Jul 3, 9:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Hayes, Perkins53 min
Jul 3, 9:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington31 min
Jul 3, 9:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips, Sedgwick42 min
Jul 3, 9:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier, Lincoln65 min
Jul 3, 9:44 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBent, Prowers63 min
Jul 3, 10:04 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFLincoln, Perkins3 hr
Jul 3, 10:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins67 min
Jul 3, 11:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBProwers28 min
Jul 3, 11:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur53 min
Jul 3, 11:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDNorton25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 554 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -116 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
554 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-647 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1266 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 1:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert and 12 more117 min
Jul 2, 8:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 3 more86 min
Jul 3, 2:36 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Dakota, Dixon, Knox, Pierce, Thurston and 1 more84 min
Jul 3, 2:59 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boone, Burt, Cedar, Colfax, Cuming and 11 more8 hr
Jul 3, 5:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boone, Burt, Cedar, Colfax, Cuming and 12 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.