Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 477
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 3, 2007, 12:10 PM CDT for 41 counties in Minnesota; 27 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2007, 12:10 PM CDT (17:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 3, 2007, 8:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 68 counties
Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Pine County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Wright County, MN, Adams County, WI, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Iron County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Washburn County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 12:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Sherburne, Stearns, Wright | 44 min |
| Jul 3, 2:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Rice | 27 min |
| Jul 3, 2:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago | 45 min |
| Jul 3, 2:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Saint Croix | 49 min |
| Jul 3, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Eau Claire, Rusk | 43 min |
| Jul 3, 4:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Trempealeau | 38 min |
| Jul 3, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dunn, Pepin | 41 min |
| Jul 3, 4:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Eau Claire | 53 min |
| Jul 3, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Rice, Scott | 42 min |
| Jul 3, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | La Crosse, Monroe | 66 min |
| Jul 3, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Adams | 33 min |
| Jul 3, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Wright | 62 min |
| Jul 3, 5:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Goodhue, Rice | 64 min |
| Jul 3, 5:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Steele, Waseca | 54 min |
| Jul 3, 5:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Vernon | 34 min |
| Jul 3, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth | 44 min |
| Jul 3, 6:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Faribault, Freeborn | 32 min |
| Jul 3, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Steele, Waseca | 63 min |
| Jul 3, 6:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Freeborn | 53 min |
| Jul 3, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Dodge, Mower, Olmsted | 64 min |
| Jul 3, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Vernon | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1198 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -50 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 975 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 031718
SEL7
SPC WW 031718
MNZ000-WIZ000-040100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 477
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MINNESOTA
WESTERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1210 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 115 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ROCHESTER
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE FORMING IN CNTRL MN ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
ARCHED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT MCS IN SD...WITH ACTIVITY
POSSIBLY BEING ENHANCE BY APPARENT MCV NEAR STC. STRONG HEATING AND
RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INFLOW AHEAD OF BOUNDARY/MCV WILL YIELD
SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION OVER MUCH OF WW LATER TODAY. WHILE
CURRENT WIND FIELD IS RATHER MODEST...SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH TIME. RESULTING SETUP COULD SUPPORT A FEW
SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO MORE
NUMEROUS STORMS WITH HAIL/WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 6:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Stone, Grant, Lac qui Parle, Stevens, Swift, Traverse and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Dakota and 23 more | 86 min |
| Jul 3, 2:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 12 more | 90 min |
| Jul 3, 3:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jackson, Martin, Nobles, Rock | 84 min |
| Jul 3, 3:59 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Jackson, Nobles | 8 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more | 55 min |
| Jul 3, 6:08 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dodge, Fillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 3, 6:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Faribault, Freeborn, Jackson, Martin, Nobles | 95 min |
| Jul 3, 4:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 12 more | 58 min |
| Jul 3, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac and 19 more | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.