Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 481
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 3, 2007, 6:08 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 3, 2007, 6:08 PM CDT (23:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 47 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Linn County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Sauk | 76 min |
| Jul 3, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Dodge, Mower, Olmsted | 64 min |
| Jul 3, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Richland | 48 min |
| Jul 3, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Crawford | 48 min |
| Jul 3, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Dodge, Iowa | 93 min |
| Jul 3, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Vernon | 28 min |
| Jul 3, 7:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MKX | Iowa | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Lafayette | 90 min |
| Jul 3, 8:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Green | 71 min |
| Jul 3, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 68 min |
| Jul 3, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Grant | 77 min |
| Jul 3, 11:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1565 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 117 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 129 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 032309
SEL1
SPC WW 032309
IAZ000-ILZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-040500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 481
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN IOWA
FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
WESTERN INTO SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT FROM 610 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WATERLOO IOWA TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MADISON WISCONSIN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...WW
479...WW 480...
DISCUSSION...SHEAR PROFILES CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION
AS NWLY MID LEVEL JET INVOF VORT MAX MOVING ACROSS THE NRN MS RIVER
VALLEY OVERSPREADS THE AREA. ASSOCIATED SWLY LLJ IS ALSO FORECAST
TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING...FURTHER BOOSTING LOW AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR PROFILES. GIVEN MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IN
PLACE...SUPERCELLS WITH ATTENDANT THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
EXPECTED. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS
WITH STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...EVANSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 3:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth and 7 more | 84 min |
| Jul 3, 3:59 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 3, 6:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more | 95 min |
| Jul 3, 6:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Stone, Grant, Lac qui Parle, Stevens, Swift, Traverse and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 11:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Dakota and 23 more | 86 min |
| Jul 3, 12:10 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Aitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more | 8 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 12 more | 90 min |
| Jul 3, 5:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more | 55 min |
| Jul 3, 4:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 12 more | 58 min |
| Jul 3, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac and 19 more | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.