Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 481

July 3, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 3, 2007, 6:08 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2007, 6:08 PM CDT (23:08 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Linn County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Sauk76 min
Jul 3, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Mower, Olmsted64 min
Jul 3, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXRichland48 min
Jul 3, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXCrawford48 min
Jul 3, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Dodge, Iowa93 min
Jul 3, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXVernon28 min
Jul 3, 7:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMKXIowa3 hr
Jul 3, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXLafayette90 min
Jul 3, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen71 min
Jul 3, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNStephenson68 min
Jul 3, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXGrant77 min
Jul 3, 11:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2007-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2007-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 032309
SEL1  
SPC WW 032309
IAZ000-ILZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 481
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHEASTERN IOWA
       FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
       SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
       WESTERN INTO SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT FROM 610 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WATERLOO IOWA TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MADISON WISCONSIN. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...WW
479...WW 480...

DISCUSSION...SHEAR PROFILES CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THIS REGION
AS NWLY MID LEVEL JET INVOF VORT MAX MOVING ACROSS THE NRN MS RIVER
VALLEY OVERSPREADS THE AREA.  ASSOCIATED SWLY LLJ IS ALSO FORECAST
TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING...FURTHER BOOSTING LOW AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR PROFILES.  GIVEN MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IN
PLACE...SUPERCELLS WITH ATTENDANT THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
EXPECTED.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS
WITH STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.


...EVANS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth and 7 more84 min
Jul 3, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlack Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more8 hr
Jul 3, 6:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlack Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 32 more95 min
Jul 3, 6:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Grant, Lac qui Parle, Stevens, Swift, Traverse and 1 more2 hr
Jul 3, 11:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Dakota and 23 more86 min
Jul 3, 12:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more8 hr
Jul 3, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 12 more90 min
Jul 3, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carlton and 35 more55 min
Jul 3, 4:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 12 more58 min
Jul 3, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Calumet, Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac and 19 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.