Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 400
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 16, 2007, 2:18 PM MDT for 26 counties in Montana. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 16, 2007, 2:18 PM MDT (20:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 16, 2007, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 26 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Blaine County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Hill County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Madison County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Teton County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT
The radar
The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 3:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 60 min |
| Jun 16, 3:20 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Phillips | 55 min |
| Jun 16, 3:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade | 54 min |
| Jun 16, 3:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Lewis and Clark | 47 min |
| Jun 16, 4:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Meagher | 46 min |
| Jun 16, 4:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade | 31 min |
| Jun 16, 4:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Phillips | 60 min |
| Jun 16, 4:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Lewis and Clark | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 4:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Stillwater, Sweet Grass | 49 min |
| Jun 16, 4:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau | 64 min |
| Jun 16, 5:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Judith Basin | 62 min |
| Jun 16, 5:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Lewis and Clark | 23 min |
| Jun 16, 5:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Stillwater, Yellowstone | 65 min |
| Jun 16, 5:31 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | TFX | Judith Basin | 29 min |
| Jun 16, 5:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Meagher | 48 min |
| Jun 16, 6:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin | 59 min |
| Jun 16, 6:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 79 min |
| Jun 16, 7:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Judith Basin | 29 min |
| Jun 16, 7:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips | 58 min |
| Jun 16, 8:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips | 10 min |
| Jun 16, 9:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 46 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -155 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1294 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 162020
SEL0
SPC WW 162020
MTZ000-170400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MONTANA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
GREAT FALLS MONTANA TO 65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BILLINGS MONTANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AND SPREAD ENEWD THROUGH THE
EVENING. ENVIRONMENT STRONGLY FAVORS SUPERCELLS WITH VERY STRONG
SHEAR AND INCREASING MLCAPE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. LARGE
HAIL...SOME EXCEEDING 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...ALONG WITH ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE COMMON WITH THESE STORMS. TORNADO THREAT
WILL ALSO INCREASE INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS STORMS INTERACT WITH
ELY SURFACE WINDS AND RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE
OVER CENTRAL MT. LATER THIS EVENING...ONE OR MORE BOW ECHO
COMPLEXES MAY EVOLVE INCREASING THE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...EVANSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 1:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Broadwater, Carbon, Cascade, Chouteau, Fergus and 17 more | 53 min |
| Jun 16, 2:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Powder River | 2 hr |
| Jun 16, 4:10 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Carter, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield and 10 more | 9 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.