Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 359

June 7, 200711 counties in Kansas; 42 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 7, 2007, 1:54 PM CDT for 11 counties in Kansas; 42 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2007, 1:54 PM CDT (18:54 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2007, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 53 counties

Anderson County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Clinton, Daviess45 min
Jun 7, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam23 min
Jun 7, 3:35 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess, Livingston25 min
Jun 7, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Ray36 min
Jun 7, 4:14 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPDouglas3 hr
Jun 7, 4:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXLeavenworth, Wyandotte3 hr
Jun 7, 4:29 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXRay31 min
Jun 7, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan43 min
Jun 7, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXWyandotte35 min
Jun 7, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Ray42 min
Jun 7, 5:53 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton37 min
Jun 7, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton30 min
Jun 7, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton36 min
Jun 7, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Ray35 min
Jun 7, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXWyandotte40 min
Jun 7, 6:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXWyandotte6 hr
Jun 7, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Saline36 min
Jun 7, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Macon24 min
Jun 7, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Ray29 min
Jun 7, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Shelby44 min
Jun 7, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJackson, Johnson, Lafayette41 min
Jun 7, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLafayette, Saline40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-06-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1138 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-06-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 321 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1138 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
934 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
395 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 071856
SEL9  
SPC WW 071856
KSZ000-MOZ000-080300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 359
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT THU JUN 7 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS
       PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF KIRKSVILLE
MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF OLATHE KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 357...WW 358...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE STEADILY INCREASINGLY ALONG BOUNDARY
FROM NCENTRAL MO/IA BORDER TO E CENTRAL KS.  WITH THE AIRMASS NOW
VERY UNSTABLE AND UNCAPPED...ALONG WITH 50-60KT OF
SHEAR...SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF THE LINE
THRU THE REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON.  ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE
HAIL...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 3:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJewell, Republic, Washington55 min
Jun 7, 1:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin and 6 more119 min
Jun 7, 3:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Elk and 5 more93 min
Jun 7, 6:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Johnson, Miami2 hr
Jun 7, 9:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Grundy, Harrison and 4 more64 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.