Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 235
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 5, 2007, 2:42 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 21 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 5, 2007, 2:42 PM CDT (19:42 UTC)
- Expired
- May 5, 2007, 9:32 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Particularly dangerous situation
- Yes
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 54 counties
Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Brown County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Saline County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Platte County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 90%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 60%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 95%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 70%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Fillmore, Thayer | 47 min |
| May 5, 4:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GID | Thayer | 31 min |
| May 5, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Jefferson | 46 min |
| May 5, 4:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk, York | 53 min |
| May 5, 4:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline | 51 min |
| May 5, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Platte | 38 min |
| May 5, 5:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Saline | 33 min |
| May 5, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Seward | 53 min |
| May 5, 5:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Lancaster | 56 min |
| May 5, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline | 22 min |
| May 5, 5:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Lancaster, Saline | 3 hr |
| May 5, 6:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 66 min |
| May 5, 6:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Saunders | 3 hr |
| May 5, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Lancaster | 33 min |
| May 5, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont | 23 min |
| May 5, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge, Douglas, Washington | 44 min |
| May 5, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills | 24 min |
| May 5, 7:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Mills | 24 min |
| May 5, 7:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Dodge, Washington | 2 hr |
| May 5, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 32 min |
| May 5, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge, Washington | 33 min |
| May 5, 7:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 32 min |
| May 5, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont | 27 min |
| May 5, 7:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Burt | 56 min |
| May 5, 7:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Fremont | 31 min |
| May 5, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery | 30 min |
| May 5, 8:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Burt | 117 min |
| May 5, 8:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Mills, Montgomery | 40 min |
| May 5, 8:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 52 min |
| May 5, 8:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Montgomery | 14 min |
| May 5, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Page | 43 min |
| May 5, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chase | 29 min |
| May 5, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Morris | 34 min |
| May 5, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud, Republic | 55 min |
| May 5, 9:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery | 38 min |
| May 5, 9:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 35 min |
| May 5, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Morris | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1815 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -206 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 656 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 276 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 231 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 051944
SEL5
SPC WW 051944
IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-060300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 235
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA
LARGE PART OF NORTHEAST KANSAS
MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
NORFOLK NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF MANHATTAN KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 232...WW 233...WW 234...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN BOTH NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ACROSS CENTRAL NE/KS AS AIR MASS HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE.
VERY FAVORABLE STRONG SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THRU THE EVENING.
SHEAR/INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL OF STRONG/LONG TRACK
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 10:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson and 12 more | 85 min |
| May 5, 10:55 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Ida, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more | 6 hr |
| May 5, 1:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury | 89 min |
| May 5, 4:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury | 96 min |
| May 5, 4:33 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cherokee, Ida, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more | 6 hr |
| May 4, 7:26 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Decatur, Gove, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton and 5 more | 7 hr |
| May 4, 8:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford and 6 more | 84 min |
| May 4, 8:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Sherman | 91 min |
| May 4, 9:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Graham, Norton, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks and 2 more | 94 min |
| May 4, 10:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Dickinson, Geary, Marion, Marshall, Morris and 2 more | 56 min |
| May 4, 11:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 12 more | 95 min |
| May 4, 11:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Sherman, Wallace | 92 min |
| May 5, 1:23 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth and 15 more | 67 min |
| May 5, 1:30 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln and 10 more | 7 hr |
| May 5, 3:00 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Jewell and 12 more | 90 min |
| May 5, 6:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Republic, Washington | 61 min |
| May 5, 8:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Decatur and 40 more | 53 min |
| May 5, 9:51 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barton, Cheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth, Gove and 21 more | 12 hr |
| May 5, 11:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Norton, Phillips, Smith | 88 min |
| May 5, 11:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Harper, Kingman and 3 more | 93 min |
| May 5, 12:15 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 16 more | 10 hr |
| May 5, 2:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Geary, Marshall, Morris and 5 more | 28 min |
| May 5, 3:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Ford and 14 more | 94 min |
| May 5, 6:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Edwards and 14 more | 59 min |
| May 4, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antelope, Cedar, Dixon, Knox, Madison, Pierce and 1 more | 56 min |
| May 4, 9:22 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Antelope, Boone, Cedar, Knox, Pierce | 11 hr |
| May 5, 1:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arthur, Box Butte, Cherry, Dawes, Deuel, Garden and 8 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.