Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 235

May 5, 20077 counties in Iowa; 21 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 5, 2007, 2:42 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 21 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2007, 2:42 PM CDT (19:42 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2007, 9:32 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 54 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Brown County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Saline County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Platte County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
60%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer47 min
May 5, 4:15 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDThayer31 min
May 5, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson46 min
May 5, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk, York53 min
May 5, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline51 min
May 5, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Platte38 min
May 5, 5:12 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXSaline33 min
May 5, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward53 min
May 5, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster56 min
May 5, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline22 min
May 5, 5:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXLancaster, Saline3 hr
May 5, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders66 min
May 5, 6:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXSaunders3 hr
May 5, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster33 min
May 5, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont23 min
May 5, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Douglas, Washington44 min
May 5, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills24 min
May 5, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMills24 min
May 5, 7:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXDodge, Washington2 hr
May 5, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders32 min
May 5, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Washington33 min
May 5, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXPottawattamie32 min
May 5, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont27 min
May 5, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt56 min
May 5, 7:44 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont31 min
May 5, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery30 min
May 5, 8:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXBurt117 min
May 5, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMills, Montgomery40 min
May 5, 8:38 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXPottawattamie52 min
May 5, 8:46 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMontgomery14 min
May 5, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage43 min
May 5, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase29 min
May 5, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMorris34 min
May 5, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic55 min
May 5, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery38 min
May 5, 9:25 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXPottawattamie35 min
May 5, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMorris31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1815 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 276 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1815 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-206 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
656 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
231 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 051944
SEL5  
SPC WW 051944
IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-060300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 235
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF SOUTHWEST IOWA
       LARGE PART OF NORTHEAST KANSAS
       MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
NORFOLK NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF MANHATTAN KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 232...WW 233...WW 234...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN BOTH NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ACROSS CENTRAL NE/KS AS AIR MASS HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE.
 VERY FAVORABLE STRONG SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THRU THE EVENING. 
SHEAR/INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL OF STRONG/LONG TRACK
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 10:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford, Dickinson and 12 more85 min
May 5, 10:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Ida, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more6 hr
May 5, 1:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury89 min
May 5, 4:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury96 min
May 5, 4:33 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCCherokee, Ida, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more6 hr
May 4, 7:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDecatur, Gove, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton and 5 more7 hr
May 4, 8:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford and 6 more84 min
May 4, 8:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Sherman91 min
May 4, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Graham, Norton, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks and 2 more94 min
May 4, 10:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Geary, Marion, Marshall, Morris and 2 more56 min
May 4, 11:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 12 more95 min
May 4, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Sherman, Wallace92 min
May 5, 1:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth and 15 more67 min
May 5, 1:30 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln and 10 more7 hr
May 5, 3:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Jewell and 12 more90 min
May 5, 6:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRepublic, Washington61 min
May 5, 8:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Decatur and 40 more53 min
May 5, 9:51 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarton, Cheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth, Gove and 21 more12 hr
May 5, 11:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNorton, Phillips, Smith88 min
May 5, 11:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Harper, Kingman and 3 more93 min
May 5, 12:15 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 16 more10 hr
May 5, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Geary, Marshall, Morris and 5 more28 min
May 5, 3:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Ford and 14 more94 min
May 5, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Edwards and 14 more59 min
May 4, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Cedar, Dixon, Knox, Madison, Pierce and 1 more56 min
May 4, 9:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boone, Cedar, Knox, Pierce11 hr
May 5, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Box Butte, Cherry, Dawes, Deuel, Garden and 8 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.