Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 697

May 5, 2007Republic County, Washington County, Kansas; 47 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 5, 2007, 6:59 AM CDT for Republic County, Washington County, Kansas; 47 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 61 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2007, 6:59 AM CDT (11:59 UTC)
Expired
May 5, 2007, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
61 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 49 counties

Republic County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Gage County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-05-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 753 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-05-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
753 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1271 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 051159
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051159 
NEZ000-KSZ000-SDZ000-051300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0697
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 231...

VALID 051159Z - 051300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 231 CONTINUES.

NUMEROUS STRONG STORMS PERSIST WITHIN TORNADO WATCH 231 EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE BULK OF THIS CONVECTION NOW APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING
NORTH OF A WARM FRONT LOCATED NEAR THE KS/NEB BORDER. CONTINUED
STRONG LOW LEVEL MASS INFLOW ON 60KT LLJ...AND STRONGLY DIFFLUENT
FLOW ALOFT...WILL MAINTAIN DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS ERN NEB THROUGH
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WHILE TORNADO POTENTIAL IN THE WATCH
APPEARS TO HAVE DECREASED FOR NOW...A FEW STORMS COULD STILL POSE A
RISK OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH WATCH EXPIRATION AT 13Z.

VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...FROM SRN
NEB ACROSS KS AND THE SRN PLAINS. THIS REGION WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED CLOSELY FOR NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT AS THE MORNING
PROGRESSES.

..CARBIN.. 05/05/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...

39589683 40350022 41680022 41789919 42289841 42869830
42889718 41849642 40579638 40529607 40009600 39959681

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 7:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDecatur, Gove, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton and 5 more7 hr
May 4, 8:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford and 6 more84 min
May 4, 8:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Sherman91 min
May 4, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Graham, Norton, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks and 2 more94 min
May 4, 10:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Dickinson, Geary, Marion, Marshall, Morris and 2 more56 min
May 4, 11:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 12 more95 min
May 4, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Sherman, Wallace92 min
May 5, 1:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth and 15 more67 min
May 5, 1:30 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln and 10 more7 hr
May 5, 3:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Jewell and 12 more90 min
May 5, 8:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Decatur and 40 more53 min
May 5, 9:51 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarton, Cheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth, Gove and 21 more12 hr
May 5, 11:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNorton, Phillips, Smith88 min
May 5, 11:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Harper, Kingman and 3 more93 min
May 5, 12:15 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 16 more10 hr
May 5, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Geary, Marshall, Morris and 5 more28 min
May 5, 2:42 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBrown, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Geary and 15 more7 hr
May 5, 3:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Ford and 14 more94 min
May 5, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Cloud, Comanche, Edwards and 14 more59 min
May 4, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Cedar, Dixon, Knox, Madison, Pierce and 1 more56 min
May 4, 9:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boone, Cedar, Knox, Pierce11 hr
May 5, 10:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Burt, Cedar, Cherry and 13 more85 min
May 5, 10:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Dakota, Dixon and 7 more6 hr
May 5, 1:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Cedar, Dakota, Dixon, Holt, Knox and 2 more89 min
May 5, 1:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Box Butte, Cherry, Dawes, Deuel, Garden and 8 more2 hr
May 5, 4:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Cedar, Dakota, Dixon, Holt, Keya Paha and 4 more96 min
May 5, 4:33 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Cherry, Dakota and 8 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.