Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 209
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 2, 2007, 12:50 PM CDT for 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 2, 2007, 12:50 PM CDT (17:50 UTC)
- Expired
- May 2, 2007, 6:53 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 37 counties
Bandera County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Real County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 12:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Crockett, Irion, Schleicher, Tom Green | 66 min |
| May 2, 12:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Nolan | 64 min |
| May 2, 1:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 67 min |
| May 2, 1:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 33 min |
| May 2, 1:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Jones, Taylor | 47 min |
| May 2, 1:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Coke, Runnels, Tom Green | 48 min |
| May 2, 1:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, Crockett, Irion, Menard, Schleicher, Tom Green | 48 min |
| May 2, 2:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Callahan, Shackelford | 55 min |
| May 2, 2:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Coke, Runnels | 36 min |
| May 2, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coleman, Runnels | 32 min |
| May 2, 2:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Coleman, Concho, McCulloch | 36 min |
| May 2, 2:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Callahan, Coleman, Runnels, Taylor | 34 min |
| May 2, 2:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coleman, Runnels | 36 min |
| May 2, 3:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Callahan, Coleman, Runnels, Taylor | 34 min |
| May 2, 3:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Sutton | 34 min |
| May 2, 3:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Brown, Coleman, McCulloch, San Saba | 46 min |
| May 2, 3:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Schleicher | 38 min |
| May 2, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Taylor | 60 min |
| May 2, 3:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Sutton | 51 min |
| May 2, 3:50 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Edwards | 40 min |
| May 2, 3:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche, Eastland | 55 min |
| May 2, 3:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Brown, McCulloch, San Saba | 37 min |
| May 2, 3:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Menard, Schleicher | 36 min |
| May 2, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Mills | 64 min |
| May 2, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Terrell | 44 min |
| May 2, 4:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, Menard | 35 min |
| May 2, 4:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble, Sutton | 32 min |
| May 2, 4:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 33 min |
| May 2, 4:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche, Hamilton | 66 min |
| May 2, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Eastland | 46 min |
| May 2, 4:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble | 49 min |
| May 2, 5:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason, San Saba | 54 min |
| May 2, 5:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 28 min |
| May 2, 5:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason | 34 min |
| May 2, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 64 min |
| May 2, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 54 min |
| May 2, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 64 min |
| May 2, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Lampasas, Mills | 67 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1853 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -114 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 603 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 021750
SEL9
SPC WW 021750
TXZ000-030100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 209
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BROWNWOOD TEXAS TO 30 MILES WEST OF DEL RIO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 208...
DISCUSSION...ONGOING SEVERE MCS OVER SWRN TX EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
FURTHER DURING AFTERNOON AS AIRMASS ACROSS WATCH AREA WILL BECOME
VERY UNSTABLE. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE VEERING SHEAR
PROFILES...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 7:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos and 29 more | 97 min |
| May 2, 7:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Dawson, Ector, Gaines, Loving, Martin and 4 more | 2 hr |
| May 2, 7:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crane, Crockett, Ector, Loving, Midland, Pecos and 7 more | 2 hr |
| May 2, 8:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 20 more | 6 hr |
| May 2, 10:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Glasscock, Howard, Irion and 7 more | 94 min |
| May 2, 12:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Culberson, Hudspeth, Jeff Davis, Loving, Reeves | 113 min |
| May 2, 12:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 29 more | 66 min |
| May 2, 1:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Crane, Culberson, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 14 more | 7 hr |
| May 2, 2:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Coryell, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Erath and 16 more | 2 hr |
| May 2, 3:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dimmit, Frio, Kinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Val Verde and 1 more | 97 min |
| May 2, 3:43 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 33 more | 6 hr |
| May 2, 5:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burleson and 20 more | 67 min |
| May 2, 5:53 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 27 more | 7 hr |
| May 2, 6:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Brewster, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Culberson and 22 more | 85 min |
| May 2, 6:52 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Brewster, Crockett, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Presidio, Terrell | 3 hr |
| May 2, 6:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Burnet, Camp and 54 more | 81 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.