Severe Thunderstorm Warning 173, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
929 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

.UPDATE...
HAVE GONE WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. MCS OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS MOVING EAST TOWARD THE CWFA. ALSO...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH #208 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM FOR WESTERN CONCHO
VALLEY AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.  21

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007/

AVIATION...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM BRINGING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON AND THROUGH
TONIGHT. EXPECT IFR TO MVFR CIGS AND VIS OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL MIDMORNING WITH VFR
CONDITIONS AT THE I10 TERMINALS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO ALL
TERMINALS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 80  61  83  65 /  40  70  20  10
SAN ANGELO 	 83  63  86  65 /  50  70  20  10
JUNCTION 	 83  64  85  65 /  40  70  30  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-
COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-IRION-JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-
MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-
STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-TOM GREEN.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
417 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-030930-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
417 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT AS YET ANOTHER IN A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVES INTO THE REGION. ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF REACHING SEVERE
LEVELS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL. IN
ADDITION...FLASH FLOODING IS A POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST OF THE COMING WEEK. STRONG STORMS MAY
ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP SATURDAY AS AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE THE LOCAL WEATHER PICTURE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
GIVEN THE SATURATED SOILS OVER VIRTUALLY ALL OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS...FLASH FLOODING IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE NIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1109 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

TXZ064-021715-
STERLING TX-
1109 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR STERLING
COUNTY...

AT 1104 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR OVER SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND COUNTY...OR
ABOUT 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIDLAND...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. IF THIS
THUNDERSTORM HOLDS SEVERE INTENSITY...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
WILL BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF STERLING COUNTY BY NOON.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF...
WESTERN STERLING COUNTY AROUND NOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1129 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

TXZ064-071-072-021730-
STERLING TX-TOM GREEN TX-IRION TX-
1129 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR
STERLING...TOM GREEN AND IRION COUNTIES...

AT 1125 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 52 MILES WEST OF STERLING CITY...OR
ABOUT 26 MILES NORTH OF RANKIN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. IF THE
THUNDERSTORMS HOLD TOGTHER...WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BY NOON.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF...
  NORTHWESTERN IRION...NORTHWESTERN TOM GREEN AND WESTERN STERLING
  COUNTIES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1236 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

TXZ049-054-113-127-021830-
NOLAN TX-JONES TX-FISHER TX-TAYLOR TX-
1236 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 130 PM CDT FOR NOLAN...
JONES...FISHER AND TAYLOR COUNTIES...

AT 1229 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS INDICATED BY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6
MILES WEST OF ROTAN TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHAMPION...MOVING EAST
AT 20 MPH.

* STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ROTAN BY 1245 PM CDT
  ROSCOE BY 1255 PM CDT
  ROBY BY 105 PM CDT
  THE INTERSECTION OF RANCH ROAD 608 AND HIGHWAY 147 BY 110 PM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1237 PM CDT WED MAY 02 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 PM     TORNADO          13 WSW STERLING CITY    31.74N 101.18W
05/02/2007                   STERLING           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO

&&

JBRAZZEL