Severe Thunderstorm Warning 176, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
114 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

.UPDATE...
UPDATED ZONES FOR TORNADO WATCH #209. LINE OF SEVERE TSTMS MOVING
ACROSS THE WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY WITH WSR-88D INDICATING STRONG
MESOS IN THE LINE.  21

&&

.AVIATION...
TSTMS LIKELY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. ALSO...MVFR CIGS OF BKN015-025 ACROSS
THE AREA WITH AREAS OF IFR CIGS BLO OVC010.  21

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 929 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007/

UPDATE...
HAVE GONE WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. MCS OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS MOVING EAST TOWARD THE CWFA. ALSO...SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH #208 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM FOR WESTERN CONCHO
VALLEY AND NORTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU.  21

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007/

AVIATION...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM BRINGING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON AND THROUGH
TONIGHT. EXPECT IFR TO MVFR CIGS AND VIS OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL MIDMORNING WITH VFR
CONDITIONS AT THE I10 TERMINALS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO ALL
TERMINALS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 80  61  83  65 /  70  70  20  10
SAN ANGELO 	 83  63  86  65 /  70  70  20  10
JUNCTION 	 83  64  85  65 /  50  70  30  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-IRION-JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-
MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-
STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-TOM GREEN.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
417 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-030930-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
417 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT AS YET ANOTHER IN A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVES INTO THE REGION. ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF REACHING SEVERE
LEVELS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE AS WELL. IN
ADDITION...FLASH FLOODING IS A POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST OF THE COMING WEEK. STRONG STORMS MAY
ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP SATURDAY AS AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE THE LOCAL WEATHER PICTURE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
GIVEN THE SATURATED SOILS OVER VIRTUALLY ALL OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS...FLASH FLOODING IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE NIGHT.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
137 PM CDT WED MAY 02 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 N GRAPE CREEK         31.62N 100.55W
05/02/2007  E60 MPH          TOM GREEN          TX   PUBLIC

&&

JBRAZZEL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
141 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

TXZ114-128-021945-
SHACKELFORD TX-CALLAHAN TX-
141 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR
SHACKELFORD AND CALLAHAN COUNTIES...

AT 138 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 3 MILES WEST OF EULA...OR ABOUT 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ABILENE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CLYDE BY 150 PM CDT
  BAIRD BY 155 PM CDT
  MORAN BY 225 PM CDT
  ALBANY BY 230 PM CDT
  IBEX BY 240 PM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
144 PM CDT WED MAY 02 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 N GRAPE CREEK         31.62N 100.55W
05/02/2007  E75 MPH          TOM GREEN          TX   PUBLIC

&&

JBRAZZEL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
149 PM CDT WED MAY 02 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATER VALLEY            31.67N 100.72W
05/02/2007                   TOM GREEN          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOFS BLOWN OFF HOUSES.

&&

JBRAZZEL