Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 212
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 2, 2007, 5:53 PM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 2, 2007, 5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC)
- Expired
- May 3, 2007, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 33 counties
Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 64 min |
| May 2, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 54 min |
| May 2, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 64 min |
| May 2, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 61 min |
| May 2, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco | 28 min |
| May 2, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 28 min |
| May 2, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera | 63 min |
| May 2, 7:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 3 hr |
| May 2, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Burnet | 43 min |
| May 2, 7:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Travis, Williamson | 56 min |
| May 2, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kendall | 61 min |
| May 2, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 31 min |
| May 2, 8:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 24 min |
| May 2, 8:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Zavala | 40 min |
| May 2, 8:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 19 min |
| May 2, 8:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina | 60 min |
| May 2, 8:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina | 18 min |
| May 2, 9:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Frio | 28 min |
| May 2, 9:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Frio | 4 hr |
| May 2, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio | 55 min |
| May 2, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar, Comal | 31 min |
| May 2, 9:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Hays | 2 hr |
| May 2, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Webb | 62 min |
| May 2, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | La Salle | 54 min |
| May 2, 10:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | La Salle | 2 hr |
| May 2, 10:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Lee | 3 hr |
| May 2, 10:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Lee | 3 hr |
| May 2, 10:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Caldwell, Gonzales, Guadalupe | 57 min |
| May 2, 10:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | La Salle, McMullen | 54 min |
| May 2, 10:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gonzales, Guadalupe, Wilson | 21 min |
| May 2, 11:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | La Salle, McMullen | 44 min |
| May 3, 12:26 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | DeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales, Lavaca | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1853 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -114 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 603 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 022256
SEL2
SPC WW 022256
TXZ000-030600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 212
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 550
PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF AUSTIN
TEXAS TO 75 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF COTULLA TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...
DISCUSSION...VERY MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NNW INTO ERN
PARTS OF THE TX HILL COUNTRY AND INTO AREA E OF THE TX BIG BEND THIS
EVENING AS APPROACH OF SRN NM UPR LOW ENHANCES LLJ AND MID LEVEL WLY
FLOW INCREASES TO AOA 40 KTS. GIVEN THIS SETUP...EXISTING STORMS/
SUPERCELLS ALONG NE/SW CONFLUENCE AXIS NOW EXTENDING FROM NEAR JCT
TO NEAR DRT SHOULD SUSTAIN THEMSELVES AS THEY MOVE INTO REGION OF
INCREASING CIN TOWARD THE I-35 CORRIDOR. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A
FEW TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH
HIGH WIND...GIVEN QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW...SLIGHTLY BACKED
NEAR-SFC FLOW AND SEMI-DISCRETE NATURE OF STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 7:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos and 29 more | 97 min |
| May 2, 7:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Dawson, Ector, Gaines, Loving, Martin and 4 more | 2 hr |
| May 2, 7:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crane, Crockett, Ector, Loving, Midland, Pecos and 7 more | 2 hr |
| May 2, 8:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 20 more | 6 hr |
| May 2, 10:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Glasscock, Howard, Irion and 7 more | 94 min |
| May 2, 12:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Culberson, Hudspeth, Jeff Davis, Loving, Reeves | 113 min |
| May 2, 12:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 29 more | 66 min |
| May 2, 12:50 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bandera, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 31 more | 6 hr |
| May 2, 1:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Crane, Culberson, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 14 more | 7 hr |
| May 2, 2:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Coryell, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Erath and 16 more | 2 hr |
| May 2, 3:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dimmit, Frio, Kinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Val Verde and 1 more | 97 min |
| May 2, 3:43 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 33 more | 6 hr |
| May 2, 5:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burleson and 20 more | 67 min |
| May 2, 6:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Brewster, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Culberson and 22 more | 85 min |
| May 2, 6:52 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Brewster, Crockett, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Presidio, Terrell | 3 hr |
| May 2, 6:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Burnet, Camp and 54 more | 81 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.