Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 212

May 2, 200733 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 2, 2007, 5:53 PM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2007, 5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2007, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 33 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie64 min
May 2, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal, Uvalde54 min
May 2, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano64 min
May 2, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde61 min
May 2, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco28 min
May 2, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie28 min
May 2, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera63 min
May 2, 7:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXUvalde3 hr
May 2, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet43 min
May 2, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXTravis, Williamson56 min
May 2, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKendall61 min
May 2, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde31 min
May 2, 8:06 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde24 min
May 2, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXZavala40 min
May 2, 8:26 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde19 min
May 2, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina60 min
May 2, 8:42 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio, Medina18 min
May 2, 9:02 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio28 min
May 2, 9:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFrio4 hr
May 2, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio55 min
May 2, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Comal31 min
May 2, 9:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXHays2 hr
May 2, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb62 min
May 2, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle54 min
May 2, 10:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPLa Salle2 hr
May 2, 10:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Lee3 hr
May 2, 10:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Lee3 hr
May 2, 10:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXCaldwell, Gonzales, Guadalupe57 min
May 2, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen54 min
May 2, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGonzales, Guadalupe, Wilson21 min
May 2, 11:04 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen44 min
May 3, 12:26 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales, Lavaca3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1853 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1853 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
603 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 022256
SEL2  
SPC WW 022256
TXZ000-030600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 212
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS 

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 550
PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF AUSTIN
TEXAS TO 75 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF COTULLA TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...

DISCUSSION...VERY MOIST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NNW INTO ERN
PARTS OF THE TX HILL COUNTRY AND INTO AREA E OF THE TX BIG BEND THIS
EVENING AS APPROACH OF SRN NM UPR LOW ENHANCES LLJ AND MID LEVEL WLY
FLOW INCREASES TO AOA 40 KTS.  GIVEN THIS SETUP...EXISTING STORMS/
SUPERCELLS ALONG NE/SW CONFLUENCE AXIS NOW EXTENDING FROM NEAR JCT
TO NEAR DRT SHOULD SUSTAIN THEMSELVES AS THEY MOVE INTO REGION OF
INCREASING CIN TOWARD THE I-35 CORRIDOR.  POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A
FEW TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH
HIGH WIND...GIVEN QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW...SLIGHTLY BACKED
NEAR-SFC FLOW AND SEMI-DISCRETE NATURE OF STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 7:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos and 29 more97 min
May 2, 7:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Dawson, Ector, Gaines, Loving, Martin and 4 more2 hr
May 2, 7:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Crockett, Ector, Loving, Midland, Pecos and 7 more2 hr
May 2, 8:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson and 20 more6 hr
May 2, 10:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Crockett, Glasscock, Howard, Irion and 7 more94 min
May 2, 12:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCulberson, Hudspeth, Jeff Davis, Loving, Reeves113 min
May 2, 12:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 29 more66 min
May 2, 12:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 31 more6 hr
May 2, 1:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Crane, Culberson, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 14 more7 hr
May 2, 2:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Coryell, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Erath and 16 more2 hr
May 2, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDimmit, Frio, Kinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Val Verde and 1 more97 min
May 2, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 33 more6 hr
May 2, 5:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burleson and 20 more67 min
May 2, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Brewster, Cochran, Coke, Crane, Culberson and 22 more85 min
May 2, 6:52 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBrewster, Crockett, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Presidio, Terrell3 hr
May 2, 6:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Burnet, Camp and 54 more81 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.