Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 697

September 30, 200741 counties in Kansas; 53 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 30, 2007, 12:37 PM CDT for 41 counties in Kansas; 53 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 30, 2007, 12:37 PM CDT (17:37 UTC)
Expired
Sep 30, 2007, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 94 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Brown County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Polk County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 30, 1:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase, Marion19 min
Sep 30, 1:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMorris35 min
Sep 30, 1:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPLyon, Wabaunsee35 min
Sep 30, 2:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Jefferson, Shawnee38 min
Sep 30, 2:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Greenwood39 min
Sep 30, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson30 min
Sep 30, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLeavenworth26 min
Sep 30, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Franklin, Osage41 min
Sep 30, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Platte32 min
Sep 30, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson36 min
Sep 30, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCrawford45 min
Sep 30, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee54 min
Sep 30, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton41 min
Sep 30, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry, Johnson18 min
Sep 30, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFNewton73 min
Sep 30, 7:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFNewton6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-09-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-09-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1355 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 9:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny, Logan and 8 more89 min
Sep 29, 10:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGove, Graham, Norton, Phillips, Rooks, Sheridan3 hr
Sep 30, 12:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Butler and 37 more65 min
Sep 30, 2:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Coffey, Cowley and 16 more64 min
Sep 30, 6:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Crawford, Labette92 min
Sep 30, 2:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, McDonald, Newton, Stone67 min
Sep 30, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, McDonald, Stone, Taney6 hr
Sep 30, 11:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Boone, Boyd, Buffalo, Butler and 32 more59 min
Sep 30, 1:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBurt, Butler, Cass, Cedar, Clay, Colfax and 32 more7 hr
Sep 30, 3:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurt, Cedar, Cuming, Dakota, Dixon, Thurston and 2 more54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.