Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 472
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 2, 2007, 2:36 PM MDT for 20 counties in Montana; 5 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 2, 2007, 2:36 PM MDT (20:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 2, 2007, 11:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 25 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Blaine County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Hill County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Toole County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Campbell County, WY, Crook County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Weston County, WY
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 3:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Pondera, Teton | 31 min |
| Jul 2, 3:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 45 min |
| Jul 2, 4:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 4:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 24 min |
| Jul 2, 4:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 49 min |
| Jul 2, 4:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Hill, Liberty | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 5:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 46 min |
| Jul 2, 6:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Hill | 39 min |
| Jul 2, 6:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 45 min |
| Jul 2, 6:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 43 min |
| Jul 2, 6:47 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Blaine | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 6:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 31 min |
| Jul 2, 7:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -359 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2390 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 1:02 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Daniels, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley and 14 more | 88 min |
| Jul 2, 2:57 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Daniels, Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Petroleum, Phillips and 6 more | 9 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.