Flash Flood Warning 46, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 302317
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
614 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

TXC309-310100-
MCLENNAN TX-
614 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
MCLENNAN COUNTY...

AT 613 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED WATER 3 FEET OVER ROADS IN 
PORTIONS OF WACO.  ALTHOUGH THE RAIN HAS LARGELY STOPPED OVER THE 
WARNED AREA...FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  ADDITIONAL 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3134 9743 3159 9760 3179 9720 3184 9707
      3186 9704 3153 9681 3128 9728 3126 9735

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
505 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED TO REMOVE SOME OF THE TORNADO WATCH FOR THE EXTREME
NORTHWEST COUNTIES AND TO ADD LIMESTONE TO THE WATCH PER REQUEST
FROM SPC. NEW WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 6 PM TO REPLACE CURRENT
WATCH. OTHERWISE...ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST TO SHOW
FASTER CLEARING OUT OF THE PRECIP THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST
AS COLD AIR IS BEGINNING TO MOVE SOUTHEAST.  TR.92

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER VERY BUSY WEATHER DAY...

A VERY STRONG SHORT WAVE WAS IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING NORTHEAST
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AGAIN...AS THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH
(UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE) HAS ROTATED INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. FURTHER SOUTH...ANOTHER AREA OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAS SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. STRONGER INSTABILITIES...AND A SUB-TROPICAL
JET MAX HAVE LIKELY HAD SOMETHING TO DO WITH THE FORMATION OF THE SOUTHERN
AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN BODY OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE INTO
OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. THE SOUTHERN CONVECTION LIKELY WILL FIRE OFF
INTO A SQUALL LINE (AS INDICATED BY THE MODELS) AND HOT-FOOT IT
INTO LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

THERE ARE SEVERAL DAYS WITH LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES...MAINLY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...THESE EVENTS LIKELY
WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS SIGNIFICANT AS WHAT WE HAVE EXPERIENCED OVER
THE PAST DEW DAYS.

LOOK FOR MILD TO COOL TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK...AS SEVERAL COOL
FRONTS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. WE HAVE CHANGED THE TEMPERATURE
FORECASTS A BIT...MAINLY LOWERING LOW TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES. #26
WE WILL HOLD ON WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH...UNTIL MIDNIGHT OR
MAYBE AFTER. THE TORNADO WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM.

 &&

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  56  71  50  81  57 / 100  20  10   0   0
WACO, TX              54  72  50  81  56 / 100  20  10   0   0
PARIS, TX             58  70  51  79  54 / 100  60  10   0   0
DENTON, TX            54  71  46  81  56 / 100  20  10   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          54  71  46  82  55 / 100  20  10   0   0
DALLAS, TX            56  72  54  81  60 / 100  20  10   0   0
TERRELL, TX           54  71  48  82  56 / 100  30  10   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         55  69  50  81  57 / 100  40  10   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            54  72  50  81  55 / 100  30  10   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

99/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311000-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
415 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN AFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY SOUTHWEST
OF A LINE FROM PALO PINTO TO TEMPLE. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST THROUGH TONIGHT AND BRING A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ENTIRE REGION.  THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE FROM FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING AS MANY AREAS
RECEIVED APPRECIABLE RAINFALL YESTERDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED THREE TO FOUR INCH
AMOUNTS.

FORECASTED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY SUGGEST THE
POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTH
TEXAS...WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE AS FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADIC STORMS BUT LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST SATURDAY WITH THE
SOME ADDITIONAL FLOODING POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING FOR
FLOODING REPORTS.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR SEVER WEATHER REPORTS IS
ALSO POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
256 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

TXZ156>158-302030-
CORYELL TX-LAMPASAS TX-BELL TX-
256 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN BELL COUNTY
  SOUTHERN CORYELL COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY

AT 256 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN CENTERED 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAMPASAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE COPPERAS COVE...FORT
HOOD...HARKER HEIGHTS...KILLEEN...LAMPASAS AND NOLANVILLE.

VERY HEAVY RAIN...PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3101 9838 3092 9771 3120 9742 3141 9791

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
300 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

TXZ102-302030-
WISE TX-
300 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN WISE COUNTY

AT 300 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF BRIDGEPORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ALVORD AND CHICO.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3342 9792 3315 9790 3336 9754 3344 9773

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
315 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

TXZ156>160-302045-
MCLENNAN TX-CORYELL TX-FALLS TX-LAMPASAS TX-BELL TX-
315 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN BELL COUNTY
  CORYELL COUNTY
  NORTHERN FALLS COUNTY
  EASTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY
  MCLENNAN COUNTY

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE INCREASING IN ADVANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH 400 PM.

SECURE LOOSE...LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS WHICH MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE
WIND. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...SO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3137 9834 3105 9809 3134 9666 3185 9705
      3159 9759 3170 9770

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
329 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

TXZ115-302100-
STEPHENS TX-
329 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN STEPHENS COUNTY

AT 329 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES EAST OF BRECKENRIDGE...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3296 9884 3266 9879 3270 9857 3295 9859

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
350 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     FLASH FLOOD      7 E LAMPASAS            31.06N  98.06W
03/30/2007                   LAMPASAS           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            U.S. 190 CLOSED...WATER OVER ROAD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
440 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0436 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SW OGLESBY            31.35N  97.59W
03/30/2007                   CORYELL            TX   PUBLIC

            TWO HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED.