Flash Flood Warning 227, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 270043
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
741 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXC333-270300-
MILLS TX-
741 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
MILLS COUNTY...

AT 741 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHERN MILLS 
COUNTY...EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF GOLDTHWAITE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST 
AT 15 MPH.

RAINFALL OF 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. 
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE 
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS 
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF 
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY. TURN AROUND...DONT 
DROWN.

LAT...LON 3129 9856 3145 9828 3170 9847 3166 9876
      3148 9888

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 270142 RRA
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
839 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXC333-270300-
MILLS TX-
839 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN MILLS COUNTY...

AT 839 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN ABOUT 7 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF GOLDTHWAITE. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING 2 INCHES OF RAIN 
AN HOUR OVER HIGHWAY 16 NEAR THE COLORADO RIVER.  FLASH FLOODING OF 
THE COLORADO RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF MULLIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 PM.


LAT...LON 3125 9855 3142 9826 3154 9835 3148 9863
      3142 9873 3136 9871

$$

92

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 270229
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
927 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXC333-270300-
MILLS TX-
927 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MILLS COUNTY...

AT 927 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN JUST EAST AND JUST WEST OF 
GOLDTHWAITE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

RAINFALL OF 1 INCH PER HOUR IS POSSIBLE FROM THESE STORMS. EXCESSIVE 
RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS...AND FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL 
CONTINUE THE THREAT OF RUNOFF AND FLOODING. CREEKS AND 
STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF 
CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE ALL VULNERABLE TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3125 9855 3142 9826 3154 9835 3148 9863
      3142 9873 3136 9871

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
532 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

.AVIATION...
532 PM
THE TSTM LINE IS MOVING THROUGH THE METROPLEX NOW. IT SEEMS TO BE
SLOWING DOWN A BIT NOW THAT IT HAS SLID DOWN THE BACK SIDE OF THE
UPPER LOW AND IS NOW MOVING MORE TOWARDS THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE
LOW. COLD POOL IS A BIT STRONGER THAN WE HAVE SEEN THE LAST FEW DAYS
WITH SOME DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S...THIS MAY STABILIZE THE AIR BEHIND
IT GIVING SOME RESPITE FROM THE STORMS FOR THE NORTHWEST AREAS. AS
FAR AS TAFS GO...WILL KEEP THUNDER IN THE TAFS THROUGH 02Z...THEN
TONE THE RAIN DOWN THROUGH MID DAY WEDNESDAY WHEN IT MAY MAKE
ANOTHER RETURN.  84

&&

.DISCUSSION...
258 PM
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS. OUR CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO REMOVE ANY
COUNTIES FOR THE TIME BEING.

THE UPPER TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND OUR WESTERN
CWA WILL ONLY MEANDER A LITTLE THROUGH THURSDAY. IT SHOULD BEGIN TO
DRIFT NORTHWARD THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE EASTERN CANADA
UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST AND DEEPENS...HOWEVER THE SHEAR AXIS OVER
OUR WESTERN CWA WILL LINGER OVER THE WEEKEND. COME NEXT WEEK...THE
UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS WEST TO EAST AND SLIDES DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN
STATES...EXTENDING FROM GEORGIA TO THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY.

DUE TO OUR EXTREMELY MOIST AIRMASS AND EASTERN SIDE LIFT OF THE
UPPER TROUGH...MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CWA. SINCE THIS IS A WARM CORE SYSTEM...THE CONVECTION WILL BE MORE
NUMEROUS AND SCATTERED DURING THE DAYTIME AND MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR
THE LOWS CENTER AT NIGHTTIME WHICH IS OUR FAR NORTHWEST CWA.  THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL REMAINS VERY LOW...BUT A BRIEF SMALL FUNNEL
OR AN F0 VORTICE COULD OCCUR THROUGH THURSDAY.

WE/VE KEPT POPS HIGH FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS AND ADDED LOW CHANCE POPS
TO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK SINCE THE UPPER TROUGH ISN/T LEAVING SOON.

CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE FORECASTING HIGH/LOW
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE DIFFICULT. DECIDE TO PULL HIGH BACK SLIGHTLY
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE GOVERNED BY
DEWPOINTS AND CLOUD COVER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  74  84  72  87  73 /  70  70  60  50  30
WACO, TX              75  86  73  87  73 /  60  60  50  50  20
PARIS, TX             72  83  71  85  71 /  70  70  50  40  30
DENTON, TX            73  83  70  86  71 /  80  70  60  50  30
MCKINNEY, TX          73  84  71  86  71 /  70  70  60  50  30
DALLAS, TX            74  84  73  87  73 /  70  70  60  50  30
TERRELL, TX           74  85  72  86  73 /  60  60  50  40  20
CORSICANA, TX         74  86  72  88  73 /  50  60  50  40  20
TEMPLE, TX            75  87  72  87  72 /  50  60  40  50  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

79/75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
330 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-271100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
330 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE RED
RIVER TONIGHT. ENERGY FROM THIS SYSTEM COUPLED WITH ABUNDANT
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS OR EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
AGAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
522 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HALTOM CITY             32.82N  97.27W
06/26/2007                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 FEET OF WATER OVER THE ROAD IN HALTOM CITY AT DENTON
            HIGHWAY AND BROADWAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N LIPAN               32.55N  98.05W
06/26/2007                   HOOD               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            KICKAPOO CREEK IS WASHING AWAY PAVEMENT IN NEAR LIPAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
546 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HALTOM CITY             32.82N  97.27W
06/26/2007                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER UP TO THE WINDOWS OF SMALL CARS AT HALTOM ROAD AND
            INTERSTATE 820.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
552 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MORGAN MILL             32.39N  98.17W
06/26/2007                   ERATH              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HOMES AND BUSINESS IN MORGAN MILL FLOODED WITH FAMLIES
            EVACUATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
603 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NW GRANBURY           32.49N  97.85W
06/26/2007                   HOOD               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            3 TO 4 FEET OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY 4 BETWEEN LIPAN AND
            GRANBURY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
650 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXZ157-159-270015-
MCLENNAN TX-CORYELL TX-
650 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CORYELL COUNTY
  MCLENNAN COUNTY

AT 650 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES SOUTH OF
HILLSBORO TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF HAMILTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE BELLMEAD...BEVERLY
HILLS...CRAWFORD...FORT GATES...GATESVILLE...HEWITT...
LACY-LAKEVIEW...MCGREGOR...NORTHCREST...WACO...WEST AND WOODWAY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THESE
STORMS. GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST MAY PRECEDE THE ONSET OF
HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

LAT...LON 3184 9705 3142 9812 3116 9793 3157 9687