Flash Flood Warning 225, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
258 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS. OUR CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO REMOVE ANY
COUNTIES FOR THE TIME BEING.

THE UPPER TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND OUR WESTERN
CWA WILL ONLY MEANDER A LITTLE THROUGH THURSDAY. IT SHOULD BEGIN TO
DRIFT NORTHWARD THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE EASTERN CANADA
UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST AND DEEPENS...HOWEVER THE SHEAR AXIS OVER
OUR WESTERN CWA WILL LINGER OVER THE WEEKEND. COME NEXT WEEK...THE
UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS WEST TO EAST AND SLIDES DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN
STATES...EXTENDING FROM GEORGIA TO THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY.

DUE TO OUR EXTREMELY MOIST AIRMASS AND EASTERN SIDE LIFT OF THE
UPPER TROUGH...MORE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CWA. SINCE THIS IS A WARM CORE SYSTEM...THE CONVECTION WILL BE MORE
NUMEROUS AND SCATTERED DURING THE DAYTIME AND MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR
THE LOWS CENTER AT NIGHTTIME WHICH IS OUR FAR NORTHWEST CWA.  THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL REMAINS VERY LOW...BUT A BRIEF SMALL FUNNEL
OR AN F0 VORTICE COULD OCCUR THROUGH THURSDAY.

WE/VE KEPT POPS HIGH FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS AND ADDED LOW CHANCE POPS
TO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK SINCE THE UPPER TROUGH ISN/T LEAVING SOON.

CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE FORECASTING HIGH/LOW
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE DIFFICULT. DECIDE TO PULL HIGH BACK SLIGHTLY
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE GOVERNED BY
DEWPOINTS AND CLOUD COVER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  74  84  72  87  73 /  70  70  60  50  30
WACO, TX              75  86  73  87  73 /  60  60  50  50  20
PARIS, TX             72  83  71  85  71 /  70  70  50  40  30
DENTON, TX            73  83  70  86  71 /  80  70  60  50  30
MCKINNEY, TX          73  84  71  86  71 /  70  70  60  50  30
DALLAS, TX            74  84  73  87  73 /  70  70  60  50  30
TERRELL, TX           74  85  72  86  73 /  60  60  50  40  20
CORSICANA, TX         74  86  72  88  73 /  50  60  50  40  20
TEMPLE, TX            75  87  72  87  72 /  50  60  40  50  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

79/75

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
330 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-271100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
330 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE RED
RIVER TONIGHT. ENERGY FROM THIS SYSTEM COUPLED WITH ABUNDANT
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS OR EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
AGAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
445 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE MORGAN MILL        32.42N  98.13W
06/26/2007                   ERATH              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COUTNY ROAD 146 NORTH OF MORGAN MILL WASHED OUT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
446 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LIPAN                   32.52N  98.05W
06/26/2007                   HOOD               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            4 VEHICLES UNDER WATER IN LIPAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
513 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXZ119-262315-
DALLAS TX-
513 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  DALLAS COUNTY

AT 513 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER RICHLAND HILLS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

EXCESSIVE RAINS AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL MOVE INTO DALLAS
COUNTY BY 530 PM. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
DALLAS COUNTY BEFORE 600 PM.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE DALLAS AND ALL DALLAS
SUBURBS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING ACROSS
MUCH OF DALLAS COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3257 9703 3298 9703 3298 9652 3256 9652
      3256 9701

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
516 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     FLASH FLOOD      10  N FORT WORTH        32.90N  97.34W
06/26/2007                   TARRANT            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HIGH WATER OVER THE ROAD AT ALTA VISTA ROAD AND GOLDEN
            TRIANGLE BLVD.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
520 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKE WORTH              32.81N  97.43W
06/26/2007                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER OVER THE ROAD IN LAKE WORTH ON JACKSBORO HIGHWAY
            FROM BOAT CLUB ROAD TO INTERSTATE 820.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
522 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HALTOM CITY             32.82N  97.27W
06/26/2007                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 FEET OF WATER OVER THE ROAD IN HALTOM CITY AT DENTON
            HIGHWAY AND BROADWAY.