Flood Watch 1, NWS Tucson, AZ

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
400 AM MST SAT JUL 29 2006

AZZ019-029>035-300300-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER
VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-TUCSON
METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY-
400 AM MST SAT JUL 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

AN UPPER LOW RESIDES ALONG THE ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO BORDER AND WILL
CONTINUE TO SPIN ACROSS THE REGION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH.
WITH THE LOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE GENERAL VICINITY FOR THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM...THE DEEP MOISTURE PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND
ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE UPPER LOW WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY WILL START
TO WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP TO BE
SCATTERED IN NATURE AND WITH WEAKER UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THE THREAT
FOR FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE AS GREAT FOR SUNDAY. HOWEVER...REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THAT WILL BE
ISSUED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY.

BY EARLY IN THE WEEK AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE WEEK...A TROUGH
OVER THE PACIFIC WILL TRY TO WORK ITS WAY EAST. DRIER AIR WILL
FILTER INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND PERHAPS WESTERN ARIZONA.
HOWEVER...THE LATEST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE WILL STILL
BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN PLACE TO GENERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING EACH DAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING
COULD BRIEFLY REACH OR EXCEED SEVERE LIMITS...ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON