Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 830
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 16, 2006, 10:37 AM CDT for 33 parishes in Louisiana; 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 16, 2006, 10:37 AM CDT (15:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 16, 2006, 8:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 55 counties
Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Waller County, TX
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 10:44 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto, Waller | 2 hr |
| Oct 16, 10:50 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Sabine, San Augustine | 4 hr |
| Oct 16, 11:02 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine | 6 hr |
| Oct 16, 11:16 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Sabine | 29 min |
| Oct 16, 11:17 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Jasper | 13 min |
| Oct 16, 11:31 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Rapides | 29 min |
| Oct 16, 11:36 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Natchitoches | 39 min |
| Oct 16, 11:43 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Sabine | 47 min |
| Oct 16, 11:51 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Montgomery, San Jacinto | 39 min |
| Oct 16, 12:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Winn | 61 min |
| Oct 16, 12:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Liberty | 24 min |
| Oct 16, 12:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Polk | 4 hr |
| Oct 16, 12:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto, Waller | 4 hr |
| Oct 16, 12:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Liberty | 29 min |
| Oct 16, 1:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LCH | Vernon | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 1:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Jasper | 26 min |
| Oct 16, 1:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, Winn | 4 hr |
| Oct 16, 2:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Newton | 37 min |
| Oct 16, 2:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LCH | Hardin, Jasper, Tyler | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:14 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin, Richland | 6 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Galveston | 29 min |
| Oct 16, 3:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Richland | 16 min |
| Oct 16, 3:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Ouachita | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 4:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Brazoria | 119 min |
| Oct 16, 4:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty | 90 min |
| Oct 16, 4:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Natchitoches | 117 min |
| Oct 16, 4:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Franklin | 53 min |
| Oct 16, 4:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LCH | Jefferson, Orange | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 5:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Sabine | 86 min |
| Oct 16, 5:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 6:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston | 2 hr |
| Oct 16, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Beauregard | 63 min |
| Oct 16, 6:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison | 6 hr |
| Oct 16, 7:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Ouachita | 86 min |
| Oct 16, 7:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Rapides | 55 min |
| Oct 16, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Rapides | 59 min |
| Oct 16, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Allen | 67 min |
| Oct 16, 7:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LCH | Allen, Avoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2542 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 475 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 560 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 719 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 11.5
- Supercell composite
- 47.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 161536
SEL0
SPC WW 161536
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-170000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 830
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1035 AM UNTIL 700
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 829. WATCH NUMBER 829 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1035 AM CDT.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE AXIS
OF THE LLJ AND RICHEST MOISTURE FROM SE TX/SW LA NEWD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY NWD TOWARD THE
I-20 CORRIDOR. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S AND
EXTREMELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 10:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calcasieu, Cameron | 63 min |
| Oct 15, 11:34 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 16, 1:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche and 11 more | 94 min |
| Oct 16, 2:13 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Assumption, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 12 more | 95 min |
| Oct 16, 5:32 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Beauregard, Calcasieu and 22 more | 88 min |
| Oct 16, 5:58 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 32 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 16, 7:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | De Soto, Grant, LaSalle, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine and 1 more | 84 min |
| Oct 16, 12:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 30 more | 96 min |
| Oct 16, 1:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 13 more | 64 min |
| Oct 16, 2:24 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 6 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 33 more | 83 min |
| Oct 16, 5:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Bernard | 23 min |
| Oct 16, 5:39 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll, East Feliciana and 12 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 16, 6:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Assumption, Avoyelles, Calcasieu, Cameron and 11 more | 26 min |
| Oct 16, 6:44 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 9 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Dimmit, Frio, Kinney, Maverick, Medina and 3 more | 85 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2006Tornado Watches in Texas, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.