Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 128, NWS Lake Charles, LA

October 16, 2006Rapides Parish, Louisiana

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 16, 2006, 7:20 PM CDT for Rapides Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 16, 2006, 7:20 PM CDT (00:20 UTC)
Expired: Oct 16, 2006, 8:15 PM CDT
In force: 55 min
Issued by: NWS Lake Charles, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Rapides Parish, LA

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 16, 10:37 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr
Oct 16, 6:44 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2163 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 475 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 371 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 375 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 5.2
Supercell composite: 27.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 16, 3:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 3:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
331 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE NAM IS THE FAVORED MODEL FROM THIS MORNING/S RUNS.

MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PROGGED NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS EVENING WILL BE PUSHING INSTABILITY EAST ACROSS OUR
AREA TONIGHT. IT IS SUPPOSED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM NORTH
LOUISIANA ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY MORNING. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO MONDAY MORNING
AT LEAST OVER THE EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA.

AT THE SURFACE...LOW CENTER OVER CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS EVENING
WILL HAVE A FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS. THIS FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE TO NORTHEAST TEXAS TO NEAR
TOLEDO BEND DAM THEN ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
MOIST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SOUTHEAST
OF THE FRONT MAKING FOR RELATIVELY HIGH POPS THROUGH FOR TUESDAY.

THE SURFACE FRONT IS SUPPOSED TO WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT ALLOWING MOISTURE TO CONTINUE HIGH OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION. AFTER THE FRONT DISSIPATES...MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
RETURN TO HIGH LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
CONTINUING HIGH MOISTURE WEDNESDAY WITH A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
PUSHING AREAS OF INSTABILITY TOWARD THE AREA WILL MAKE FOR
CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT CHANCES OF RAIN TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

DURING THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THE SURFACE FRONT IS PROGGED
TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER FRONT IS PROGGED TO PASS
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND PERSIST INTO
MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...
OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECOMING IFR LATE
TONIGHT WITH LOW CEILINGS AND RESTRICTED VISIBILITIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  71  92  65  91 /  80  60  60  80
KBPT  71  91  70  90 /  70  50  60  80
KAEX  68  91  61  94 / 100  20  60  70
KLFT  74  91  68  92 / 100  90  60  80

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...
     CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
     LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...ST.
     MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...AND VERNON.

     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ACADIA...
     ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...CAMERON...
     EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER
     ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST.
     MARTIN...VERMILION...AND VERNON.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...
     CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
     LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...ST.
     MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...AND VERNON.

TX...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: HARDIN...
     JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...AND TYLER.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...AND TYLER.

     TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...AND TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA
     TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
     FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20
     NM TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

     TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
     NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 16, 4:36 AM CDT, 14 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
436 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-170945-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
436 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GM...CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD AND HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A VIGOROUS UPPER
DISTURBANCE ADVANCES TOWARD THE REGION. WITH THE HEAVY RAINS WILL
COME THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. ADDITIONALLY...TORNADIC
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STONG SHEAR EXISTS IN THE LOW
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TUESDAY WITH MINIMAL RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED TODAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 16, 4:01 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
401 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 18 SSE SABINE PASS      29.50N 93.78W
10/15/2006  E50.00 MPH       GMZ450             LA   PUBLIC

            PLATFORM IN SABINE PASS BLOCK 10 REPORTED SUSTAINRF WINDS
            OF 40G50MPH AND SEAS AS HIGH AS 12 FEET.

0355 AM     TORNADO          GRAND CHENIER           29.77N 92.97W
10/16/2006                   CAMERON            LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO MOVED ONSHORE IN GRAND CHENIER. REPORTED BY
            CAMERON PARISH SHERIFF OFFICE.

0400 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WESTLAKE                30.25N 93.26W
10/16/2006                   CALCASIEU          LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KPLC TV REPORTS TREES BLOWN DOWN IN WESTLAKE.

0600 AM     TORNADO          CHINA                   30.05N 94.34W
10/16/2006                   JEFFERSON          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            5 MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED...2 OTHERS DAMAGED. TWO HOMES
            WERE DESTROYED...5 RECEIVED MINOR DAMAGE...AND 2 OTHERS
            HAD MODERATE DAMAGE. NO INJURIES.

0700 AM     TORNADO          LUMBERTON               30.26N 94.20W
10/16/2006                   HARDIN             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POSSIBLE TORNADO. DEBRIS REPORTED IN THE AIR WITH
            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND OTHER DAMAGE. TIME APPROXIMATE.
            REPORTED BY KBTV CHANNEL 4 IN BEAUMONT.

0710 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SARATOGA                30.28N 94.53W
10/16/2006                   HARDIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN. ONE TREE LANDED ON
            A HOUSE.

0800 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ROSEPINE                30.92N 93.28W
10/16/2006                   VERNON             LA   PUBLIC

            TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN.

0800 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LUMBERTON               30.26N 94.20W
10/16/2006                   HARDIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 1293 CLOSED BETWEEN HONEY ISLAND AND THICKET.
            VEHICLES STRANDED IN THE WATER. WATER IN HOMES NEAR
            KOUNTZE.

0809 AM     TORNADO          MORSE                   30.12N 92.50W
10/16/2006                   ACADIA             LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTS TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WITH DAMAGE IN
            THE RICHARD AREA NEAR MORSE.

0828 AM     TORNADO          1 N GUEYDAN             30.04N 92.51W
10/16/2006                   VERMILION          LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KLFY REPORTS TORNADO TOUCHDOWN FOR 1/4 MILE.

0849 AM     TORNADO          WIERGATE                31.00N 93.71W
10/16/2006                   NEWTON             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF REPORTS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED...SOME HOMES
            DAMAGED.

0850 AM     TORNADO          1 S IOTA                30.31N 92.49W
10/16/2006                   ACADIA             LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            F1 TORNADO CONFIRMED BY NWS EMPLOYEE SOUTH OF IOTA LA.
            PATH LENGTH WAS .5 MILE. PATH WIDTH WAS 20 YARDS.

0850 AM     TORNADO          S IOTA                  30.33N 92.49W
10/16/2006                   ACADIA             LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MCCAIN ROAD - HOME KNOCKED OFF BLOCKS - POSSIBLE TORNADO.
            REPORT BY KLFY TV.

0854 AM     TORNADO          2 W CROWLEY             30.21N 92.41W
10/16/2006                   ACADIA             LA   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC SEES A TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT MILE MARKER 78
            WEST OF CROWLEY. POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN.

0945 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JASPER                  30.92N 94.00W
10/16/2006                   JASPER             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FARM TO MARKET ROAD 1005 NEAR MAGNOLIA SPRINGS AND FARM

            TO MARKET ROAD 1408 NEAR JASPER CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

1000 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BURKEVILLE              31.00N 93.67W
10/16/2006                   NEWTON             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COUNTY ROAD 1041 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

1110 AM     TORNADO          PITKIN                  30.94N 92.94W
10/16/2006                   VERNON             LA   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED TORNADO NEAR SCHOOL IN PITKIN.

0100 PM     HIGH ASTR TIDES  HACKBERRY               29.97N 93.43W
10/16/2006                   CAMERON            LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            COASTAL TIDES OF 2 1/2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAUSING COASTAL
            FLOODING. REPORTS OF ONE TO TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS
            PORTIONS OF HACKBERRY...WITH WATER COMING INTO A FEW FEMA
            TRAILER HOMES...CAUSING APPLIANCE AND FLOORING DAMAGE.

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ANACOCO                 31.26N 93.34W
10/16/2006                   VERNON             LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 171 BETWEEN ANACOCO AND HORNBECK CLOSED. SOME
            PARISH ROADS CLOSED.

&&

JMORRIS

Local storm report, Oct 16, 5:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before

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Local storm report, Oct 16, 5:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
533 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPURGER                 30.69N 94.18W
10/16/2006                   TYLER              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FARM TO MARKET ROAD 1013 CLOSED BETWEEN HILLISTER AND
            SPURGER

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ROCKLAND                31.00N 94.38W
10/16/2006                   TYLER              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            US HIGHWAY 69 CLOSED NEAR ROCKLAND DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

ML

Local storm report, Oct 16, 5:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
550 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 N STARKS              30.39N 93.66W
10/16/2006                   CALCASIEU          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER HWY 109 JUST SOUTH OF THE PARISH LINE.

&&

DML

Local storm report, Oct 16, 5:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
555 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     FLOOD            5 N STARKS              30.39N 93.66W
10/16/2006                   CALCASIEU          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER HWY 109 JUST SOUTH OF THE PARISH LINE.

&&

ML

Local storm report, Oct 16, 6:43 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
643 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      KOUNTZE                 30.37N 94.32W
10/16/2006                   HARDIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL HIGHWAYS AROUND KOUNTZE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

ML

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 16, 7:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Rapides	59 min
Oct 16, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Allen	67 min
Oct 16, 7:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LCH	Allen, Avoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides	3 hr
Oct 16, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Avoyelles	61 min
Oct 16, 9:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LCH	Acadia, Evangeline, Jefferson Davis, Saint Landry	3 hr
Oct 16, 11:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LCH	Vermilion	22 min
Oct 16, 11:55 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	LCH		65 min
Oct 17, 2:59 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	LCH		61 min
Oct 17, 4:49 PM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	LCH	Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Lafayette, Rapides and 3 more	16 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.