Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 792

September 22, 200622 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 12 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 22, 2006, 6:29 PM CDT for 22 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 12 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 22, 2006, 6:29 PM CDT (23:29 UTC)
Expired
Sep 23, 2006, 1:01 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Carroll County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 22, 6:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKNewton28 min
Sep 22, 6:40 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Marion50 min
Sep 22, 6:40 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph50 min
Sep 22, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHaywood33 min
Sep 22, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton55 min
Sep 22, 6:56 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKIzard49 min
Sep 22, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton46 min
Sep 22, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKStone23 min
Sep 22, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKNewton51 min
Sep 22, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSharp45 min
Sep 22, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGObion, Weakley26 min
Sep 22, 7:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGRandolph6 hr
Sep 22, 7:25 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKIzard, Stone35 min
Sep 22, 7:26 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFulton64 min
Sep 22, 7:29 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKSharp46 min
Sep 22, 7:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBaxter45 min
Sep 22, 7:31 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKSearcy44 min
Sep 22, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Randolph44 min
Sep 22, 7:37 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGRandolph23 min
Sep 22, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKIzard, Sharp48 min
Sep 22, 7:46 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay44 min
Sep 22, 7:59 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGMadison18 min
Sep 22, 8:08 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCarroll, Henderson19 min
Sep 22, 8:12 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGDunklin33 min
Sep 22, 8:15 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph45 min
Sep 22, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSharp29 min
Sep 22, 8:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGClay6 hr
Sep 22, 8:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp45 min
Sep 22, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone44 min
Sep 22, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay24 min
Sep 22, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Stone49 min
Sep 22, 8:52 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone23 min
Sep 22, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene46 min
Sep 22, 9:07 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGGreene38 min
Sep 22, 9:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Marion49 min
Sep 22, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGRandolph33 min
Sep 22, 9:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDunklin6 hr
Sep 22, 9:22 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKSharp38 min
Sep 22, 9:29 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Randolph46 min
Sep 22, 9:49 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBaxter41 min
Sep 22, 10:06 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene, Randolph54 min
Sep 22, 10:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFulton30 min
Sep 22, 10:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFulton45 min
Sep 22, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPemiscot26 min
Sep 22, 10:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone44 min
Sep 22, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMarion43 min
Sep 22, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKSharp38 min
Sep 22, 11:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2006-09-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2207 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2006-09-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 268 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2207 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
574 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
268 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
289 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.2
Supercell composite
13.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 222331
SEL2  
SPC WW 222331
ARZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-230700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
       THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       NORTHWEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 140 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 786. WATCH NUMBER 786 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
630 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 787...WW 788...WW 789...WW 790...WW
791...

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS NRN AR/NW TN...ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS CONVECTION.  A FEED OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S
AND SW /LOW 70 DEWPOINTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN
INTENSE CONVECTION WILL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  ALSO...VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 7:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Franklin, Garland, Hot Spring, Howard, Logan and 7 more115 min
Sep 21, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Madison, Washington2 hr
Sep 21, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Clark, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner, Franklin and 24 more8 hr
Sep 21, 11:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hot Spring and 16 more2 hr
Sep 22, 4:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 23 more67 min
Sep 22, 4:39 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Fulton and 17 more5 hr
Sep 22, 8:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 53 more85 min
Sep 22, 9:10 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 46 more9 hr
Sep 22, 11:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington95 min
Sep 22, 12:06 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more9 hr
Sep 22, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 64 more90 min
Sep 22, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark and 58 more90 min
Sep 22, 5:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crawford, Cross and 38 more92 min
Sep 22, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 23 more2 hr
Sep 22, 1:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Bollinger, Boone, Butler, Callaway, Cape Girardeau and 31 more8 hr
Sep 22, 5:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 33 more2 hr
Sep 22, 1:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Gibson, Giles and 14 more94 min
Sep 22, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Henry, Obion, Stewart, Weakley2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2006Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2006Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.