Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 792
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 22, 2006, 6:29 PM CDT for 22 counties in Arkansas; Dunklin County, Pemiscot County, Missouri; 12 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 22, 2006, 6:29 PM CDT (23:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 23, 2006, 1:01 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 36 counties
Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Newton County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Carroll County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 6:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Newton | 28 min |
| Sep 22, 6:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 50 min |
| Sep 22, 6:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 50 min |
| Sep 22, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Haywood | 33 min |
| Sep 22, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton | 55 min |
| Sep 22, 6:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Izard | 49 min |
| Sep 22, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Newton | 46 min |
| Sep 22, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Stone | 23 min |
| Sep 22, 7:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Newton | 51 min |
| Sep 22, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Sharp | 45 min |
| Sep 22, 7:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Obion, Weakley | 26 min |
| Sep 22, 7:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Randolph | 6 hr |
| Sep 22, 7:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Izard, Stone | 35 min |
| Sep 22, 7:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton | 64 min |
| Sep 22, 7:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Sharp | 46 min |
| Sep 22, 7:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Baxter | 45 min |
| Sep 22, 7:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Searcy | 44 min |
| Sep 22, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Randolph | 44 min |
| Sep 22, 7:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Randolph | 23 min |
| Sep 22, 7:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Izard, Sharp | 48 min |
| Sep 22, 7:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay | 44 min |
| Sep 22, 7:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Madison | 18 min |
| Sep 22, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Carroll, Henderson | 19 min |
| Sep 22, 8:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Dunklin | 33 min |
| Sep 22, 8:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lawrence, Randolph | 45 min |
| Sep 22, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Sharp | 29 min |
| Sep 22, 8:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Clay | 6 hr |
| Sep 22, 8:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton, Izard, Sharp | 45 min |
| Sep 22, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone | 44 min |
| Sep 22, 8:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay | 24 min |
| Sep 22, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Izard, Stone | 49 min |
| Sep 22, 8:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone | 23 min |
| Sep 22, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 46 min |
| Sep 22, 9:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Greene | 38 min |
| Sep 22, 9:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 49 min |
| Sep 22, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Randolph | 33 min |
| Sep 22, 9:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Dunklin | 6 hr |
| Sep 22, 9:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Sharp | 38 min |
| Sep 22, 9:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay, Randolph | 46 min |
| Sep 22, 9:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Baxter | 41 min |
| Sep 22, 10:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene, Randolph | 54 min |
| Sep 22, 10:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton | 30 min |
| Sep 22, 10:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Fulton | 45 min |
| Sep 22, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Pemiscot | 26 min |
| Sep 22, 10:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone | 44 min |
| Sep 22, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Marion | 43 min |
| Sep 22, 11:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Sharp | 38 min |
| Sep 22, 11:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter | 54 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2207 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -28 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 574 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 268 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 289 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.2
- Supercell composite
- 13.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 222331
SEL2
SPC WW 222331
ARZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-230700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 140 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 786. WATCH NUMBER 786 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
630 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 787...WW 788...WW 789...WW 790...WW
791...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT ACROSS NRN AR/NW TN...ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
PREVIOUS CONVECTION. A FEED OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE S
AND SW /LOW 70 DEWPOINTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD MAINTAIN
INTENSE CONVECTION WILL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO...VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 7:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Franklin, Garland, Hot Spring, Howard, Logan and 7 more | 115 min |
| Sep 21, 7:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Madison, Washington | 2 hr |
| Sep 21, 9:30 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner, Franklin and 24 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 21, 11:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hot Spring and 16 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 22, 4:08 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 23 more | 67 min |
| Sep 22, 4:39 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Fulton and 17 more | 5 hr |
| Sep 22, 8:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 53 more | 85 min |
| Sep 22, 9:10 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Boone, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 46 more | 9 hr |
| Sep 22, 11:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 95 min |
| Sep 22, 12:06 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 9 hr |
| Sep 22, 12:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 64 more | 90 min |
| Sep 22, 3:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark and 58 more | 90 min |
| Sep 22, 5:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crawford, Cross and 38 more | 92 min |
| Sep 22, 12:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 23 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 22, 1:16 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Audrain, Bollinger, Boone, Butler, Callaway, Cape Girardeau and 31 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 22, 5:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 33 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 22, 1:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Decatur, Gibson, Giles and 14 more | 94 min |
| Sep 22, 2:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Henry, Obion, Stewart, Weakley | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2006Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2006Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.