Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 2000

September 22, 20065 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 22, 2006, 4:08 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 22, 2006, 4:08 AM CDT (09:08 UTC)
Expired
Sep 22, 2006, 5:15 AM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 52 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Fulton County, KY, Butler County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2006-09-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2006-09-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 143 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1789 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
265 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 220908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220908 
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-221015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2000
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 AM CDT FRI SEP 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NE AR...AND PARTS OF SE MO...NW MS...WRN TN INTO
EXTREME SW KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 784...

VALID 220908Z - 221015Z

NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED BY 10Z.

IN WAKE OF STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH...WHICH IS NOW LIFTING NORTHEAST
OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE/WARMING IS
SPREADING THROUGH THE LOWER RED RIVER VALLEY AND THE ARKLATEX. THIS
IS CAPPING OFF RETURNING TONGUE OF VERY MOIST LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARY
LAYER FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...CHARACTERIZED BY 70F+
SURFACE DEW POINTS.  WHILE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS BECOME
INHIBITED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...END TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOWER IN
STRONGER LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION REGIME SPREADING ACROSS NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS TOWARD THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THIS IS ON NORTHERN FRINGE
OF RETURNING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...WHERE STORMS APPEAR BASED NEAR
ENOUGH TO THE SURFACE THAT RISK OF TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
LARGE...CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK...BEFORE SLACKING OFF SOME
THROUGH MID MORNING.

..KERR.. 09/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...

36609125 36979012 36628907 35848878 34818925 34219030
34009135 34499241 35289280 36039225

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 7:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Franklin, Garland, Hot Spring, Howard, Logan and 7 more115 min
Sep 21, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Madison, Washington2 hr
Sep 21, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Clark, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner, Franklin and 24 more8 hr
Sep 21, 11:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Hot Spring and 16 more2 hr
Sep 22, 4:39 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Fulton and 17 more5 hr
Sep 22, 8:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 53 more85 min
Sep 22, 9:10 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 46 more9 hr
Sep 22, 11:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington95 min
Sep 22, 12:06 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more9 hr
Sep 22, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 64 more90 min
Sep 22, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark and 58 more90 min
Sep 22, 5:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crawford, Cross and 38 more92 min
Sep 22, 6:29 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton and 16 more7 hr
Sep 22, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Crittenden, Fulton and 11 more2 hr
Sep 22, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge, Bullitt and 31 more116 min
Sep 22, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more8 hr
Sep 22, 5:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden, Graves and 11 more2 hr
Sep 22, 1:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Clay, Itawamba and 11 more94 min
Sep 22, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lafayette and 9 more5 hr
Sep 22, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe and 5 more60 min
Sep 22, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 23 more2 hr
Sep 22, 1:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Bollinger, Boone, Butler, Callaway, Cape Girardeau and 31 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.