Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 775

September 16, 20067 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Kansas; 39 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 16, 2006, 3:56 PM CDT for 7 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Kansas; 39 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 2006, 3:56 PM CDT (20:56 UTC)
Expired
Sep 16, 2006, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 16, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore18 min
Sep 16, 7:41 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDFillmore, York19 min
Sep 16, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison25 min
Sep 16, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Seward37 min
Sep 16, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa47 min
Sep 16, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, York23 min
Sep 16, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay13 min
Sep 16, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Saunders37 min
Sep 16, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic28 min
Sep 16, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward35 min
Sep 16, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore, York30 min
Sep 16, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Washington24 min
Sep 16, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa46 min
Sep 16, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Dodge46 min
Sep 16, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt27 min
Sep 16, 8:52 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXDouglas, Saunders38 min
Sep 16, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell36 min
Sep 16, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls51 min
Sep 16, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison34 min
Sep 16, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore27 min
Sep 16, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward43 min
Sep 16, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne27 min
Sep 16, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic48 min
Sep 16, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders32 min
Sep 16, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Washington42 min
Sep 16, 9:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXSaunders3 hr
Sep 16, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell, Osborne32 min
Sep 16, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell45 min
Sep 16, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer41 min
Sep 16, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls21 min
Sep 16, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison23 min
Sep 16, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Washington36 min
Sep 16, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell33 min
Sep 16, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Washington34 min
Sep 16, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXShelby37 min
Sep 16, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison31 min
Sep 16, 10:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie65 min
Sep 16, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall29 min
Sep 16, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXShelby33 min
Sep 16, 10:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby118 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2006-09-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2006-09-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 293 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-448 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1558 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 8:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 21 more58 min
Sep 15, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery and 2 more4 hr
Sep 16, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Plymouth, Sioux and 1 more3 hr
Sep 16, 1:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCLyon, Monona, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury8 hr
Sep 16, 3:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Ida, Lyon and 7 more96 min
Sep 16, 5:07 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay, Crawford and 15 more8 hr
Sep 16, 6:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon63 min
Sep 15, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 14 more8 hr
Sep 15, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne and 6 more7 hr
Sep 15, 9:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 13 more5 hr
Sep 16, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Butler, Chase, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Geary and 10 more53 min
Sep 16, 4:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 15 more97 min
Sep 16, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clark, Comanche and 27 more8 hr
Sep 15, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCButler, Clay, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Fillmore and 12 more6 hr
Sep 15, 11:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Custer, Dawson, Garfield, Gosper, Greeley and 10 more91 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2006Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2006Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.