Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 769
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 15, 2006, 7:06 PM CDT for 18 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 15, 2006, 7:06 PM CDT (00:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 16, 2006, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 39 min |
| Sep 15, 7:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Seward | 38 min |
| Sep 15, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nance | 25 min |
| Sep 15, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 45 min |
| Sep 15, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Platte | 45 min |
| Sep 15, 7:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Butler | 27 min |
| Sep 15, 8:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Butler | 35 min |
| Sep 15, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | York | 24 min |
| Sep 15, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 48 min |
| Sep 15, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Seward | 31 min |
| Sep 15, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Madison, Platte | 46 min |
| Sep 15, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge | 52 min |
| Sep 15, 8:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Seward | 18 min |
| Sep 15, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline | 33 min |
| Sep 15, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler | 36 min |
| Sep 15, 9:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 50 min |
| Sep 15, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | York | 30 min |
| Sep 15, 9:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline | 28 min |
| Sep 15, 9:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Saline | 18 min |
| Sep 15, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Lancaster | 44 min |
| Sep 15, 9:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Lancaster | 36 min |
| Sep 15, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Polk | 32 min |
| Sep 15, 10:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler | 43 min |
| Sep 15, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Fillmore, York | 17 min |
| Sep 15, 10:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saunders | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 262 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -61 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1732 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 127 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 307 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 2.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 160007
SEL9
SPC WW 160007
NEZ000-160600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 769
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GRAND ISLAND NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF LINCOLN
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 766...WW 767...WW 768...
DISCUSSION...SRN END OF EXISTING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IN CNTRL NEB
WILL EXPERIENCE INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR...AND REDUCED TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY
LAYER COOLS AND LLJ STRENGTHENS. GIVEN EXISTING SEMI-DISCRETE
STORMS AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DISCRETE UPDRAFTS...THREAT MAY
INCREASE FOR TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 8:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Burt, Cass, Douglas, Johnson, Otoe, Sarpy and 1 more | 4 hr |
| Sep 15, 11:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buffalo, Custer, Dawson, Garfield, Gosper, Greeley and 10 more | 91 min |
| Sep 16, 1:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cedar, Dakota, Dixon, Knox | 3 hr |
| Sep 16, 1:53 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Antelope, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Dakota, Dixon and 7 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 16, 3:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antelope, Boyd, Brown, Burt, Cedar, Cuming and 10 more | 96 min |
| Sep 16, 3:56 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Boone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Clay and 33 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.