Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 769

September 15, 200618 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 15, 2006, 7:06 PM CDT for 18 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2006, 7:06 PM CDT (00:06 UTC)
Expired
Sep 16, 2006, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk39 min
Sep 15, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Seward38 min
Sep 15, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNance25 min
Sep 15, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk45 min
Sep 15, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPlatte45 min
Sep 15, 7:48 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXButler27 min
Sep 15, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXButler35 min
Sep 15, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDYork24 min
Sep 15, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders48 min
Sep 15, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSeward31 min
Sep 15, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison, Platte46 min
Sep 15, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge52 min
Sep 15, 8:44 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXSeward18 min
Sep 15, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline33 min
Sep 15, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler36 min
Sep 15, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders50 min
Sep 15, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDYork30 min
Sep 15, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaline28 min
Sep 15, 9:42 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXSaline18 min
Sep 15, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster44 min
Sep 15, 9:54 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXLancaster36 min
Sep 15, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPolk32 min
Sep 15, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler43 min
Sep 15, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, York17 min
Sep 15, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXSaunders27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2006-09-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 262 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2006-09-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
262 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-61 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1732 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
307 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 160007
SEL9  
SPC WW 160007
NEZ000-160600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 769
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
705 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 705 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GRAND ISLAND NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF LINCOLN
NEBRASKA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 766...WW 767...WW 768...

DISCUSSION...SRN END OF EXISTING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IN CNTRL NEB
WILL EXPERIENCE INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR...AND REDUCED TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY
LAYER COOLS AND LLJ STRENGTHENS.  GIVEN EXISTING SEMI-DISCRETE
STORMS AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DISCRETE UPDRAFTS...THREAT MAY
INCREASE FOR TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBurt, Cass, Douglas, Johnson, Otoe, Sarpy and 1 more4 hr
Sep 15, 11:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Custer, Dawson, Garfield, Gosper, Greeley and 10 more91 min
Sep 16, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Dakota, Dixon, Knox3 hr
Sep 16, 1:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Cedar, Dakota, Dixon and 7 more8 hr
Sep 16, 3:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Brown, Burt, Cedar, Cuming and 10 more96 min
Sep 16, 3:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Boone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Clay and 33 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.