Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 271

May 1, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2006, 5:17 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2006, 5:17 PM CDT (22:17 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2006, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 93 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Washington County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Barry County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede50 min
May 1, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFPulaski57 min
May 1, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWashington41 min
May 1, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair39 min
May 1, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell42 min
May 1, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe49 min
May 1, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Fayette, Montgomery39 min
May 1, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair46 min
May 1, 10:40 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXRandolph35 min
May 1, 10:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHRipley59 min
May 1, 10:49 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXWashington26 min
May 1, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXReynolds38 min
May 1, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin51 min
May 1, 11:04 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHPerry41 min
May 1, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWashington46 min
May 1, 11:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler44 min
May 1, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson50 min
May 1, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2006-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2006-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 161 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
161 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
288 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 012219
SEL1  
SPC WW 012219
ARZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-020500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       WESTERN ILLINOIS
       SOUTHERN AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
       NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM 520 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF POTEAU
OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH OF CARBONDALE ILLINOIS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 270...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE AND SPREAD ENEWD ACROSS WW THIS EVENING.  PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS WILL BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  HOWEVER...LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY INTO S-CENTRAL/SERN MO AND IL PORTIONS OF WW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...EVANS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 7 more4 hr
Apr 30, 9:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 5 more95 min
May 1, 2:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Randolph53 min
May 1, 4:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington118 min
May 1, 6:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 8 more91 min
Apr 30, 7:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson and 7 more60 min
May 1, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarter, Cotton, Garvin, Jefferson, Love, Murray and 1 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2006Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2006Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.