Tornado Warning 46, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WWUS54 KFWD 300009
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
609 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

TXC161-300030-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-061230T0030Z/
FREESTONE TX-
609 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 630 PM CST FOR WESTERN FREESTONE
COUNTY...

AT 609 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A 
DEVELOPING TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHWEST OF 
FAIRFIELD...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  8 MILES EAST OF STREETMAN BY 615 PM

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A REINFORCED BUILDING. AS
A LAST RESORT...LIE FLAT IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD.

DO NOT LEAVE SHELTER TO USE YOUR CAR TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE
EASILY TOSSED AND CRUSHED BY TORNADO WINDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM FRIDAY EVENING FOR
EASTERN TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM SATURDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3179 9647 3145 9623 3185 9599 3197 9620

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
356 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...
VERY BUSY DAY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS. OUTRAGEOUS HELICITY VALUES HAVE MORE
THAN MADE UP FOR THE LACK OF INSTABILITY...AND WE HAVE HAD SEVERAL
REPORTS OF TORNADOES ON THE GROUND. WATER VAPOR SHOWS POTENT UPPER
LOW STILL SPINNING IN THE VICINITY OF THE NM/TX/NORTHERN MEXICO
INTERFACE. MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM...WITH ENERGY SHOOTING OUT FROM THE BOTTOM OF THE SYSTEM
OVER NORTH TEXAS. BESIDES THE OBVIOUS TORNADO THREAT...FLOODING
HAS INDEED PROVED TO BE AN ISSUE WITH THE TRAINING TENDENCY
EXHIBITED BY THESE CELLS. HAIL SEEMS TO BE HARDER TO COME BY THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...AND ONLY A FEW REPORTS OF PEA-SIZE HAIL HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED. WEAK DRY LINE/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR BROKEN SQUALL LINE
DEVELOPMENT LATER TONIGHT...WHICH SHOULD IMPROVE CHANCES FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL. GIVEN THE STRONGLY MERIDIONAL DEEP LAYER KINEMATIC
PROFILES...STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A THREAT.

UPPER LOW WILL TAKE ITS TIME TO CLEAR THE AREA...MAKING A SLOW
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION OVER THE NEXT 36 HRS. EXPECT RAIN
TO COME TO AN END OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS BY TOMORROW EVENING
EVEN AS UPPER LOW REMAINS IN THE VICINITY...AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO
WANE AND THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES DRY SLOTTED.
NORTHERN COUNTIES MAY SEE SOME WRAP-AROUND CLOUDS/PRECIP AS WELL.

PACIFIC FRONT WILL FINALLY PUSH THROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY/EARLY
MONDAY AND WILL NOT HAVE TOO MUCH OF AN IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES.
TEMPERATURES WILL MORE LIKELY BE NUDGED TOWARDS MORE NORMAL VALUES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR (LOWER 50S FOR HIGHS AND LOWER TO MID 30S
FOR LOWS) AS SEVERAL SHOTS OF WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION FILTER INTO
THE AREA.

NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT NORTH TEXAS IN THE WEDNESDAY THRU FRIDAY TIME
FRAME AS A STRONG UPPER LOW EJECTS NORTHEAST FROM NORTHERN MEXICO
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. FOR NOW HAVE CONTINUES 20-40% POPS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA UNTIL MORE DETAILS CAN BE PINNED DOWN.
/13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  50  61  39  57  34 / 100  20  10   0   0
WACO, TX              50  62  39  59  36 / 100  20  10   0   0
PARIS, TX             54  62  39  54  33 / 100  50  20  10   0
DENTON, TX            50  59  38  54  32 / 100  20  10   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          51  61  37  54  32 / 100  40  20   0   0
DALLAS, TX            52  62  40  56  36 / 100  30  10   0   0
TERRELL, TX           52  62  39  56  36 / 100  40  10   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         53  63  40  59  35 / 100  30  10   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            49  63  39  61  34 /  90  20  10   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
325 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-301100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
325 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARDS NORTH TEXAS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO WEST TEXAS. THE ATMOSPHERE
IS PRIMED FOR ROTATING STORMS...AND TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. A TORNADO WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 8 PM. SEVERAL TORNADOES
HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING
WINDS TO 60 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...NAMELY WITH A SQUALL LINE
EXPECTED TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. FINALLY...
LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT...AS SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. LOOK
FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO SHIFT EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35 AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NORTH
TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...AS AN UPPER LOW ROTATES OUT OF THE
AREA AND A COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVING EAST. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL EXPAND TO INCLUDE ALL OF NORTH TEXAS BY
THURSDAY MORNING AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHOULD END NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ACROSS AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 35
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
456 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     TORNADO          GROESBECK               31.52N  96.53W
12/29/2006                   LIMESTONE          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *** 1 FATAL, 12 INJ *** 12 INJURED 1 FATALITY NEAR
            GROESBECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
458 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TORNADO          CENTERVILLE             31.26N  95.98W
12/29/2006                   LEON               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BRYAN DPS REPORTS RESIDENCE AND BARN DAMAGED AT FM 2045
            AND CR 4025 INTERSECTION

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
500 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TORNADO          CENTERVILLE             31.26N  95.98W
12/29/2006                   LEON               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BRYAN DPS REPORTS POWER LINES DOWN NEAR OSR AND
            NORMANGEE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
513 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

TXZ107-292345-

HOPKINS-
513 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN HOPKINS COUNTY

AT 513 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES WEST OF WINNSBORO...MOVING NORTH AT 35
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE COMO.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3288 9564 3282 9543 3326 9522 3334 9548

92

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
526 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

TXZ157-158-300015-

BELL-CORYELL-
526 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN BELL COUNTY
  EASTERN CORYELL COUNTY

AT 526 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH OF GATESVILLE...TO SOUTH OF
HARKER HEIGHTS. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 45 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE FORT GATES...FORT HOOD...
GATESVILLE...HARKER HEIGHTS AND KILLEEN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

IF THESE STORMS INTENSIFY...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3093 9780 3089 9762 3157 9760 3169 9770
      3162 9783

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
536 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

TXZ122-135-300000-

HENDERSON-VAN ZANDT-
536 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL HENDERSON COUNTY
  SOUTHERN VAN ZANDT COUNTY

AT 536 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF ATHENS...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ATHENS...CANEY CITY...
CANTON...EUSTACE...MALAKOFF...VAN AND PURTIS CREEK STATE PARK.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3211 9605 3210 9583 3258 9558 3268 9604