Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 888

December 29, 200673 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 29, 2006, 5:38 PM CST for 73 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 29, 2006, 5:38 PM CST (23:38 UTC)
Expired
Dec 30, 2006, 4:00 AM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 73 counties

Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Aransas County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Coryell County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Refugio County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 29, 5:39 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDFreestone, Limestone3 hr
Dec 29, 5:44 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDFreestone46 min
Dec 29, 5:46 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDMilam, Robertson44 min
Dec 29, 6:00 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDAnderson45 min
Dec 29, 6:28 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson47 min
Dec 29, 6:29 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDFreestone, Navarro46 min
Dec 29, 7:02 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDAnderson43 min
Dec 29, 7:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Wood38 min
Dec 29, 7:17 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDNavarro33 min
Dec 29, 7:27 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDHenderson, Kaufman, Navarro, Van Zandt3 hr
Dec 29, 7:36 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson24 min
Dec 29, 7:56 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDRobertson2 hr
Dec 29, 8:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson65 min
Dec 29, 8:42 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDFreestone, Limestone3 hr
Dec 29, 8:53 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHHardin2 hr
Dec 29, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHNewton63 min
Dec 30, 12:03 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVSabine, San Augustine4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 310 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2006-12-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 119 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2006-12-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 324 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
119 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-168 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
363 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 29, 11:42 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brazos and 44 more3 hr
Dec 29, 12:42 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Aransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee and 67 more5 hr
Dec 29, 1:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta and 22 more66 min
Dec 29, 1:37 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Dallas and 19 more6 hr
Dec 29, 3:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Aransas, Archer, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop and 92 more2 hr
Dec 29, 5:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Aransas, Austin, Bastrop, Bee and 75 more36 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.