Severe Thunderstorm Warning 289, NWS Shreveport, LA

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-301200-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1200 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST TOWARDS
THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING
MORE NUMEROUS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...ADJACENT SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND
WESTERN LOUISIANA. AS THE DEEPER CONVECTION DEVELOPS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY OVER MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
POSSIBLY WESTERN LOUISIANA...AS THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ORGANIZE INTO A SQUALL LINE LATE...WHICH WILL SLOWLY ADVANCE EAST
INTO THE REGION. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXCESSIVE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO DEVELOP TONIGHT FROM THESE
STORMS...WITH THREE TO SIX INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY AREAWIDE
THROUGH SATURDAY. GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED IN
WAKE OF RECENT RAINFALL...ANY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY WILL QUICKLY RUNOFF...PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. RESIDENTS
THAT LIVE IN A LOW LYING OR FLOOD PRONE AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED TO
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF AND WHEN FLOODING DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THE SQUALL LINE WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE REGION THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
SATURDAY...THUS THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THREAT WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL THE RAINFALL BEGINS TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. NO OTHER ADDITIONAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS...MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION...FOR THE POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING.

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