Flash Flood Warning 108, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 152135
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
433 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

TXC335-160100-
MITCHELL-
433 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
MITCHELL COUNTY...

AT 430 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM NEAR 
COLORADO CITY SOUTHWARD ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 208. FLASH FLOODING 
ALONG LOW LYING AREAS...CITY STREETS...RURAL ROADWAYS...AND ALONG 
THE FLOODED COLORADO RIVER IS LIKELY. 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE. TURN
AROUND... DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3209 10117 3209 10067 3251 10067 3251 10118

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 152156
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
454 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

TXC335-160100-
MITCHELL-
454 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
MITCHELL COUNTY...

AT 450 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED HIGH WATER IMPEDING TRAVEL ALONG 
COUNTY ROADS NEAR WESTBROOK. WATER WAS ADDITIONALLY REPORTED TO BE 
PONDING UNDER OVERPASSES ALONG INTERSTATE 20. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE 
EXTREME CAUTION ACROSS MITCHELL COUNTY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE PREVENTABLE. 

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

TO REPORT FLOODING OR SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3209 10117 3209 10067 3251 10067 3251 10118

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 152353
FFSMAF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
650 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

TXC335-160100-
MITCHELL-
650 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
MITCHELL COUNTY...

AT 647 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT COUNTY 
ROADS 145...147...AND 149 IN NORTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY INUNDATED 
WITH FLOWING FLOOD WATER. LOCAL OFFICIALS ARE BARRICADING THE 
ROADWAYS. 

ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAINFALL HAS MOVED EAST OF THE WARNED AREA...RUNOFF 
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT 
THROUGH 8 PM CDT. 

DO NOT DRIVE AROUND POLICE BARRICADES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE 
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. 

TURN AROUND... DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3209 10117 3209 10067 3251 10067 3251 10118

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
116 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

.SHORT TERM...
.LONG TERM...

GFS STILL SEEMS TO HAVE BEST HANDLE ON CURRENT HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING
EVENT AS IT INITIALIZED REASONABLY WELL THIS MORNING CAPTURING THE
COLDEST CLOUD TOPS AND PRECIPITATION AREAS STRETCHING FROM OLD MEXICO
NORTHEAST INTO THE BIG BEND...NORTHEAST TO THE BIG COUNTRY AND A FINAL
COMPLEX IN WESTERN MISSOURI. WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
TONIGHT AND SHIFT IT TO THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN SOUTH TO THE BIG
BEND GROUP AS ANOTHER IMPULSE FROM MEXICO RIDES UP INTO THE BIG BEND
OVERNIGHT INTO THE EXTREME WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING.
IR IMAGERY IS CONFIRMING THIS WAVE SOUTH OF THE BIG BEND. THIS WAVE WILL
INTERACT WITH INCREASING 850 MILLIBAR SOUTHEAST FLOW AND WARM AIR ADVECTION
TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AFOREMENTIONED AREAS. WILL TAPER POPS TO THE CHANCE CATEGORY INTO THE
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN ON WESTWARD.

KEPT THE CHANCE POPS GOING TUESDAY AS A FINAL WAVE RIDES THE TRAIN
INTO THE BIG BEND AND PERMIAN BASIN. FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION FOR TUESDAY...THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT WILL NEED TO DECIDE.

BEYOND TUESDAY DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. KEPT BASICALLY
20 POPS WEST...10 EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS INSTABILITY WILL STILL BE
IN PLACE ALONG WITH A LOW LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GFS STILL
INDICATING A NORTHERN STREAM FRONT LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW SEVERAL DEGREES BASED ON ABUNDANT
CLOUD COVER...PRECIPITATION AND WET GROUND EXPECTED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL POINTS ALONG THE COLORADO AND
RIO GRANDE RIVER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              66  83  68  91 /  70  50  30  10
CARLSBAD NM                62  88  66  95 /  30  30  30  20
DRYDEN TX                  68  88  70  93 /  80  40  20  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           67  86  67  93 /  60  50  30  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          61  81  63  88 /  30  20  30  30
HOBBS NM                   63  87  65  95 /  30  20  30  20
MARFA TX                   57  78  58  86 /  60  40  30  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    66  83  69  93 /  60  50  30  10
ODESSA TX                  67  86  69  94 /  50  50  30  10
WINK TX                    68  90  70  98 /  40  40  30  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BIG BEND AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...MARFA
     PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...PRESIDIO
     VALLEY...REAGAN...SCURRY...TERRELL...AND UPTON.

&&

12/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
225 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-161200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
225 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2005 /125 PM MDT MON AUG 15 2005/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS...AND BIG BEND REGIONS.
RECENT WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS HAVE SATURATED SOILS AND ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL GENERATE RUNOFF AND CONTRIBUTE TO QUICK
FLOODING IN RURAL AND URBAN AREAS. ELEVATED LEVELS ALONG THE RIO
GRAND AND COLORADO RIVERS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AND FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY WILL CONTINUE A LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOOD THREAT WITH DECREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING PROBLEMS TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND