Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
800 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

...CORRECTED FOR FLOOD WATCH...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
JUST THE BEGINNING OF AN ACTIVE NIGHT SETTING UP ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH-NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENTLY, THE BEST CONCENTRATION OF THUNDERSTORMS
IS ACROSS NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE CWA.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 85.

THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT THREE HOURS WILL BE
ACROSS OUR NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF OUR CWA WHERE HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL
HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED IN LAMAR COUNTY. EXPECT THIS CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE MOVING OFF TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS
MARION COUNTY OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

A LARGE CLUSTER OF STORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.  WITH THE CURRENT TRACK OF THIS AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS, THE BULK OF IT WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA AND
ONLY BRUSH OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES.  THE MAIN CONCERN FOR CENTRAL
ALABAMA TONIGHT WILL BE WHAT IS BREWING ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
THUS, ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED SHORTLY FOR CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.  EXPECT THIS AREA OF STORMS TO
CONTINUE ON INTO ALABAMA AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES BRINGING STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. TIMING OF THIS LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO BE
AROUND 1AM-4AM WEST...4AM-8AM CENTRAL...8AM-12PM EAST.
&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES....FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL BUT
SOUTHEAST THROUGH 6PM WEDNESDAY.
&&

KH/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
700 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

ALZ011>015-017>050-241300-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
700 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND
MOVE EAST OF THE STATE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  THIS FRONT WILL
BRING A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY TO AREAS SOUTH OF THE I20
CORRIDOR.

AT THIS TIME...THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS A SQUALL LINE...THAT
IS LIKELY TO MOVE INTO ALABAMA FROM THE WEST AROUND MIDNIGHT...
AND EXIT THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE BY MID DAY
WEDNESDAY.  DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH
THE SQUALL LINE.  HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE I20
CORRIDOR...AND A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA. MINOR
RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO OCCURRING ON THE UPPER CAHABA RIVER ABOVE
CENTREVILLE TODAY.

ADDITIONALLY...SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING...WILL RESTRICT
VISIBILITIES AND MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS UNTIL THE FOG LIFTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)

STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
MORNING WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  OTHERWISE NO
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA
355 PM CST Tue Nov 23 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0138 PM     TORNADO          WEDOWEE                 33.31N 85.48W
11/23/2004                   RANDOLPH           AL   EMA

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN AND AROUND
            WEDOWEE.  REPORTS OF TOPS TWISTED OFF TREES.  POSSIBLE
            TORNADO.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA
404 PM CST Tue Nov 23 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0257 PM     TORNADO          5 N LAFAYETTE           32.92N 85.40W
11/23/2004                   CHAMBERS           AL   SPOTTER

            WALL CLOUD AND FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTINGS 5 MILES NORTH OF
            LAFAYETTE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA
756 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0752 PM     HAIL             SULLIGENT               33.89N 88.13W
11/23/2004  1.25 IN          LAMAR              AL   SPOTTER

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 278 JUST WEST
            OF SULLIGENT.

&&