Severe Thunderstorm Warning 243, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
1014 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR MASS CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA.  SOUNDING DATA
INDICATES THAT CAP WILL ERODE BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  AS WE
CONTINUE TO HEAT UP...EXPECT MORE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
WILL GENERALLY CONTINUE WITH THE SAME BASIC FORECAST AND JUST
ADJUST THE WORDING SLIGHTLY.

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ011>015-017>050-061945-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1242 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA UNDER A TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM

ALABAMA REMAINS IN A VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS...AND STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  ALTHOUGH THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...
THERE IS ALSO A CONTINUED POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH OVER THE
REST OF THE WEEK.  THIS WILL MOVE THE AREA OF POTENTIAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH EACH DAY.

THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE IN AREAS GENERALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 ON WEDNESDAY...AND THEN BE COMPLETELY NORTH OF ALABAMA
BY THURSDAY.

ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY...NO WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED AREAS OF SEVERE STORMS
AREA EXPECTED ON THOSE DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS HAVE BEEN
ACTIVATED.

ALZ011-061345-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
817 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MARION COUNTY UNTIL 845 AM
CDT...

.WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM.

AT 817 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF HACKLEBURG...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR HACKLEBURG AND BEAR
CREEK THROUGH 845 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.
WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH IS LIKELY.  OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN
FURNITURE...TRASH CANS....OR OTHER HOUSEHOLD ITEMS COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND.

ANOTHER CONCERN IS HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...CAN
PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3422 8819 3432 8816 3431 8764 3417 8765

ALZ011-061415-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
846 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MARION COUNTY UNTIL 915 AM
CDT...

AT 842 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF HACKLEBURG...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR HACKLEBURG AND BEAR
CREEK THROUGH 915 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG WINDS...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...AND HAIL. WINDS OF  35 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THESE
STORMS. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...TRASH CANS....OR
OTHER HOUSEHOLD ITEMS COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.

LAT...LON 3432 8802 3415 8802 3414 8765 3430 8765

ALZ014-061445-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
858 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR WINSTON COUNTY UNTIL 945 AM
CDT...

AT 853 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 26 MILES WEST OF GRAYSON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR GRAYSON THROUGH 945
AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG WINDS...DEADLY
LIGHTNING...AND HAIL. WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THESE
STORMS. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE...TRASH CANS....OR
OTHER HOUSEHOLD ITEMS COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.

LAT...LON 3430 8763 3416 8763 3419 8719 3430 8718

ALZ019>021-061915-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
115 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR CLEBURNE...CALHOUN AND
CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...

.FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM.

AT 115 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PIEDMONT...MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND
40 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR PIEDMONT...PLEASANT
GAP AND BORDEN SPRINGS THROUGH 215 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS SMALL HAIL. HAIL UP TO ONE
HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS IN THE
VICINITY OF THESE STORMS...TAKE SHELTER NOW.

ANOTHER THREAT IS MINOR FLOODING. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...
FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RISING WATER ALONG CREEKS...AND
UNDERPASSES WITH WATER ARE POSSIBLE.

LAT...LON 3393 8580 3376 8571 3405 8479 3430 8492