Severe Thunderstorm Warning 237, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
156 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2003

VERY LITTLE CHANGES EXPECTED THIS WEEK.  UNSTABLE AND MOIST
ATMOSPHERE WILL WAIT FOR AFTERNOON TEMPS TO OVERCOME THE INVERSION...
THEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS WILL POP.  THIS SHOULDNT BE A
PROBLEM WITH AFTERNOON TEMPS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90 THROUGH THE EXTENDED.  THERE IS ONE DAY WHERE I WONT MENTION
ISOLATED STORMS...AND THATS THURSDAY.  ALL OTHERS WILL HAVE STORM
WORDING OF SOME TYPE.

BHM  71 84 70 87/  70 50 30 40
MGM  72 87 71 91/  40 40 30 30

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ011>015-017>050-052300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
328 PM CDT MON MAY 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

ALABAMA CONTINUES TO REMAIN IN A VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST TO EAST GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF AN ALICEVILLE...TO TUSCALOOSA...TO JASPER LINE...
ARE UNDER A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE REMAINDER
OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  ALL OTHER COUNTIES
...EXCEPT FAR SOUTHEAST...SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM ARE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ALSO.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING INFLUENCES.

KEEP TUNED TO LOCAL TELEVISION...RADIO...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO
THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR UPDATES ON THIS
DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...AS ALABAMA REMAINS IN A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
THE COVERAGE AND SEVERITY OF EACH DAYS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LARGELY INFLUENCED BY WHAT HAPPENS THE DAY BEFORE.  SO THERE
REMAINS A RELATIVELY LOW DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE ON THE DETAILS OF
WHICH DAYS ARE MORE FAVORED TO RECEIVE SEVERE WEATHER THAN OTHERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
733 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0648 PM    HUBBERTVILLE              AL   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/03   FAYETTE                        A FEW TREES DOWN ON HWY
                                          129.  REPORTED BY FAYETTE
                                          COUNTY 911.

0705 PM    3 N CURRY                 AL   FUNNEL CLOUD
05/05/03   WALKER                         SPOTTED ON WALKER AND
                                          WINSTON COUNTY LINE ON
                                          HWY 257 AT DUNCAN BRIDGE.
                                          PUBLIC REPORT.

0708 PM    OAKMAN                    AL   FUNNEL CLOUD
05/05/03   WALKER                         SPOTTED IN OAKMAN OFF OF
                                          HWY 69.  REPORTED BY THE
                                          FIRE DEPARTMENT.

0720 PM    HAMILTON                  AL   0.25 IN HAIL
05/05/03   MARION                         PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY
                                          MARION COUNTY EMA.

0725 PM    JASPER                    AL   1.75 IN HAIL
05/05/03   WALKER                         GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.
                                          REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
754 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0705 PM    CURRY                     AL   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/03   WALKER                         NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AT
                                          SMITH LAKE.  REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

0752 PM    MOUNT OLIVE               AL   1.00 IN HAIL
05/05/03   JEFFERSON                      QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
                                          REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.