Tornado Warning 120, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
156 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2003

VERY LITTLE CHANGES EXPECTED THIS WEEK.  UNSTABLE AND MOIST
ATMOSPHERE WILL WAIT FOR AFTERNOON TEMPS TO OVERCOME THE INVERSION...
THEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS WILL POP.  THIS SHOULDNT BE A
PROBLEM WITH AFTERNOON TEMPS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO
NEAR 90 THROUGH THE EXTENDED.  THERE IS ONE DAY WHERE I WONT MENTION
ISOLATED STORMS...AND THATS THURSDAY.  ALL OTHERS WILL HAVE STORM
WORDING OF SOME TYPE.

BHM  71 84 70 87/  70 50 30 40
MGM  72 87 71 91/  40 40 30 30

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ011>015-017>050-052300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
328 PM CDT MON MAY 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

ALABAMA CONTINUES TO REMAIN IN A VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST TO EAST GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF AN ALICEVILLE...TO TUSCALOOSA...TO JASPER LINE...
ARE UNDER A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE REMAINDER
OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  ALL OTHER COUNTIES
...EXCEPT FAR SOUTHEAST...SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM ARE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ALSO.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING INFLUENCES.

KEEP TUNED TO LOCAL TELEVISION...RADIO...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO
THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR UPDATES ON THIS
DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...AS ALABAMA REMAINS IN A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
THE COVERAGE AND SEVERITY OF EACH DAYS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LARGELY INFLUENCED BY WHAT HAPPENS THE DAY BEFORE.  SO THERE
REMAINS A RELATIVELY LOW DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE ON THE DETAILS OF
WHICH DAYS ARE MORE FAVORED TO RECEIVE SEVERE WEATHER THAN OTHERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.