Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 172, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 8, 2002, 2:54 PM CDT for Ramsey County, North Dakota. It was in force for 51 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 8, 2002, 2:54 PM CDT (19:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 8, 2002, 3:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 51 min
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Ramsey County, ND
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 3:05 PM CDT | Hail 0.75 | Southam, ND |
NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 274 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -305 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1167 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
974 WUUS53 KFGF 081954 SVRFAR NDC071-082045- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS 254 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... RAMSEY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. * UNTIL 345 PM CDT. * AT 252 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOUTHAM...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF DEVILS LAKE...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SOUTHAM AT 255 PM... LAWTON AT 330 PM AND EDMORE AT 335 PM. REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING. LAT...LON 4823 9880 4810 9861 4830 9834 4848 9841 30 NNNN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 8, 10:20 AM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 8, 10:20 AM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND 1020 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2002 FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR TODAY IS PRECIPITATION. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TWO BANDS OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS...ONE OVER E ND AND ANOTHER THROUGH NW MN COUNTIES. CURRENT MSAS SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH RED RIVER VALLEY. WHEN COMPARING MSAS DATA TO MODEL INITIALIZATIONS...ETA BEST MATCH. FRONT STALLS OVER E PARTS OF AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS BEST MID AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT HOLDS S AND W OF AREA AWAITING ARRIVAL OF 500MB AND 700MB TROFS. WITH MUCH OF AREA UNDER SUBSIDENCE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WILL PUSH BACK TIMING OF THUNDERSTORMS TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL ALSO REMOVE SEVERE WORDING FOR ND SIDE OF AREA...BUT KEEP IT IN FOR MN SIDE. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS STILL OVER 1.5 INCHES AND POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OF STORMS...WILL KEEP FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF MN SIDE. OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR CHANGES NEEDED TO REST OF FORECAST. .FGF...FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF NW AND WC MN TODAY. NG
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 3:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Nelson | 39 min |
| Aug 8, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Walsh | 49 min |
| Aug 8, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes | 51 min |
| Aug 8, 4:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Grand Forks | 38 min |
| Aug 8, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Steele, Traill | 45 min |
| Aug 8, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grand Forks | 65 min |
| Aug 8, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Traill | 44 min |
| Aug 8, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Steele | 51 min |
| Aug 8, 6:44 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FGF | Traill | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.