Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 172, NWS Grand Forks, ND

August 8, 2002Ramsey County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 8, 2002, 2:54 PM CDT for Ramsey County, North Dakota. It was in force for 51 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 8, 2002, 2:54 PM CDT (19:54 UTC)
Expired
Aug 8, 2002, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Ramsey County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 8, 3:05 PM CDTHail 0.75Southam, ND

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2002-08-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 274 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2002-08-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
274 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-305 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

974 
WUUS53 KFGF 081954
SVRFAR
NDC071-082045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
254 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  RAMSEY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT.

* AT 252 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOUTHAM...OR ABOUT 12
  MILES NORTHEAST OF DEVILS LAKE...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT
  20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  SOUTHAM AT 255 PM...
  LAWTON AT 330 PM AND
  EDMORE AT 335 PM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4823 9880 4810 9861 4830 9834 4848 9841


30
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 8, 10:20 AM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 8, 10:20 AM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1020 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2002

FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR TODAY IS PRECIPITATION. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS TWO BANDS OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS...ONE OVER E ND AND
ANOTHER THROUGH NW MN COUNTIES. CURRENT MSAS SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS
FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH RED RIVER VALLEY. WHEN COMPARING MSAS DATA
TO MODEL INITIALIZATIONS...ETA BEST MATCH. FRONT STALLS OVER E PARTS
OF AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS BEST MID AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT HOLDS S AND
W OF AREA AWAITING ARRIVAL OF 500MB AND 700MB TROFS. WITH MUCH OF
AREA UNDER SUBSIDENCE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WILL PUSH BACK TIMING
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL ALSO
REMOVE SEVERE WORDING FOR ND SIDE OF AREA...BUT KEEP IT IN FOR MN
SIDE. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS STILL OVER 1.5 INCHES AND POTENTIAL
FOR TRAINING OF STORMS...WILL KEEP FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF MN SIDE.
OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR CHANGES NEEDED TO REST OF FORECAST.

.FGF...FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF NW AND WC MN TODAY.

NG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 8, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNelson39 min
Aug 8, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFWalsh49 min
Aug 8, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes51 min
Aug 8, 4:37 PM CDTTornado WarningFGFGrand Forks38 min
Aug 8, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFSteele, Traill45 min
Aug 8, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks65 min
Aug 8, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFTraill44 min
Aug 8, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFSteele51 min
Aug 8, 6:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFTraill6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.