Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TEMPS IN CCF...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
747 PM MDT (847 PM CDT) WED JUN 7 1995

DISCUSSION:  SOME OF THE STMS DVLPG E OF THE FNT RANGE OF CO COULD
MAKE IT INTO THE EXTRM WRN COUNTIES OF NW KS LTR THIS EVE...ESP IF
THE LOW LVL JET INTENSIFIES DURG THIS TM.  SO...FEEL IT WOULD BE
SAFE TO INCR POPS THERE TO 30 PCT TO CVR THIS SITUATION.

OTRW...I HV SOME CONCERNS ABT THE SECOND FNT CURRENTLY EXTENDING FM
JUST S OF A CHEYENNE WY...SIDNEY NE...ALLIANCE NE LN.  ETA...HAS THE
FNT MOVING INTO THE NRN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWA BY 12Z...WHILE THE NGM
ONLY ADVANCES IT TWD THE KS/NE BDR.  SINCE...THIS IS MY 1ST NGT IN
EVE ROTATION AFT 3 DAY BREAK...I SOUGHT GUIDANCE FM THE PMDSPD FOR
THE MODEL OF PREFERENCE AND GOT LTL HELP.  SINCE PREVIOUS SHIFT DID
NOT MENTION THIS FEATURE...BELIEVE WE SHOULD CONSIDER AT LEAST THE
ETA/NGM BLEND IF NOT THE ETA BY ITSELF...GVN MODEL BIASES AND THE
LARGE PRESSURE GRAD N OF THE FNT.

IN ANY EVENT...FEEL SFC WNDS MAY BE MORE EASTERLY AND NORTHEASTERLY
TNGT OVR THE CWA...ALLOWING FOR MORE IN THE WAY OF LOW CLDCVR AND
PATCHY FOG BY DAYBREAK.  GVN SFC DWPNTS IN THE LWR 60S OVR MST OF NW
KS...OVNGT LOWS SHOULD BE RAISED ONE CAT.

HI TEMPS ON THU COULD ALSO BE NEGATIVELY IMPACTED BY THIS COOLER
AIR MASS OVR MUCH OF THE CWA.

GLD 57/74 33  HLC 61/76 23
CBK 58/74 33  MCK 57/68 45
TRB 59/77 33  5C0 56/71 44

VJN

COZ091-080445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
543 PM MDT WED JUN 7 1995

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN KIT CARSON
COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM MDT...

AT 530 PM MDT GOODLAND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES NO SEVERE WEATHER IN
WESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY OF NORTHEAST COLORADO.

A COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH MOVING INTO THE AREA MAY CAUSE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION.  THE AIR ACROSS THE REGION
IS VERY DRY SO ANY THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA SHOULD BE ISOLATED.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.

JENNER

COZ091-080445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
543 PM MDT WED JUN 7 1995

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN KIT CARSON
COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM MDT...

AT 530 PM MDT GOODLAND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES NO SEVERE WEATHER IN
WESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY OF NORTHEAST COLORADO.

A COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH MOVING INTO THE AREA MAY CAUSE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION.  THE AIR ACROSS THE REGILON
IS VERY DRY SO ANY THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA SHOULD BE ISOLATED.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.

JENNER

COZ091-080445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED TO PARA 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
543 PM MDT WED JUN 7 1995

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN KIT CARSON
COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM MDT...

AT 530 PM MDT GOODLAND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES NO SEVERE WEATHER IN
WESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY OF NORTHEAST COLORADO.

EASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA COULD CAUSE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION LATTER THIS EVENING.

 IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.

JENNER