Alert archive / Arizona / Coconino County / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Coconino County, Arizona, 2019

23 flash flood warnings in 2019. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Coconino County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2019. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
23
Busiest month
February9 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
February 15, 20194 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

7 of 23 flash flood warnings covering Coconino County in 2019 had a flash flood report inside them; 6 of 11 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 100 minutes after it went out.

Coconino County, 2019

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings23770%1155%100 min

Each office's whole area, 2019

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Flagstaff, AZ: flash flood warnings751975%3770%102 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 3, 7:32 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Feb 3, 9:40 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ11 hr
Feb 3, 2:55 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ6 hr
Feb 14, 4:54 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ22 hr
Feb 14, 7:38 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ14 hr
Feb 15, 12:29 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ6 hr
Feb 15, 3:30 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ6 hr
Feb 15, 3:25 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ4 hr
Feb 15, 7:12 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
May 30, 12:20 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Jul 22, 4:40 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Jul 23, 4:04 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Jul 25, 12:24 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Aug 2, 3:17 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ118 min
Aug 2, 7:09 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Aug 28, 2:14 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Aug 28, 3:40 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Aug 28, 6:47 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ88 min
Aug 29, 2:31 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Aug 29, 3:18 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ3 hr
Dec 4, 10:54 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ6 hr
Dec 5, 3:00 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ6 hr
Dec 8, 3:44 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZ6 hr

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20182020

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.