Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015

EF0 tornado, Argyle to Mustang, Texas, May 10, 2015

From Argyle to Mustang, this EF0 tornado ran 2.9 miles across Denton County on May 10, 2015, touching down at 2:39 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $40,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 10, 2015
Touchdown
2:39 PM CDT (19:39 UTC)
Lifted
2:41 PM CDT (19:41 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.9 miles (4.7 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$40,000
Crop damage
$20,000
County
Denton County
Touchdown point
33.277, -96.984
Lift-off point
33.283, -96.934
Record number
1505101339-01

The damage survey

18 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FWD, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 101 mph.

  • the tornado only sideswiped this mobile home park
  • slid off block, but was not secured in any way
  • easy to see why mobile homes get destroyed with light winds. the center of the tor missed here t
  • inflow winds into the tor unsheathed so took brunt of damage

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An active Spring weather pattern led to numerous severe thunderstorms, many of which produced tornadoes, across north Texas during Mother's Day Weekend. The prolonged period of strong to severe storms was made possible by a slow-moving upper level low pressure system which moved east from the Rockies through the Southern Plains. Activity began on Friday and continued through Mother's Day evening.

A National Weather Service storm survey team found evidence of EF-1 damage from a tornado in central Denton County. This tornado began near the city of Argyle and moved in a north to northeast direction, towards the city of Denton. Several small buildings were damaged or destroyed along US 377 between Argyle and Denton. As the tornado entered into a sparsely populated area within the Denton city limits, trees were damaged. As the storm made its way to near the US 377 and I-35E intersection, the damage began to dissipate as the tornado dissipated. The Denton County Emergency Services estimate the tornado damage to be approximately $3.5 million.

A National Weather Service storm survey found tornado damage near the cities of Krugerville and Aubrey. The tornado began just east of US 377 near Woodland Drive in Krugerville, before moving northeast into open fields. The tornado did minimal damage, with only a few shingles missing from a neighborhood of well built homes. Further east, a farm house suffered more damage, along with several trees being uprooted.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

14 minutes of warning. NWS FWD issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:25 UTC, 14 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 20:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 15:20 UTC and running to 01:52 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
09:11 UTC12:38 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchFWD
11:41 UTC12:04 UTCTornado WarningFWD
11:43 UTC12:23 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
11:56 UTC15:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryFWD
15:20 UTC01:52 UTCTornado WatchFWD
15:32 UTC18:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryFWD
17:07 UTC17:50 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
18:13 UTC04:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningFWD
18:42 UTC19:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
18:43 UTC14:42 UTCFlood WarningFWD
19:02 UTC19:30 UTCTornado WarningFWD
19:25 UTC20:00 UTCTornado WarningFWD
19:58 UTC20:19 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
04:14 UTC13:15 UTCFlood WarningFWD

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:42 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 12:00Z

7.7 hours before the tornado, 59 km from the path. May 10, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2108 joules per kilogram, CIN -13, lifted condensation level 628 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 46 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2108 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2730 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
628 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
279 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.8
Supercell composite
14.7
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 00:00Z

4.3 hours after it, 59 km from the path. May 11, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1254 joules per kilogram, CIN -105, lifted condensation level 1336 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 229 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 56 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1254 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-105 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2760 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1336 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
265 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
6.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 85 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:41 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
17:38 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.86SlidellWise, TX3.86 OF RAINFALL REPORTED IN ONE HOUR.
19:08 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 Nw ArgyleDenton, TXFUNNEL CLOUD CROSSED I-35W NEAR CRAWFORD ROAD
19:10 UTCFLASH FLOODValley ViewCooke, TXINTERSTATE 35 CLOSED SOUTH OF VALLEY VIEW.
19:16 UTCTORNADO1 N ArgyleDenton, TXTORNADO ON THE GROUND AT HW 377 AND CRAWFORD ROAD
19:22 UTCTORNADODentonDenton, TXROOF AND OTHER STRUCTURAL DAMAGE; SIGNS DOWN NEAR US 377 AND I-35E
19:46 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 N PonderDenton, TX1173 AND PURETT ROAD IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER ACROSS ROAD
20:18 UTCTORNADO1 S GunterGrayson, TXVISUAL REPORT OF TORNADO JUST S OF GUNTER
20:23 UTCFLASH FLOODShermanGrayson, TXFLOODING AT HIGHWAYS 75 AND 1417 IN SHERMAN
20:27 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDHoweGrayson, TXFUNNEL NEAR HOWE
20:35 UTCFLASH FLOODKrumDenton, TXHIGH WATER RESCUE IN KRUM
20:35 UTCTORNADOHoweGrayson, TXVERY BRIEF TORNADO OBSERVED NEAR HOWE
20:46 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDLuellaGrayson, TXFUNNEL OVER LUELLA
21:00 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 W BellsGrayson, TXFUNNEL ALONOG HIGHWAY 82 W OF BELLS
21:13 UTCFLASH FLOOD5 Nw ShermanGrayson, TXPOST OAK CK FLOODING ROADS NEAR SHERMAN AIRPORT
22:11 UTCFLASH FLOODValley ViewCooke, TXMAJOR FLOODING IN PIONEER VALLEY COMMUNITY WITH WATER INUNDATING MOBILE HOMES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 10, 2015

23 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 109:01 AM CDTEF1Pittsburg, OK3.8240$35,000
May 1010:21 AM CDTEF2Charles Mix, SD16.24009$1.5 million
May 1011:15 AM CDTEF0Davison, SD4.250
May 102:16 PM CDTEF1Denton, TX5.2100$3.5 million
May 103:28 PM CDTEF0Sioux, IA0.850
May 104:08 PM CDTEF1Grayson, TX2.6100$50,000
May 104:45 PM CDTEF1Hamilton, TX5.1105$100,000
May 106:03 PM CDTEF0Hill, TX0.650
May 106:07 PM CDTEF0Kaufman, TX0.120
May 106:18 PM CDTEF0Pushmataha, OK1.7100
May 106:34 PM CDTEF0Kaufman, TX0.150
May 107:10 PM CDTEF1Carroll, IA23.3700$1.0 million
May 107:16 PM CDTEF0Miner, SD0.350
May 107:18 PM CDTEF2Latimer, OK15.0880$100,000
May 107:20 PM CDTEF0Hill, TX1.4150
May 107:46 PM CDTEF0Latimer, OK3.775
May 108:14 PM CDTEF0Calhoun, IA1.0400
May 108:46 PM CDTEF3Van Zandt, TX10.2700243$40 million
May 109:19 PM CDTEF1Smith, TX1.4440$125,000
May 1010:50 PM CDTEF1Smith, TX1.1450$125,000
May 1011:18 PM CDTEF2Howard, AR6.740028$1.5 million
May 1011:25 PM CDTEF0Marion, TX0.3172
May 1011:28 PM CDTEF0Marion, TX2.6345

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.