Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015
EF1 tornado, Argyle to Mustang, Texas, May 10, 2015
From Argyle to Mustang, this EF1 tornado ran 5.2 miles across Denton County on May 10, 2015, touching down at 2:16 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $3.5 million of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- May 10, 2015
- Touchdown
- 2:16 PM CDT (19:16 UTC)
- Lifted
- 2:26 PM CDT (19:26 UTC)
- On the ground
- 10 minutes
- Path length
- 5.2 miles (8.4 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $3.5 million
- County
- Denton County
- Touchdown point
- 33.132, -97.183
- Lift-off point
- 33.198, -97.141
- Record number
- 1505101316-01
The damage survey
18 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FWD, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 101 mph.
- the tornado only sideswiped this mobile home park
- slid off block, but was not secured in any way
- easy to see why mobile homes get destroyed with light winds. the center of the tor missed here t
- inflow winds into the tor unsheathed so took brunt of damage
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
An active Spring weather pattern led to numerous severe thunderstorms, many of which produced tornadoes, across north Texas during Mother's Day Weekend. The prolonged period of strong to severe storms was made possible by a slow-moving upper level low pressure system which moved east from the Rockies through the Southern Plains. Activity began on Friday and continued through Mother's Day evening.
A National Weather Service storm survey team found evidence of EF-1 damage from a tornado in central Denton County. This tornado began near the city of Argyle and moved in a north to northeast direction, towards the city of Denton. Several small buildings were damaged or destroyed along US 377 between Argyle and Denton. As the tornado entered into a sparsely populated area within the Denton city limits, trees were damaged. As the storm made its way to near the US 377 and I-35E intersection, the damage began to dissipate as the tornado dissipated. The Denton County Emergency Services estimate the tornado damage to be approximately $3.5 million.
A National Weather Service storm survey found tornado damage near the cities of Krugerville and Aubrey. The tornado began just east of US 377 near Woodland Drive in Krugerville, before moving northeast into open fields. The tornado did minimal damage, with only a few shingles missing from a neighborhood of well built homes. Further east, a farm house suffered more damage, along with several trees being uprooted.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
14 minutes of warning. NWS FWD issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:02 UTC, 14 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 15:20 UTC and running to 01:52 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09:11 UTC | 12:38 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | FWD |
| 11:41 UTC | 12:04 UTC | Tornado Warning | FWD |
| 11:43 UTC | 12:23 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD |
| 11:56 UTC | 15:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | FWD |
| 15:20 UTC | 01:52 UTC | Tornado Watch | FWD |
| 15:32 UTC | 18:30 UTC | Flood Advisory | FWD |
| 17:07 UTC | 17:50 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD |
| 18:13 UTC | 04:15 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | FWD |
| 18:42 UTC | 19:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD |
| 18:43 UTC | 14:42 UTC | Flood Warning | FWD |
| 19:02 UTC | 19:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | FWD |
| 19:25 UTC | 20:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | FWD |
| 19:58 UTC | 20:19 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD |
| 04:14 UTC | 13:15 UTC | Flood Warning | FWD |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:42 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 12:00Z
7.3 hours before the tornado, 39 km from the path. May 10, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2108 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2730 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 628 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 259 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 279 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.8
- Supercell composite
- 14.7
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.4 K/km
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 00:00Z
4.7 hours after it, 39 km from the path. May 11, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1254 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -105 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2760 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1336 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 229 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 265 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 6.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.3 K/km
The surface observations
Denton (DTO), 6 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:36 UTC | 67 | 66 | 120° 15 kt | 1009.8 | -TSRA | |
| 17:53 UTC | 67 | 66 | 130° 15 kt | 1009.8 | VCTS -RA | |
| 18:05 UTC | 68 | 66 | 6 kt | 1011.2 | -TSRA | |
| 18:12 UTC | 67 | 66 | 310° 7 kt | 1011.5 | -TSRA | |
| 18:33 UTC | 67 | 66 | 330° 4 kt | 1011.2 | VCTS -RA | |
| 18:53 UTC | 68 | 66 | 50° 4 kt | 1010.8 | TSRA BR | |
| 19:04 UTC | 67 | 67 | 350° 7 kt | 1010.2 | TSRA BR | |
| 19:11 UTC | 68 | 67 | 320° 14 kt | 1010.5 | -TSRA BR | |
| 19:14 UTC | 68 | 67 | 310° 19 kt | 24 | 1010.5 | +TSRA BR |
| 19:19 UTC | 68 | 68 | 300° 20 kt | 27 | 1010.8 | +TSRA FG |
| 19:26 UTC | 69 | 68 | 300° 18 kt | 27 | 1010.8 | +TSRA FG |
| 19:30 UTC | 68 | 68 | 330° 13 kt | 22 | 1010.5 | +TSRA BR |
| 19:37 UTC | 68 | 68 | 340° 6 kt | 1010.5 | TSRA BR | |
| 19:46 UTC | 69 | 68 | 260° 6 kt | 1011.2 | TS | |
| 19:53 UTC | 69 | 68 | 0° 0 kt | 1011.2 | VCTS -RA | |
| 20:20 UTC | 70 | 69 | 70° 4 kt | 1010.8 | -RA | |
| 20:35 UTC | 71 | 69 | 0° 0 kt | 1010.8 | VCTS -RA | |
| 20:53 UTC | 72 | 69 | 0° 0 kt | 1010.5 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:14 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:38 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 3.86 | Slidell | Wise, TX | 3.86 OF RAINFALL REPORTED IN ONE HOUR. |
| 19:08 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 Nw Argyle | Denton, TX | FUNNEL CLOUD CROSSED I-35W NEAR CRAWFORD ROAD |
| 19:10 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Valley View | Cooke, TX | INTERSTATE 35 CLOSED SOUTH OF VALLEY VIEW. |
| 19:16 UTC | TORNADO | 1 N Argyle | Denton, TX | TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT HW 377 AND CRAWFORD ROAD |
| 19:22 UTC | TORNADO | Denton | Denton, TX | ROOF AND OTHER STRUCTURAL DAMAGE; SIGNS DOWN NEAR US 377 AND I-35E |
| 19:46 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 3 N Ponder | Denton, TX | 1173 AND PURETT ROAD IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER ACROSS ROAD |
| 20:18 UTC | TORNADO | 1 S Gunter | Grayson, TX | VISUAL REPORT OF TORNADO JUST S OF GUNTER |
| 20:27 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | Howe | Grayson, TX | FUNNEL NEAR HOWE |
| 20:35 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Krum | Denton, TX | HIGH WATER RESCUE IN KRUM |
| 20:35 UTC | TORNADO | Howe | Grayson, TX | VERY BRIEF TORNADO OBSERVED NEAR HOWE |
| 22:11 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Valley View | Cooke, TX | MAJOR FLOODING IN PIONEER VALLEY COMMUNITY WITH WATER INUNDATING MOBILE HOMES. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 10, 2015
23 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10 | 9:01 AM CDT | EF1 | Pittsburg, OK | 3.8 | 240 | $35,000 | ||
| May 10 | 10:21 AM CDT | EF2 | Charles Mix, SD | 16.2 | 400 | 9 | $1.5 million | |
| May 10 | 11:15 AM CDT | EF0 | Davison, SD | 4.2 | 50 | |||
| May 10 | 2:39 PM CDT | EF0 | Denton, TX | 2.9 | 75 | $40,000 | ||
| May 10 | 3:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Sioux, IA | 0.8 | 50 | |||
| May 10 | 4:08 PM CDT | EF1 | Grayson, TX | 2.6 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| May 10 | 4:45 PM CDT | EF1 | Hamilton, TX | 5.1 | 105 | $100,000 | ||
| May 10 | 6:03 PM CDT | EF0 | Hill, TX | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| May 10 | 6:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Kaufman, TX | 0.1 | 20 | |||
| May 10 | 6:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Pushmataha, OK | 1.7 | 100 | |||
| May 10 | 6:34 PM CDT | EF0 | Kaufman, TX | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| May 10 | 7:10 PM CDT | EF1 | Carroll, IA | 23.3 | 700 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 10 | 7:16 PM CDT | EF0 | Miner, SD | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| May 10 | 7:18 PM CDT | EF2 | Latimer, OK | 15.0 | 880 | $100,000 | ||
| May 10 | 7:20 PM CDT | EF0 | Hill, TX | 1.4 | 150 | |||
| May 10 | 7:46 PM CDT | EF0 | Latimer, OK | 3.7 | 75 | |||
| May 10 | 8:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Calhoun, IA | 1.0 | 400 | |||
| May 10 | 8:46 PM CDT | EF3 | Van Zandt, TX | 10.2 | 700 | 2 | 43 | $40 million |
| May 10 | 9:19 PM CDT | EF1 | Smith, TX | 1.4 | 440 | $125,000 | ||
| May 10 | 10:50 PM CDT | EF1 | Smith, TX | 1.1 | 450 | $125,000 | ||
| May 10 | 11:18 PM CDT | EF2 | Howard, AR | 6.7 | 400 | 2 | 8 | $1.5 million |
| May 10 | 11:25 PM CDT | EF0 | Marion, TX | 0.3 | 172 | |||
| May 10 | 11:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Marion, TX | 2.6 | 345 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.